8/4 live

[Itamaraca]

SAR R1:

:10:, Strategic Missile: shortened to 5.5F last out and was unable to get the lead against the very fast (early) Eden is Burning. Is now sharpened for a prime effort. She doesn't need the lead here and should be able to sit just off the pace, chasing. win if >= 25:1

:2:, Stopshoppingmaria: Bravo off, Castellano up. The difference is that while Castellano has premature tendencies in him (ever increasing) he at least has the ability to hold them together late. underlay

[frankcolt]

Monmouth race 1

:2: Bear Always

[Itamaraca]

WO R1:

:6:, Quinzee: quickly becoming one of my pets. No sense getting off him now. Unfortunately, the clueless figurehead Dawn Lupul likes him today.

R2:

:1:, Holymolycatgotzoli: 7F should be perfect for this one. Like the last race.

[frankcolt]

WO Race 1
:5: Smart Sky 10.00 to win and tri key
w/ :1: :2: :7:

with :5: :2: :7: tri box

[Itamaraca]

MORONIC ride by Garcia. Another idiot in a hurry to go no where back backwards in the stretch.

[Itamaraca]

SAR R2:

:8:, Starter: nice odds and some decent races. No killers in here

use with

:4:, :7:, :9:

[frankcolt]

Sar Race 3

:7: Channel Isle - saw an english channel horse win on the dirt/poly at the same (approx) distance good odds of 16-1

[smokinjoe@bp]

arlington r1 #4 sea why w/p ex box 4-1-8

[frankcolt]

Crappy start for Channel Isle finished 4th - keep in mind when you see this horse on the grass

[Itamaraca]

WO R3:

:7:, Best Beware: now or never. He can get the distance, unlike the others. Bad horse but the others are worse.

:2: and :4: are the others.

[Itamaraca]

SAR R4:

:4:, Carbon County: figures to get 1st or 2nd run in a race that should have some speed.

:9:, Adjournment: likely speed; distance challenged. His chances depend on either not being pressured or sitting just behind the speed. Will bet to win if > 20:1.

:11:, Gossip Column: wins if there's action in the race.

:8:, Kharafa: stretching, should stalk and get an early run. two turns might be an issue for this one.

[smokinjoe@bp]

arlington r2 #1 rain ray w/p

[Mr G]

I know Ramon D is talented but to ride two horses in one race and come in first and second on both of them is just amazing. :)

[Itamaraca]

WO R5:

:5:, American Placed

:8:, Spanish Post: bomb

:9:, Officers Dream

[Itamaraca]

WO R7:

:3:, Playing for Fun

:8:, Stage Trip

:6:, Venus Bay

:5:, Two Wonders

[Itamaraca]

Damn, I bet this one to win, as it was the highest odds. But I couldn't get any of the others in the exotics. So, I didn't do much more than break even. :bang:The 3 was 2nd in the stretch but faded.

Stein is really getting annoying with all his Domininguezlike rail trips.

# Win Place Show
8 $26.80 $10.00 $7.00

[Itamaraca]

SAR R8:

:2:, Wallis: rank last time and worse trip than the winner. Need a better ride AND a lead change from Lezcano.

[PhantomOnTour]

Giving #7 a shot here in R8 at Sar...using under the 5-10 and betting to win

[Itamaraca]

WO R8:

:3:, Stunning Stag
:1:, Pool Play
:6:, Incredicat

[Itamaraca]

Well, I didn't win but at least Contreras screwed up the race enough so that he AND Baker didn't win either. :lol:

[Itamaraca]

SAR R9

:6:, Agave Kiss: Rudy has the good stuff. Wire to wire.

:4:, Tu Endie Wei: have to figure the premature move tightened this one up a bit. But, the problem is that Baker really has no idea as to how to really get this one race fit.

R10

:8:, Hymn Book: should be enough pace for this one to get home Just so many perfect trips Ron the Greek can get.

[PhantomOnTour]

I have given up on Tu Endei Wei...she was in a beautiful position last time and didn't get it done.
I will pass this one as Agave's main pace rival has scr and she may cruise. If i had to take a shot i would step out with the :7: at a good price.

