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-   -   Is This a good Longshot? (http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/showthread.php?t=141010)

FakeNameChanged 11-27-2017 12:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2245664)
Parx Race #2:


:8: T J Goodie 15-1

Drops in class and looks to be improving. Trainer does well and looks to be a lot of speed in here. Can sit in the clear about 5 off the lead.

Excellent winner at 8-1! you even predicted how it would be run.

jay68802 11-27-2017 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Whosonfirst (Post 2245755)
Excellent winner at 8-1! you even predicted how it would be run.

:jump::jump:

FakeNameChanged 11-27-2017 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Whosonfirst (Post 2245755)
Excellent winner at 8-1! you even predicted how it would be run.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2245760)
:jump::jump:

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2245664)
Parx Race #2:



:8: T J Goodie 15-1

Drops in class and looks to be improving. Trainer does well and looks to be a lot of speed in here. Can sit in the clear about 5 off the lead.

Jay, what happened to speed at Parx in first several races? They must have dumped a "few" tons of sand on the track.

jay68802 11-27-2017 03:06 PM

Been like this for a while now, about a week ago the speed was holding, and since then it has played fair to a slight closing bias.

jay68802 11-27-2017 04:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2245664)
Parx Race #2:


:8: T J Goodie 15-1

Drops in class and looks to be improving. Trainer does well and looks to be a lot of speed in here. Can sit in the clear about 5 off the lead.

Pays: $19.20 $8.60 $3.80, keys a $92.60 exacta and a $117.40 tri.

jay68802 11-27-2017 04:20 PM

Parx Race #7:


:4: Master Yank 8-1

Last 2 have been good races. Catches a field full of speed here and is the lone closer in the bunch. Gets a positive jockey change and can bounce back to the race two back, a win at this level.

jay68802 11-29-2017 12:33 PM

Aqueduct Race #9:


:1: Town Fair 8-1


The horses that come from off the pace here are not that scary. Might be under pressure on the front but is the the best finisher of the speed types. The other choice is to sit in the :5:'s hip pocket and stalk and pounce.

jay68802 11-30-2017 12:13 PM

Aqueduct Race #6:


:4: Wicked Trick 8-1

Back to trying Rosario again. I like this guy on young horses who have shown a off the pace running style. Trainer for some reason (:confused:) put him in a Grade 3 for his second lifetime start. Maybe he thinks the horse is talented? Bid and hung in the last, will get a good rail trip for most of this race, and no other horse here has shown much late interest.

jay68802 12-01-2017 12:43 PM

Aqueduct Race #9:


:5: Anything Pazible 8-1

Had a bit of trouble getting on to the correct lead in the stretch of last, then made up ground on the likely second choice. Flips post position on that one, and this time gets the better trip.

jay68802 12-02-2017 12:18 PM

Aqueduct Race #8:


:4: Held Accountable 8-1


Two yr old that has done nothing wrong. Has shown the ability to be on the pace, and to rate. Class test today for sure, but has shown toughness in all three races. And a bonus, 4 works since the last including a old school mile work as the latest.

Lemon Drop Husker 12-02-2017 12:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jay68802 (Post 2247168)
Aqueduct Race #8:


:4: Held Accountable 8-1


Two yr old that has done nothing wrong. Has shown the ability to be on the pace, and to rate. Class test today for sure, but has shown toughness in all three races. And a bonus, 4 works since the last including a old school mile work as the latest.

Singling the :6: in that race. Only concern is the :3:

jay68802 12-02-2017 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker (Post 2247171)
Singling the :6: in that race. Only concern is the :3:

Good luck, as always I will wait to see the odds before making a bet. Will probably play a small double to the :9: in the 9th. UCF just scored on a play action pass to the tight end on a seem route, sounds a little like Osborne there.:)

jay68802 12-04-2017 12:20 PM

Laurel Race #3:


:8: Birdies Honor 8-1

Not much to figure out here. Wire to wire is the plan.


Parx Race #5


:12: Cute As A Button 12-1


Drop in class and a positive jockey change. Looks to be a lone speed type in here but that one is suspect.

Parx Race #8:


:5: Tazkeya 10-1

Second off with a trainer that is good with that. Gets a good set up and post position for her running style.

jay68802 12-05-2017 12:51 PM

Parx Race #6:


:3: Bourbon Honey 20-1

Again (:bang:) just going to try to steel this one on the front.

jay68802 12-06-2017 01:12 PM

Aqueduct Race #8:


:7: Beach Access 15-1

2 yr old gets Garcia for her second time against Maiden Claimers. Liked this angle in California with the same jockey, so give it a try here. Have a feeling he was the jock in the latest two works and look for her to be more involved early.


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