Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/index.php)
-   General Handicapping Discussion (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/forumdisplay.php?f=2)
-   -   Odds-on favorites (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=165600)

cnollfan 07-05-2021 12:56 PM

Odds-on favorites
 
This has been asked and answered before, I suspect.

Does anyone have stats of the frequency of odds-on favorites and finishing position?

For instance, horses at 0.80 - 0.90 to 1.00 finish first 48%, second 30%, 3rd 12%, etc.? (I don't know if those are the right answers, just estimating).

CheckMark 07-05-2021 01:48 PM

4 Attachment(s)
From the sample page on Amazon of Barry meadow's "The Skeptical Handicapper"

Attachment 29935

Attachment 29936

Attachment 29937

Attachment 29938

Hope this helps! Sorry if this goes against the rules PA/CJ

cnollfan 07-05-2021 01:59 PM

Thanks!

CheckMark 07-05-2021 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cnollfan (Post 2735641)
Thanks!

No problem

I did remember looking at stats like this from the book and while back so it was easy to just screenshot the pages (which are the sample pages off of Amazon) and post it here for you so all good

Dave Schwartz 07-05-2021 03:40 PM

I think this is what you asked for.


Code:

FINISH POSITIONS OF ODDS-ON HORSES
29,701 races from 1/1/20 to June 30, 2021
Dirt, 5f to 9f
Removed races with entries

Finish Occurrences
  1        4,149
  2        1,705
  3          851
  4          452
  5          284
  6          151
  7          86
  8          42
  9+          22

Total      7,742 (odds-on horses)


cnollfan 07-05-2021 09:16 PM

Thanks! Both responses are helpful.

Nitro 07-06-2021 05:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cnollfan (Post 2735721)
Thanks! Both responses are helpful.

I’m not sure why you’d be interested in those type of statistics, but in any case the general information that’s been provided so far is in my mind is worthless.
When trying to analyze something like this you would have to have far more detailed information.

All these type of races should be broken down by a least the following conditions:
Track / Racing Surface / Track Condition / Class / Distance / No of Entries
Only then can you get some meaningful insight.

CheckMark 07-06-2021 08:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nitro (Post 2735839)
I’m not sure why you’d be interested in those type of statistics, but in any case the general information that’s been provided so far is in my mind is worthless.
When trying to analyze something like this you would have to have far more detailed information.

All these type of races should be broken down by a least the following conditions:
Track / Racing Surface / Track Condition / Class / Distance / No of Entries
Only then can you get some meaningful insight.

He just wanted to know the %tages of odds on favorites and I have given him the correct screenshots

But I would have to agree about the races being broke down


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:57 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 01:57 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.