[Mr G]

SAR Race 9

1 Emma's Encore

[Itamaraca]

WO R9:

:6:, :9:

R10:

:10:, :9:, :12:

[PhantomOnTour]

There it is MrG...got 5-1 on her...a square price to say the least

Tu Endei Wei needs to get back to synth

[Itamaraca]

ELP R9:

:2:,:9:,:6:

[Itamaraca]

The 2 was my key. Had the exacta. But wasted 2 numbers using Maker's horse.

$1.00 Exacta 6-2 $16.20

[Itamaraca]

Yesssssssssssss

Getting my ass kicked all day but scored out in this one. Very strong 10-9, weak 10-12; decent 9-10. Damn, Jermaine got it done for me, outfinishing Contreras on the 40:1 shot.

Woodbine T-bred - Race 10
# Win Place Show
10 $6.40 $4.60 $3.80
9 . $9.80 $6.90
7 . . $12.60

$1.00 Exacta 10-9 $31.25

Way to bounce back in the last two. Shit happens when you get 3 hours of sleep and then start playing them on the fly.

[Itamaraca]

Played a one number double Dominus to Not Today (#10). See what happens; going out.

[PaceAdvantage]

Yesssssssssssss

Getting my ass kicked all day but scored out in this one. Very strong 10-9, weak 10-12; decent 9-10. Damn, Jermaine got it done for me, outfinishing Contreras on the 40:1 shot.

Woodbine T-bred - Race 10
# Win Place Show
10 $6.40 $4.60 $3.80
9 . $9.80 $6.90
7 . . $12.60

$1.00 Exacta 10-9 $31.25

Way to bounce back in the last two. Shit happens when you get 3 hours of sleep and then start playing them on the fly.I hear you on the sleep things... :lol:

Nice hit...

[Itamaraca]

8/05

**********************

SAR

R1:

:6:, Gunforhome: from a chart standpoint, her maiden win is the best race in the field. good odds and should have no problem getting the distance

:3:, Decennial: some decent efforts. distance might be an issue

:9:, Trophy Wife: can't ignore Shug/JV in these distance races -- especially when they're getting play.


R2

:5:, State Flag: nice race 2 back; boat race last time out; another chance.

:4:, Hogue: McPeek layoff; some decent efforts.

:9:, Input: Mott chalk; should appreciate the extra distance.


Just trying to get the double here. Conditional win bet Gunforhome @ 20:1

[Itamaraca]

9 won the 1st @ 3:1

ran 1-9-2-4 in the 2nd

[Itamaraca]

INCREDIBLE.

NYRA is now taking a bunch of races off the turf. did it rain that hard? certainly didn't rain very long

Off the turf @ ELP as well.

[Itamaraca]

WO R3:

big balloon possibilities

:3:, Not Too Tacky: Ramsammy is up but if this one stays > 20:1, it's worth the risk. Anything resembling a heady ride (a HUGE expectation with Ramsammy) puts this one right there

:5:, Where Is'em: fighter effort last out. should be prominent early.

:7:, Captain Casual: this one doesn't appear to be much and is making its 1st start of the year; but he's getting some play and Brnjas has to be respected in routes

:2:, Bear's Future: chalk from the inept Baker. No way to discern when these run as there's no logic to Baker's method. Either he wins for fun or gets nothing.

[Itamaraca]

Rainford/Farley dueled the 5 into submission. Who knows where that came from. Farley definitely has an edge. 3 had a good trip and just wasn't good enough.

ran 2-1-7-6

[PhantomOnTour]

#8 Finders Key may be tough on the front end over this messy track.
Currently 18-1 and i think she's the quickest of them all...did well to hang on in last after a very nice effort on the front end.
The other main E is ridden by Leparoux so i don't expect an all out pace try with him up.
Two Discreet Cat's could duke it out up front (#2 and #8) but this track should help their running style, and i think #8 is the quicker of the two.

