- - tampa bay...
( http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=143185)
bpiets |
02-06-2018 09:07 AM |
tampa bay...
a new contest at tampa bay downs begins on the 10 th of feb.:)...an survivor contest...
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Big Russ |
02-09-2018 06:53 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by bpiets
(Post 2272849)
a new contest at tampa bay downs begins on the 10 th of feb.:)...an survivor contest...
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2 challenging races on day 1.
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Red Knave |
02-12-2018 01:44 PM |
So, after 2 days I'm still alive and my bankroll is a spectacular $10.50. I went the safe route on both days. A 1/2 fav on Saturday and a 5/2 2nd fav on Sunday that got squeezed at the start but still rallied for 3rd (those 8k nw2 claimers are tough!).
Anyway, I think I need to rethink my strategy. The top guy has $67.80 (getting both the high priced winners). I bought 4 lifelines just for that reason. I liked the place horse in the grass race on Sunday but couldn't pull the trigger at what looked like 15/1.
Amazingly, 200 pickers went out and another 75 or so have $0, I guess using up lifelines. So there are 700 left of about 900 after 2 days. I'm in the top 1/2 at about 250th.
I'll try to keep updating this thread as I go, fwiw. :pound:
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Immanuel Kant |
02-12-2018 04:00 PM |
At some point you're going to have to get away from the chalk.........
There are no prizes for simply finishing (surviving).......
Go for the gusto Cap!
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Red Knave |
02-12-2018 06:14 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Immanuel Kant
(Post 2275760)
At some point you're going to have to get away from the chalk.........
There are no prizes for simply finishing (surviving).......
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Right, I was trying to survive, not to thrive. More interesting picks next week.
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Big Russ |
02-13-2018 08:17 PM |
I'm at 39.60 after 2 days. Managed 2 get 2 first time starters home. Looks like next to contest days are dirt races. Not exactly excited about either race tomorrow.
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Red Knave |
02-13-2018 08:22 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Big Russ
(Post 2276271)
I'm at 39.60 after 2 days. Managed 2 get 2 first time starters home.
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Well done. I have no expertise with FTSers.
Yeah, tomorrow could be chalky.
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Immanuel Kant |
02-14-2018 09:13 AM |
I forgot to play on Sunday so I lost my lifeline (I did not buy any extras.....would only buy if at the 1st cut I was competitive),
For Valentine's Day I'm playing the 4th...
using #11 (also eligible) hoping to go w2w in a theft attempt......
#2 is my back-up..hoping he wakes up and remembers he used to be a race horse (Nov 25 at Calder dusts this field)
Good Luck!
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Red Knave |
02-14-2018 04:26 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Immanuel Kant
(Post 2276329)
For Valentine's Day I'm playing the 4th...
using #11 (also eligible) hoping to go w2w in a theft attempt......
#2 is my back-up..hoping he wakes up and remembers he used to be a race horse (Nov 25 at Calder dusts this field)
Good Luck!
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I wish I'd read this sooner. Good pick. But then, those are your people. ;) I liked the 11 also.
I went with the 8 in the 6th race. Looked possible at the top of the lane but flattened out.
and as for this memorable quote
Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Knave
(Post 2276273)
Yeah, tomorrow could be chalky.
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I nailed it. $16.00 and $44.00, how much chalkier could it get? :p
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Big Russ |
02-14-2018 07:26 PM |
I played the 6 in r6...chickensh*t play on my part. I'd like go say I know better than to play such low odds in a contest like this, but evidently I dont!
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Big Russ |
02-14-2018 07:32 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Immanuel Kant
(Post 2276329)
I forgot to play on Sunday so I lost my lifeline (I did not buy any extras.....would only buy if at the 1st cut I was competitive),
For Valentine's Day I'm playing the 4th...
using #11 (also eligible) hoping to go w2w in a theft attempt......
#2 is my back-up..hoping he wakes up and remembers he used to be a race horse (Nov 25 at Calder dusts this field)
Good Luck!
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Nice call!
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Immanuel Kant |
02-15-2018 08:40 AM |
Today's menu forces my hand a bit....
I can't play the maiden claiming race where 4/8 (pre-scratch) are FTSers and the other 4 lost their previous races by a combined total of 142 1/4 lengths!!!
So, as the Captain says, I'm with my people in race 5.....16,000 straight claimers
Here's the problem....it's only a 7 horse field.......looks to me like today is a day where contest organizers have decided they would like everyone to stick around in the contest.......
I acquiesce to their judgement and will not try to force my hand....so
7 panels........3rd race on Jan 24 the reference as three of the seven return from that contest to meet again.....
Don't think the 7/2 ML will hold on #6 Highland Park Hero but the #1 will be even money or less IMO so maybe 5/2 is realistic and I live to fight another day
gl
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Red Knave |
02-15-2018 10:54 AM |
I'm playing the 5th as well and for the same reason. I settled on 2, Salsa Lane. I'm also a bit intrigued by 5, Devastating Move, 2nd off a layoff. The 1 deserves to be favorite but looks too good. :)
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Red Knave |
02-15-2018 11:37 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Knave
(Post 2276795)
intrigued by 5, Devastating Move,
The 1 deserves to be favorite
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My mentioning them is the kiss of death I guess. Both scratched. Hmmm, now the 6 is looking more likely.
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Big Russ |
02-15-2018 04:11 PM |
I ended up playing the 8 in the first race. Didn't think I played the fav. At least it won. I'm in 38th place. Need some price horses soon!
