Belmont Monday 10-8-12

[KidCapper]

Been away for awhile with work n life n such. Here's my picks for a muddy monday at Belmont. As always I'll play $10 WP on my top pick and roll the pick 3's for the dollar.(3X3X3=$27each). The plays:

Race -1 The :3: . Off the turf in the opener. 3rd time off the layoff for new trainer Gullo who hits at 18% with new horses in the barn. Has a win on an off track and the slight drop in class today should help. (3-14-1)

Race -2 The :8: . Puts the blinkers back on for a 40% trainer move for Rodriguez. Jumps up in class for another 13% trainer move. Is bred to relish the off track and should sit a good trip here. (8-3-7)

Race -3 The :6: . Hard to look past what this Assmussen trainnee has done lately. Running back to back 100plus Bris figures in easy wins. Only question here is the off-track which he has a win over. (6-1-5)

Race -4 The :6: Off the layoff for a 26% McLaughlin move. Goes turf to dirt for another 21% angle. Has shown the ability to handle the off going with an 85 Bris figure over the surface. Bullet work Sept 21st for this. (6-4-3)

Race -5 The :1: . I think a Brown runner wins this Yld turf race with either the :1: or the :7: . I'll tab the higher price runner from the rail here. Ran 2nd in career debut and trainer hits at 22% with 2nd time starters.(1-7-2)

Race -6 The :16: . Off the turfer here and i've landed on the MTO runner here. Must overcome the outside post. Wide open race here. (16-14-12)

Race -7 The :7: . May be the toughest race on the card filled with solid looking 1st time starters across the baord. I've landed here for Goldberg. Been training well for this for 16% 1st time out trainer. (7-6-1)

Race -8 The :3: . Broke her maiden at 1st asking on a Yld turf course. The sod Gods must be watching over this one as its another yld course today. Stretches out to the route today for a 16% trainer move. Some things to like here. (3-4-7)

Race -9 The :2: . At 8-1 on the ML for Robb. Ships in from Delaware for a 22% shipping trainer. Has a win and a 2nd on a sf and yld turf course so the track condition should be no concern here. Longshot play here. (2-3-8)

Race -10 The :3: . An 8-1 longshot to hit the road with today. A double drop in class for another 22% move. Has the speed to be prominent here on the cutback to 6F today. Bombs away in the last! (3-12-11)

Good Luck N Good Racing From The KidCapper!!

[Robert Fischer]

good to see you back KidCapper :ThmbUp:

[captainhot]

Kid, I'll play along today.

Race 1 :14::7::1::3: I liked Kid Wando last week when he won professionally, and feel Guerrero wheels him right back for the win. #7 Davins Ticket by Whywhywhy already has a win on an off track, and had trouble in latest, big threat. #1 Creas Law is a 1-25 horse that usually gets a check, beat the tar out of the top choice on a muddy track here in June. Could be a big price.#3 Little Dale could certainly steal this race, but his inability to twice handle #4 Bizarroworld (who has gone in the tank since) is somewhat troubling.

Race 2:8::9::3::2:Speed Galore sets up #9 Starforaday nicely, former handicap horse could find these to his liking, but I'm picking #8 Orsonian to beat him. Great wet track record, Rudy, third time off layoff, and first blinkers--lots to like. #3 Powhatan County ran well first time on dirt last race, but note it was only 5 horse field #2 Quick Money---will be probable fave, but I'm never on the right wavelength with this horse, so it will probably win today.

Race 3:6::4: I was just going to single #6 Rigby, as he looks like the logical winner, but I've always been a big Heritage Hall fan, it's not likely he takes 16 months off and outruns Rigby, but the price will be right.

Pick 3 $32.

[captainhot]

:3::14::1: I'll tell my grandkids about you! Straight Tri.

[KidCapper]

Race -1 The :3: . Off the turf in the opener. 3rd time off the layoff for new trainer Gullo who hits at 18% with new horses in the barn. Has a win on an off track and the slight drop in class today should help. (3-14-1)

Well race 1 went according to Hoyle. I ran 1-2-3 in order with an ON TOP winner at 5-2. Good Start!

[KidCapper]

:3::14::1: I'll tell my grandkids about you! Straight Tri.

lol Thx Captain!

[PhantomOnTour]

Main speeds are the :2: and :7: and i think one of them will be there at the end on this track.

EX:
2-7 w 2-5-7-8-9
EX:
8 w 2-7
WIN:
7

[KidCapper]

Race -2 The :8: . Puts the blinkers back on for a 40% trainer move for Rodriguez. Jumps up in class for another 13% trainer move. Is bred to relish the off track and should sit a good trip here. (8-3-7)

A nice ride by Garcia makes me 2 for 2 with ON TOP winners so far today. This one at 2-1.

On to the 3rd leg of the pick 3!!

[Robert Fischer]

Top Pick 2 for 2 :ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

[Robert Fischer]

Main speeds are the :2: and :7: and i think one of them will be there at the end on this track.

EX:
2-7 w 2-5-7-8-9
EX:
8 w 2-7
WIN:
7

good thinking

[PhantomOnTour]

Main speeds are the :2: and :7: and i think one of them will be there at the end on this track.

