Saratoga Mon 7-23-12 Mon

[KidCapper]

Just doing a race-by race seleciton today. Feel free to jump in with your thoughts. Good luck

Race -1 The :3: . Should love the turnback to 5.5F today and the stalking try at 7F last out.

$10 WP :3:

$5 Exacta Box :2: :3: :5:

[PhantomOnTour]

Gotta use Weaver...4-1 is a nice price.
I also like #4 who figures to get a very nice stalking trip behind a busy pace...4-8 lifetime record is nice, needs to take to the turf for new barn. Aired last two times off the shelf...nice stretch kick, nice turf jock, and nice 7-1 price.
Gimme

[sally]

I think I'm betting Ramon today.

[sally]

Just to be clear...I didn't bet the first race... but Ramon is hot again today.

[KidCapper]

Just doing a race-by race seleciton today. Feel free to jump in with your thoughts. Good luck

Race -1 The :3: . Should love the turnback to 5.5F today and the stalking try at 7F last out.

$10 WP :3:

$5 Exacta Box :2: :3: :5:

Well race 1 was a total flop..Phantom your 4 had no where to run in the stretch. And Ramon wins another....

[PhantomOnTour]

Gotta use Weaver...4-1 is a nice price.
I also like #4 who figures to get a very nice stalking trip behind a busy pace...4-8 lifetime record is nice, needs to take to the turf for new barn. Aired last two times off the shelf...nice stretch kick, nice turf jock, and nice 7-1 price.
Gimme
Boohoo bellyache time...my Lord what a messy trip that was for #4.
He looked to have a seam but never went through...or was he shut off the whole way?
Looked like he would bust through and blow em away, but alas, it 'tweren't to be :bang:

[PhantomOnTour]

I'm lucky that i didn't take a big plunge on that horse...was about to load up on him.
He was that horse that the more you look the more you like.

had a win bet
had a DD bet
had ex bets with him and #3 on top

[KidCapper]

Saratoga Race -2 The :4: . Off the layoff for McLaughlin who hits at 27% off the shelf. Takes a drop in class today and has 2 bullet works coming in.

$10 WP :4:

$5 Exacta Box :4: :7: :1:

[sally]

My longshot is :2: glowing praise, even tho Maggie doesn't think he's ready... I also like the :8: safety valve...seems on his toes...

[PhantomOnTour]

Chad Brown drops this #7 off a win...hmmmm...it is Sar though.
#3 is the key to the race as he may or may not keep #7 honest early....i think the #5 is too slow to press #7.

Gonna pass this one...#1 offers some value but is up in class...price on the #4 is now too low for me at 7-2

[PhantomOnTour]

Good one KidCap...gonna be a nice ex

[KidCapper]

Saratoga Race -2 The :4: . Off the layoff for McLaughlin who hits at 27% off the shelf. Takes a drop in class today and has 2 bullet works coming in.

$10 WP :4:

$5 Exacta Box :4: :7: :1:


Hmmmm Top pick failed to fire...but I hit the $5 Exacta box with my 2nd and 3rd choices....kind of a backdoor win but i'll take it.

$2 Exacta paid $80.00.

Totals thru 2 races.

Bet $100
Ret $200
Net+$100

[LAP_520]

Nice hit on the exacta in race 2 Kid !

[KidCapper]

Race 3 The :3: . 3rd time off the layoff for a 13% Contessa move. Bullet 4f work July 13th in 45.4 with the dogs up. Javier takes the mount today.

$10 WP :3:

$5 Exacta Box :3: :8: :9:

[PhantomOnTour]

don't think i can play this one either...Jamie Ness kinda ruins the race for me. This gal could be all rubbed down with the cream and the clear and Lord knows what.

Really dislike #6 Lady Rizzi...spotty campaign punctuated by a vet scratch at Bel on Jly8...no thanks, esp at 7-2.
#3 looks solid but the front end could be hot. Javier may stalk, esp if #2 goes early....no bargain at 2-1 though
Guess the value is #7 Notell at 17-1, but i dont see her as a win candidate. She'll need these to come back to her at 5.5f, but can get a slice.

[sally]

I'm betting the farm on Ramon this race. :9: High Cry.

[BlueChip@DRF]

Who is Linda Rice's go-to rider? Is it Alan Garcia? Or is that McLaughlin's go-to rider?

[sally]

Dang. Lost the farm. :confused:

[PhantomOnTour]

Who is Linda Rice's go-to rider? Is it Alan Garcia? Or is that McLaughlin's go-to rider?
Rice uses Cornelio quite a bit, but she wins with Ramon also (who doesn't?)

Glad i passed that race...woulda lost...all races with a Ness runner in it are called The Untouchables as far as i'm concerned....no bet

[Mr G]

Dang. Lost the farm. :confused:

But you still have the animals :) ( they're all I have left...I lost the farm yesterday )

[KidCapper]

Race 3 The :3: . 3rd time off the layoff for a 13% Contessa move. Bullet 4f work July 13th in 45.4 with the dogs up. Javier takes the mount today.