We'll see

[Itamaraca]

WO R4 -- 12F on the turf


Supposed to nail this one but this is one tough race.

:5:, Ojibway Signal: against the grain last time out. Ideally, he sets an unpressured pace, as he outran the 7 early last out. But I suspect DaSilva (or someone else) will go with him today. need > 10:1 for a win bet.

:2:, MacAllan: this horse isn't much. But he breaks on the inside and Stein excels at saving ground in longer races. Doesn't have to be the best horse to win.

:6:, Sir McIntyre: I include this one out of respect for Attfield. In the past, he'd out-train the others in these routes. He's been subpar so far this year, however; and the horse is an underlay. Maybe gets a piece.

[Itamaraca]

At least my brain is back to working. DaSilva rode an incredible confident ride and appeared every bit the winner for almost the entire race, stalking the 5 in hand. But the DOOFUS couldn't get by. :lol::lol:

5:1 didn't get by the software, however. Hopefully, I influenced others into betting this one.

Woodbine T-bred - Race 4
# Win Place Show
5 $13.30 $6.10 $4.00
7 . $5.30 $3.90
4 . . $3.70

[PhantomOnTour]

#8 Finders Key may be tough on the front end over this messy track.
Currently 18-1 and i think she's the quickest of them all...did well to hang on in last after a very nice effort on the front end.
The other main E is ridden by Leparoux so i don't expect an all out pace try with him up.
Two Discreet Cat's could duke it out up front (#2 and #8) but this track should help their running style, and i think #8 is the quicker of the two.

We'll see
I think i will be hard pressed to come up with a worse pick the rest of the day...lovely trip, lovely ride :rolleyes:

[Itamaraca]

WO R5:

I have no idea why Baker, :7:, is 4:5 here. Horse can win but Reade really needs to STFU every so often.

:8:, Mira La Luna: BOZO ride by Moreno last time out. One more chance.

:2:, Krz Executive: 1ster doesn't have to be much to handle this field.

[Itamaraca]

ran 1A-7-8-2 -- wire job

Stein took off the winner for the 2.

Stayed out of this one as the 8 got hit to 3:1.

[Itamaraca]

WO R6:

:3:, Strike Red: probably too good for these. DaSilva can cut the fractions or sit just behind Woolly Bear.

:5:, Gold Dust Lady: mistimed run last out. Contreras stays up. Needs to make the LAST move -- tough thing for him to understand. Better race than the 7 last out.

[smokinjoe@bp]

arlington r4 # 3 roi le roy w/p ex box 3-5-7

[Itamaraca]

Contreras didn't learn from that last race and insisted on chasing with the 5. Too close to the pace, too early a bid, nada at the end.

Just played a one number 3-5

ran 3-4-1-7

[Itamaraca]

Farley definitely has an edge.

ran 2-1-7-6

That would be Fairlie :bang:

[smokinjoe@bp]

arlington r5 #7 misfired w/p ex box 7-4-1

[smokinjoe@bp]

arlington r6 #3 milestone missile w/p ex box 3-7-1

[Itamaraca]

WO R8:

tough to say how this track is playing routing -- definitely speed biased sprinting

:3:,:4:,:5: should nail the exacta and maybe tri

3 is the speed but I just don't see her wiring

[Itamaraca]

wow. Contreras at his best. Busts the habitual closer 4 out of the gate and duels with the 5, while the 3 gets a perfect trip in 3rd. And he give up the place late stretch.

ran 3-7-4-1

[Mr G]

SAR 8


$20 Win/Place on #4 Gee Linz

$60.00 to SHOW on $4

$20 WIN ONLY on #8, John's Mariah

[Itamaraca]

WO R9:

12 F Stake


I think the winner will come from the :3:,:4:,:8:,:10:
Hard to see anything else getting the distance.

:8:, Dixie Strike: One of two fillies I like. I think this is the best 12F horse in the race. The only way she loses is if there's no pace and the race is won on the front end. The problem, however, is that she's had 3 tough races the past 2 months, losing to the 3 twice, and does not have a workout since her last effort - a concern. I think she's better than the 3 going 12F. If they're going with her, she'll get hit. 7:2 with 16 min to post.

