Redboard |
07-25-2018 05:17 PM |
Quote:
Originally Posted by thaskalos
(Post 2346595)
By this formula...(21 × 3.1 × 9.7) should pay the same as (3.1 × 9.7 × 21).
So...does this seem to be a suitable calculation by which to determine trifecta payoffs?
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Formula's more accurate for the pick 3 odds, since the toteboard odds are for the win bet, not the odds of a horse coming in second or third. I just use it as a "ballpark" estimate.
Obviously, one would think that 21 x 3.1 x 9.7 would pay more that 3.1 x 9.7 x 21 , or 9.7 x 3.1 x 21, because most smart trifecta players don't box but would put long shots (maybe even the all button) in third place, so that would be hit more often.
Let's just say that there was a race of 11 starters all the exact odds of 10-1(no takeout). the odds of any particular trifecta order would be. 11 x 10 x 9 or 990(which would be a little less than my formula of 10x10x10). right? So should my formula be (21 +1) x (3.1) x (9.7 -1) ?
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