$10 WP :3:

$5 Exacta Box :3: :8: :9:

2nd best here at 8-5. 2nd and 4th in the exacta. Totals thru 3 races.

Bet $150
Ret $217
Net+$67

[LAP_520]

Who is Linda Rice's go-to rider? Is it Alan Garcia? Or is that McLaughlin's go-to rider?

McLaughlin used to use Alan Garcia a lot until last fall. Do not know the perticulars as to the hit and miss now...maybe because Alan's agent has him jumping all over the place.

[KidCapper]

Saratoga Race 4 The :8: Taking a stab at 15-1 on the morning line. Castellano lands here after riding both the :4: and :5: in there last starts. With the scratch of the :7: ,this one should sit a good trip in here. Keeneally hits at 27% 2nd time with a new horse. Bullet work coming in. Bombs away in the 4th???

$10 WP :8:

$5 Exacta Box :8: :4: :5:

[BlueChip@DRF]

The Graveyard of Favorites? My ass. More like the Graveyard of Wallets. Saratoga is beginning to really sukbigmooskok. :bang:

[Striker]

Rice uses Cornelio quite a bit, but she wins with Ramon also (who doesn't?)


Yep, and she will try to use Rosie when she can get her.

[Canarsie]

I like Billboard Babe in the 5th. Didn't change leads till late in last which was her second race in nine days. That's a tough task for a green 2YO filly to overcome. Gets off a little over three weeks and stretches out. 7/2 ML

[sally]

Gonna give Ramon a chance to win back my farm. :5: Change of Command

[PhantomOnTour]

#4 is the trip horse
#6 is the hard luck horse
#10 is the best closer
#2 is also a strong closer at a nice price

EX: 4-6 w 2-4-5-6-10
WIN: 2-4

[BlueChip@DRF]

I guess I'll just wait for Belmont in the fall.

[Mr G]

Saratoga Race 4 The :8: Taking a stab at 15-1 on the morning line. Castellano lands here after riding both the :4: and :5: in there last starts. With the scratch of the :7: ,this one should sit a good trip in here. Keeneally hits at 27% 2nd time with a new horse. Bullet work coming in. Bombs away in the 4th???

$10 WP :8:

$5 Exacta Box :8: :4: :5:

Excellent call on the 8!!

[sally]

Ramon you're breakin' my heart!!

Nice hit Kid!

[LAP_520]

Was afraid of that ....Ramon is sucking the money out of the bettors today.

And it will only get worse once Johnny V is able to ride ...maybe later this week.

[PhantomOnTour]

KidCap turning that Sar season around here on Day4...nice logic on picking that #8

[KidCapper]

Saratoga Race 4 The :8: Taking a stab at 15-1 on the morning line. Castellano lands here after riding both the :4: and :5: in there last starts. With the scratch of the :7: ,this one should sit a good trip in here. Keeneally hits at 27% 2nd time with a new horse. Bullet work coming in. Bombs away in the 4th???

$10 WP :8:

$5 Exacta Box :8: :4: :5:

Bet down to 5-1 but an ON TOP winner I'll take!! Ran 1st-3rd in the exacta. Totals thru 4 races.

Bet $200
Ret $317
Net+$117

[sally]

Big Brown won his first race as a 2yo right? Wonder if his daughter can do the same...

[BlueChip@DRF]

If this were Belmont, I'd be all over the :7:.

[KidCapper]

Race -5 This is a tough little event. I'm going to land on the :2: . Ward runner tries the grass for the 1st time for a 20% training move and another 29% when 1st routing. Daughter by Kitten's Joy should love the green and the Dam has thrown 4 turf winners from 6 starters. Some things to like.

$10 WP :2:

$5 Exacta Box :2: :3: :9:

[sally]

Well, I'm going for a Father, like Daughter, situation and am betting :8: Adventurine.

Come on, Ramon...redeem yourself!

[PhantomOnTour]

The 6 and 9 are both even type runners stretching out, but you gotta use a lot in here, like the 2-3-8.

Gonna give the 9 a shot under the 2-3-6-8 and a win bet

[Striker]

Tough post but going to go with

:10: Radiant Cut

[sally]

Ugh. I'm done, got to go take a pill. :(

[KidCapper]

Race -5 This is a tough little event. I'm going to land on the :2: . Ward runner tries the grass for the 1st time for a 20% training move and another 29% when 1st routing. Daughter by Kitten's Joy should love the green and the Dam has thrown 4 turf winners from 6 starters. Some things to like.

$10 WP :2:

$5 Exacta Box :2: :3: :9:

Top pick ran well to finish 3rd. Left out the Clement 1ster and got burned. :bang: Totals thru 5 races.