EX:
2-7 w 2-5-7-8-9
EX:
8 w 2-7
WIN:
7
Whew...saver exacta bails me out...pays $33 for a $2 bet

Bel R4:
gonna get stupid here and play a :6: w :3: :7: w ALL trifecta
Rigby just looks too good and the other two are the best closers in the field. Hoping Rigby wins by a bunch and one of these clunks up for 2nd. Only way to play it imo...will make prayer saver win bet on the :7: who came out of the same race as the winner of R1

[KidCapper]

Race -3 The :6: . Hard to look past what this Assmussen trainnee has done lately. Running back to back 100plus Bris figures in easy wins. Only question here is the off-track which he has a win over. (6-1-5)

Top pick runs 3rd at 2-5....Good news my 2nd choice wins at 3-1 for the pick 3 winner and to keep it rolling. Finished 1-7-6. Here are the totals thru 3 races.


Straight Bet $60
Straight Ret $104
Straight Net+$44


Pick 3 Bet $216 for the card
Pick 3 Ret $75.75 so far and rolling on to the next leg.

[Robert Fischer]

must be butter... cuz you're on a roll.... :ThmbUp::ThmbUp:

[PhantomOnTour]

Bel R4 - probably gonna pass this one unless the :3: remains around her current 7-1 price.
Trust in Goldberg and Ramon off the layoff...well bred, working right along at Colts Neck, barn has been known to be deadly off the long layoff

[KidCapper]

Race -4 The :6: Off the layoff for a 26% McLaughlin move. Goes turf to dirt for another 21% angle. Has shown the ability to handle the off going with an 85 Bris figure over the surface. Bullet work Sept 21st for this. (6-4-3)

Top pick runs 2nd at 4-1. 2nd choice wins to hit the pick 3 and keep the pick 3 rolling. Finished 4-6-7. Totals thru 4 races...

Straight Bet $80
Straight Ret $120.50
Straight Net+$40.50


Pick 3 Bet $216 for the card
Pick 3 Ret $115.75 so far and rolling on to the next leg.

[PhantomOnTour]

I'm with KidCap on this one..swangin for it with the :1: ...still a maiden but ran impressively behind a wire to wire winner in last, gaining nicely in the lane after going three wide on the turn. Speed held well on the turf that day and JJ stays with him in this Gr3.
Value is there at 14-1...trying to get the Pletcher :3: out of the equation

[KidCapper]

Race -5 The :1: . I think a Brown runner wins this Yld turf race with either the or the . I'll tab the higher price runner from the rail here. Ran 2nd in career debut and trainer hits at 22% with 2nd time starters.(1-7-2)

Well I was right about the Brown runner..but it was the 6-5 fav that won. I did hit the pick 3 and continue to keep that rolling. Finished 7-3-4 Results thru 5 races..

Straight Bet $100
Straight Ret $120.50
Straight Net+$20.50


Pick 3 Bet $216 for the card
Pick 3 Ret $159.25 so far and rolling on to the next leg.

[duncan04]

Good job so far KidCappper!! Good to see you back.


r6- like the :4: here

[KidCapper]

Race -6 The :16: . Off the turfer here and i've landed on the MTO runner here. Must overcome the outside post. Wide open race here. (16-14-12)

Figures the one MTo only horse I throw out wins. :bang: Win some lose some. Starting anew in the 7th. Totals thru 6 races.

Straight Bet $120
Straight Ret $120.50
Straight Net+$.50


Pick 3 Bet $216 for the card
Pick 3 Ret $159.25 so far

Next!

[KidCapper]

Race -7 The :7: . May be the toughest race on the card filled with solid looking 1st time starters across the baord. I've landed here for Goldberg. Been training well for this for 16% 1st time out trainer. (7-6-1)

The wheels have come off the bus. :bang: Was no where close here. Totals thru 7 races.

Straight Bet $140
Straight Ret $120.50
Straight Net-$19.50


Pick 3 Bet $216 for the card
Pick 3 Ret $159.25 so far

Next! :bang:

[KidCapper]

Race -8 The :3: . Broke her maiden at 1st asking on a Yld turf course. The sod Gods must be watching over this one as its another yld course today. Stretches out to the route today for a 16% trainer move. Some things to like here. (3-4-7)

Top pick off the board. Started the final pick 3 with the 4. Results thru 8 races.

Straight Bet $160
Straight Ret $120.50
Straight Net-$39.50


Pick 3 Bet $216 for the card
Pick 3 Ret $159.25 so far

[KidCapper]

Race -9 The :2: . At 8-1 on the ML for Robb. Ships in from Delaware for a 22% shipping trainer. Has a win and a 2nd on a sf and yld turf course so the track condition should be no concern here. Longshot play here. (2-3-8)

Same song..top pick off the board. Pick 3 still going with the :3: . Totals thru 9 races.

Straight Bet $180
Straight Ret $120.50
Straight Net-$59.50


Pick 3 Bet $216 for the card
Pick 3 Ret $159.25 so far

[KidCapper]

Race -10 The :3: . An 8-1 longshot to hit the road with today. A double drop in class for another 22% move. Has the speed to be prominent here on the cutback to 6F today. Bombs away in the last! (3-12-11)

$17.00 ON TOP winner to go home with at least. Hit the final pick 3 as well. Here are the totals for Belmont today.

Straight Bet $200
Straight Ret $255.50
Straight Net+$55.50


Pick 3 Bet $216 for the card
Pick 3 Ret $246.
Pick 3 Net +$30

Total profit of $85.50. Thanks for playing along if ya did.

[Vinnie]

Nice pick on the 3 in the Tenth and nice capping today Kid... :)

Have a good evening.