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Red Knave |
02-15-2018 05:50 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Big Russ
(Post 2276977)
I ended up playing the 8 in the first race. Didn't think I played the fav. At least it won. I'm in 38th place. Need some price horses soon!
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Any win is a good win.
Well I found a way to shoot myself in the foot again. I intended to switch to the 6 from the 2 in the 5th but set my timer to the wrong time and missed the race so I stayed on the 2. I watched the replay and was sort of surprised to see it on the lead. Ah well. Onward and upward.
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Red Knave |
02-16-2018 09:38 AM |
Made an early pick of #1 Awesome Lily in the 1st.
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Big Russ |
02-16-2018 09:49 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Knave
(Post 2277288)
Made an early pick of #1 Awesome Lily in the 1st.
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Can't argue with you on that one. I think I'm going to pass that race and see what I can find in the 3rd race. I'd like to see the post parades but not easy at work. Best of luck!
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Big Russ |
02-16-2018 09:53 AM |
3 and 5 scratched race 1. The 8 is scratched race 3.
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Red Knave |
02-17-2018 01:25 PM |
I went with #7 in the 7th, Memory Bank today.
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Immanuel Kant |
02-17-2018 02:09 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Knave
(Post 2278043)
I went with #7 in the 7th, Memory Bank today.
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moi aussi
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Big Russ |
02-17-2018 06:06 PM |
I played the 6 in race 7. Sitting in 18th place.
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Red Knave |
02-18-2018 09:07 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Big Russ
(Post 2278200)
I played the 6 in race 7. Sitting in 18th place.
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You are "en fuego" ! Nice 'cappin.
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Red Knave |
02-18-2018 12:07 PM |
At the moment I'm on Odachi, #3 in the 4th today.
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Big Russ |
02-18-2018 05:34 PM |
I ended up on the 8 in race 4. In 10th place going into Wednesday.
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Immanuel Kant |
02-19-2018 04:02 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Big Russ
(Post 2278814)
I ended up on the 8 in race 4. In 10th place going into Wednesday.
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On the 1st page...congrats!
I'm $33.00 behind you at $57.40 in 55th place
and playing without a net (didn't buy lifelines)
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Big Russ |
02-19-2018 07:26 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Immanuel Kant
(Post 2279313)
On the 1st page...congrats!
I'm $33.00 behind you at $57.40 in 55th place
and playing without a net (didn't buy lifelines)
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That's pretty good. Keep it going!
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Red Knave |
02-19-2018 10:05 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Immanuel Kant
(Post 2279313)
On the 1st page...congrats!
I'm $33.00 behind you at $57.40 in 55th place
and playing without a net (didn't buy lifelines)
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You know you've always been my hero but, I dunno, that Big Russ ...
;)
And, fwiw, I've moved up over 50 spots to 207th. Ha!
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Big Russ |
02-20-2018 07:52 AM |
Back to the turf tomorrow.
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Red Knave |
02-21-2018 09:05 AM |
I'll be away from the keyboard most of the day so I so I selected early. I don't like either race but I went with #7 Roll Channeled in the 5th.
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Red Knave |
02-21-2018 07:55 PM |
Another X today and I had the feeling that horse would be first or last. Naturally it fooled me and finished midpack as 3rd or 4th choice. I looked so hard for a price I made up a story for it that I made myself believe.
Anyway, right now I'm on the #3 Dont Charge It in the 3rd tomorrow. That's what my software says. If I had followed the software today I would have been on the 13-1 place horse.
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Big Russ |
02-22-2018 07:43 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Knave
(Post 2280395)
Another X today and I had the feeling that horse would be first or last. Naturally it fooled me and finished midpack as 3rd or 4th choice. I looked so hard for a price I made up a story for it that I made myself believe.
Anyway, right now I'm on the #3 Dont Charge It in the 3rd tomorrow. That's what my software says. If I had followed the software today I would have been on the 13-1 place horse.
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I ended up on the big fave in the 2nd race. No access to post parades until Saturday due to work situation. Hindsight being what it is, the 1 in the first leg yesterday was the smart play. Trainer, 2nd start, msw to claimer. No clue what to play today.
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Immanuel Kant |
02-22-2018 07:46 AM |
Good Luck to the two of you going forward!
I'm out!
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Red Knave |
02-22-2018 11:55 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Immanuel Kant
(Post 2280539)
Good Luck to the two of you going forward!
I'm out!
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Bummer.
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Red Knave |
02-23-2018 11:37 AM |
Another miss yesterday (although 4th). Today I really don't like the 2nd of the 2 races and the 1st just got more complicated with the scratches of my top 2 choices. I'm still undecided but I may take a swing with the 1.
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Red Knave |
02-23-2018 01:20 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Knave
(Post 2281182)
I'm still undecided but I may take a swing with the 1.
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Well that was interesting, now the 1 is scratched.
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Red Knave |
02-23-2018 03:33 PM |
I got the very best result possible today, #5 High Cotton in the 2nd contest race. I bet I jump to 180th! :ThmbUp:
:)
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Big Russ |
02-24-2018 05:54 AM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by Red Knave
(Post 2281353)
I got the very best result possible today, #5 High Cotton in the 2nd contest race. I bet I jump to 180th! :ThmbUp:
:)
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Good job! I ran out.
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Red Knave |
02-24-2018 04:29 PM |
Coming 4th with a 10-1 shot is bad enough but with the 6-5 favorite? Blah.
Looking for a price tomorrow.
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Red Knave |
02-25-2018 03:32 PM |
I'm on #3 in the contest 2nd, Jonimarie. Is Gallardo due for another win?
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