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-   -   July 8 Belmont Victory Ride Stakes...damn... (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=145888)

MadVindication 07-07-2018 07:57 PM

July 8 Belmont Victory Ride Stakes...damn...
 
It's a tough one. Free pp on TFUS. :ThmbUp:

Deserving fave in the 2-1 :5: Mia Mischief, for speed. But not without competition.

First glance best value is :8: Spectator at 5-1, SA Oaks runner up; sprint, route, she's ITM but looks like 6.5 is her niche. And :10: Classy Act for 6-1. Biggest threats to the :5:.

Curiosity in :3: Seperationofpowers at 4-1. Class dropper with Jose Ortiz for jock, she'll take money. There's a 246 day lay off but her workouts look good and at her level the time off may not matter. Do you think she'll run well? A ML underlay or overlay? What odds you give her?

May consider :7: Take Charge Paula as a tri/super bomber.

GMB@BP 07-07-2018 10:05 PM

I don't know much about Nevin, numbers are good, but DAmato is about as good as there is on the west coast, not sure its a positive trainer move.

Feels like the chalk is going to be very tough.

Tom 07-07-2018 11:07 PM

Bet whoever is the chalk....1 minute into the race.

FREE PPs for a Belmont race - I can't afford them.:rolleyes:

Afleet 07-08-2018 12:54 AM

good luck to Dixie Serenade

jay68802 07-08-2018 01:25 AM

I think you have to give the edge to the :3: here. Can improve as a lightly raced 3 yr old and her breeding really suits the distance. Would love to see 5-2 on this one, but is owned by Klaravich and if they are betting, will be around 8 or 9-5.

Immortal6 07-08-2018 02:55 PM

With Jay on the :3:, out of Candy Ride, working lights out for Chad Brown. 5/2 would be a gift. :5: looks tough on paper but looks to be hard pressed by the :4: and :10:. I tend to shy away from horses shipping in from California but the :8: looks classy enough and shows ability to come from off the pace.

:3::8: ex box.

jay68802 07-08-2018 03:04 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Immortal6 (Post 2339044)
With Jay on the :3:, out of Candy Ride, working lights out for Chad Brown. 5/2 would be a gift. :5: looks tough on paper but looks to be hard pressed by the :4: and :10:. I tend to shy away from horses shipping in from California but the :8: looks classy enough and shows ability to come from off the pace.

:3::8: ex box.

A fun one.

GMB@BP 07-08-2018 03:20 PM

I like Classy Tune given the odds, the chalk is going to be very tough but price wise at 4/5 cant use her.

PhantomOnTour 07-08-2018 05:49 PM

Looks chalky...maybe Rosario takes the #7 back today and hopes for some pace fallout. He can get a share if things come apart a bit late.

Afleet 07-08-2018 05:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Afleet (Post 2338869)
good luck to Dixie Serenade

holy phuk!

PhantomOnTour 07-08-2018 05:55 PM

Nice one Afleet!!!
45-1....hope you got some

Afleet 07-08-2018 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PhantomOnTour (Post 2339130)
Nice one Afleet!!!
45-1....hope you got some

I wasnt playing today, but I own 3 foals by the sire and it could help me down the road!!!

cj 07-08-2018 06:02 PM

Winner actually looked pretty good on our stuff, was one of the free races of the day.

https://image.ibb.co/bKYixT/VR.png

GMB@BP 07-08-2018 06:03 PM

That hurt, do all the dirty work to win the battle but lost the war.

Afleet 07-08-2018 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Afleet (Post 2339128)
holy phuk!

I didn't mean to cuss-apologize. I'm going to the farm to see the sire and my foals in September and seeing the PA derby. I got carried away!


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