Bet $250
Ret $317
Net+$67

[BlueChip@DRF]

Ugh. I'm done, got to go take a pill. :(

If you weren't there for the wedding, then don't go to the funeral. :)

[KidCapper]

Saratoga Race 6 The :1: . 3rd time off the layoff for Seth who hits at 18% with the move. Last was a total throw out. Castellano returns for the ride today. 2 works since last.

$10 WP :1:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :3: :6:

[BlueChip@DRF]

Looks like Dominguez/Dutrow now.

[stuball]

Is it raining there sure looks like it is.......
Stuball

[Mr G]

Race 6...Pick 3....ALL/ALL/1 = $49.00

[Robert Fischer]

R6
the 7 is better than he looked last race (if i am correct that he will change leads today.)
The 3 is a small horse but should give it an effort

1 and 4 add value

[PhantomOnTour]

box 1-6-7

[KidCapper]

Saratoga Race 6 The :1: . 3rd time off the layoff for Seth who hits at 18% with the move. Last was a total throw out. Castellano returns for the ride today. 2 works since last.

$10 WP :1:

$5 Exacta Box :1: :3: :6:

Off the mark here. Finished 6-7-5 Totals thru 6 races...

Bet $300
Ret $317
Net+$17

[Robert Fischer]

Race 6...Pick 3....ALL/ALL/1 = $49.00

:ThmbUp:
SFSG

[Robert Fischer]

box 1-6-7

:ThmbUp:

[KidCapper]

Race 7 Taking a shot with the :8: . Love Speightstown babies going short right out of the gate. 16% 1st time winning sire. Trainer Serpe with 1st timers only a 6% trainer but this one has the breeding to be good early.

$10 WP :8:

$5 Exacta Box :8: :6: :1:

[BlueChip@DRF]

Joel Rosario to finally get one today! :)

[Robert Fischer]

gonna pass here.

Have to respect pletcher, but the 6 looks very nervous to me. Combined with the low odds scares me off. The pletcher Rose' horse in the Sanford had the same nervous temperament.

The 5 is also nervous. 5 and 8 might be the best looking animals.

[PhantomOnTour]

i like the #2 Brassy Ego

[KidCapper]

Race 7 Taking a shot with the :8: . Love Speightstown babies going short right out of the gate. 16% 1st time winning sire. Trainer Serpe with 1st timers only a 6% trainer but this one has the breeding to be good early.

$10 WP :8:

$5 Exacta Box :8: :6: :1:

Won the battle up front then lost the war. 2nd best here at 9-2. Totals thru 7 races..

Bet $350
Ret $348
Net-$02

[Robert Fischer]

keep trading haymakers till you get the knockout, Kid

[KidCapper]

Race 8. The :1: :1a: Entry. Tried to find a price here and couldn't. The entry could run 1-2 in here.

$10 WP :1: :1a:

$5 Exacta box :1: :1a: :2: :3:

[BlueChip@DRF]

Come on, Grandpa! :)

[Mr G]

Race 6...Pick 3....ALL/ALL/1 = $49.00

If the 1 wins I'll get $111.25 which will net me $62.25

But more then that I really hope to hit due to I have not been able to get on track so far at the meet....the $62.25 will hardly make a dent in my losses to date over the last 4 days but hitting it sure will help my mental state as I can't recall ever getting off to such a horrible start at a meet.

After losing again earlier I decided to go ALL with ALL in those two small fields hoping to beat the heavy favorites and that is what happened....it will be nice for the 1 to come in here and finally give me a winner....if for any other reason, to get me off a losing track and hopefully to start a winning track.

But if the 1 doesn't win, then will need to take a few days off to regroup on my own.

Good luck to all!

[Mr G]

Irad Ortiz on the 7 at 23-1 is down right scary...I am slowly becoming a huge fan of his..

[Robert Fischer]

not really a fan of the :2: and he beat the chad brown 1 last time

3 or flashy ?

pass

[Mr G]

Come on, Grandpa! :)

Grand Pa just crushed them ( and me too )

[Robert Fischer]

somebody had to win. I knew the 2 and 1 were underlays, but wouldn't have had the 6 if i hit the All-button...:D

not exactly the hottest horses being entered for 9 furlongs today.

[Robert Fischer]

Come on, Grandpa! :)

good call :ThmbUp:

[KidCapper]

Race 9 The :6: for the win here. 3rd time off the layoff for Kimmel at 17% with the move. Has enough speed to lay close to the :4: here. 2 sprints to a route move for another 26% angle. Should continue to get better the farther he runs.

$10 WP :6:

$5 Exacta Box :6: :4: :7:

$5 Late Double :6: with :5: :8: :2:

[Robert Fischer]

:4: for me.

if he takes the lead into the stretch it could test the :7:.
7 is a good horse, but I'm not 100% convinced that bleeding was the reason for the layoff. Maybe it was but there were some other negatives.


EDIT = smart tactics from Mott/Alavarado, best horse wins.

[Robert Fischer]

:9: looks solid in the last race. edit =shw bet for fun

the 3 is a neat horse but poor recent form.