:3:, Irish Mission: the other filly. Will be more forwardly placed and very tough to beat. But I don't think that 12F is her forte.

:10:, Wilcox: probably the most suited of the others to get 12F. Crushed by the top two in the Plate but clearly a lot better on turf. Wouldn't be surprised if this one won.

:4:, Aldous Snow: very nice turf races. Impressive last out. 12F is a ?


11 is 1st time lasix and has some good turf efforts. Could get a minor piece but I just can't use the INEPT Day-Phillips was any confidence (let alone in a 12F race).

[PhantomOnTour]

WO Race 10:
using the 5-7 under the 4-8-10 with a win bet on both...the 7 could surprise and win it

[Mr G]

SAR Race 9

$10.00 Double #4, Ascauga with ALL in race 10 = $80

$10 Exacta ALL with 4, Ascauga = $50.00

[Itamaraca]

Played the 3 and 8 ON TOP in exactas with the others (total of 6 numbers). Was fortunate the photo went my way.

Woodbine T-bred - Race 9
# Win Place Show
3 $11.80 $6.10 $4.70
4 . $5.80 $4.20
5 . . $12.10

$1.00 Exacta 3-4 $27.30

[Itamaraca]

WO R10:

alive to the :4: and :9: in doubles.

[PhantomOnTour]

Nice hit in R8 MrG

[Itamaraca]

wo r10.

saver :2:OVER :4:, :9:

[Itamaraca]

SAR R10:

:3:, Justin Phillip: superior off track runner. Not as good a horse as Shackleford but maybe it works to his advantage today. Win bet if >= 10:1

:1:, Shackleford: very tough to beat.

box these

[Mr G]

Nice hit in R8 MrG

Thanks..I'm slowly but surely working myself back into my groove...

Going with another longshot in race 10 ...

SAR Race 10

$40.00 WIN on #4, Rothko = $40.00

$1.00 Trifecta Wheel...ALL with 4 with ALL =$42.00

$1.00 Trifecta Wheel ALL with ALL with 4 =$42.00

Wager Total = $ 124.00

I am hoping one of the high odds bombs upsets the Vanderbilt and that the 4 will place or show behind the bomb for the tri....

[Itamaraca]

wo r10.

saver :2:OVER :4:, :9:

2 wins it; 9 loses photo for 2nd late

[PhantomOnTour]

Sar Race 10:

Cannot trust Garcia on Emcee so i will cross my fingers and toss him.
Shack is a beast and the 3-4 are the only other plausible hopes.
Jersey Town did run a solid one last year at Sar in the Forego, but his best is behind him.
Trusting Ramon and Julien (gulp) to give their mounts the best shot at Shack

EX:
1-4 w 1-3-4-7
WIN:
3-4

[Itamaraca]

usually agree with the WO stewards; but the 7 is supposed to come down here, as the incident didn't happen immediately after the break.

[Robert Fischer]

:6:

[Itamaraca]

Dominguez does a lot of things well but he finishes like a pussy. He just cost the 3 a G1.

[Mr G]

Thanks..I'm slowly but surely working myself back into my groove...

Going with another longshot in race 10 ...

SAR Race 10

$40.00 WIN on #4, Rothko = $40.00

$1.00 Trifecta Wheel...ALL with 4 with ALL =$42.00

$1.00 Trifecta Wheel ALL with ALL with 4 =$42.00

Wager Total = $ 124.00

I am hoping one of the high odds bombs upsets the Vanderbilt and that the 4 will place or show behind the bomb for the tri....

Damnit..I get a bomb to win the race but the 4 tired and couldn't hold for 2nd or 3rd....damnit!

Edit: And the 5-3-2 $2.00 tri paid $1554.00....my strategy plan worked but I went with the wrong horse for 2nd and/or 3rd...damnit!

[Robert Fischer]

have to watch again, but looked like Emcee ran a pretty good race before it fell apart.