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View Full Version : Bel Sunday - race by race


PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 12:25 PM
Got the place to myself all day long (oh, the glory!) so i will be yapping about the races at Bel today.
Hopefully i can find some winners in my top six choices :D
(just kidding y'all - don't get sensitive)

Race 1:
hate to chalk out but i don't see any surprises here. Relying on an aggressive jock in Castro on #1 to keep the speedy #8 honest.
#9 Carson Hall should get a very nice outside stalking trip and can get it done. Problem is that he usually settles for minor placings. Been off a few months after chasing a fast pace at Aqu...JJ back up today and he'll give him every chance.
#5 and #6 both had excellent 2011 seasons and like to win way more than Carson Hall. All of these can really bring it in the lane when right.
Think the speed does not hold on here and Carson Hall should hit the lead at some point in the stretch...gotta hold off the 5 and 6.
Will play #9 under the 5-6 and over the 5-6-7 with a win bet, although anything lower than his current 5-2 odds may be unacceptable, esp for a win bet.

Good luck

KidCapper
07-01-2012, 12:48 PM
Good luck today Phantom

Solid_Gold
07-01-2012, 12:57 PM
GL Phantom, hope you cash

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 12:57 PM
Couldn't pull the trigger at 9-5...only bet was a DD using the 6-9 with the 6-7 in R2....

Race 2:
#6 is the fastest at every call by my numbers and that may be that, even with the class hike. Gonna get bet and the value may lie in the #7 who will get a legit pace to chase today...8-1 ML

Solid_Gold
07-01-2012, 01:02 PM
PS cows don't sit down, they lay down! lol

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 01:04 PM
PS cows don't sit down, they lay down! lol
Gotta use the quote as is :D
Heard it this morning while watching the Tour de France...it was either Paul Sherwen or Phil Ligget

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 01:27 PM
Race 2:
#6 is the fastest at every call by my numbers and that may be that, even with the class hike. Gonna get bet and the value may lie in the #7 who will get a legit pace to chase today...8-1 ML

boy did that race fall apart late...
---------------

EDIT - Yea.. I'd be cautious betting the top placings back from that race against better... :2: is about a 20K claimer that Miceli protected after the claim! :D

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 01:28 PM
#7 had every chance but hung...he was the one i bet on.
Didn't have that 2 anywhere

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 01:46 PM
For me it's basically 6-7-8-9 here.
The 6 and 7 are both Linda Rice turf cutbacks and she is good with that move...i will use them.
The 8 is Dutrow off a big win and a freshening so whatcha gonna do?
The 9 looks like the easy frontrunner. Although his splits from his last look very fast, they actually came on a day when the turf was pretty quick. All four turf sprints that day went in under 1:09, and most were 21's and 44's...only one race was a wire job.

Where's the other value?
Gonna let Ramon beat me on the #2 if he's good enough...no thanks
The #3 takes a much needed class plunge for Albertrani...has faced some good ones in Agave Kiss and Considerate but has shown nothing lately...no thanks.
The #10 at 5-1? Meh....ran on a speed kind track last time (in an n3l condition)and came up short, but back to turf today and n2l company.
Hmmm...maybe.

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 01:50 PM
Going with the 6 as my top choice but i can't ignore Dutrow...

EX:
6-8 w 6-7-8-9-10
WIN:
6-7

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 01:54 PM
postrace edit ^^^^ good call:ThmbUp:


-------------------------
i like 2-8-10 here
9 is my second-level contender

this race could be some longshots

i'm passing here although 2 is a fat price now..

KidCapper
07-01-2012, 02:00 PM
Going with the 6 as my top choice but i can't ignore Dutrow...

EX:
6-8 w 6-7-8-9-10
WIN:
6-7

Good call on the 6

Mr G
07-01-2012, 02:02 PM
Going with the 6 as my top choice but i can't ignore Dutrow...

EX:
6-8 w 6-7-8-9-10
WIN:
6-7

Way to go!

iceknight
07-01-2012, 02:08 PM
Going with the 6 as my top choice but i can't ignore Dutrow...

EX:
6-8 w 6-7-8-9-10
WIN:
6-7 Nice call there! Wonder if Linda Rice is getting back in win mode for Toga

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 02:09 PM
Okay okay...got a lil score there (thx for kudos y'all)...

Chad Brown opens at 1-9 in R4 !?
I don't know, but this #5 is by English Channel out of a nice productive mare (who was a Stks winner) and sits at 25-1 going first out for Tagg. He's okay with FTS and the worktab is nice.
Value everywhere if you take the following mindset:
The heavy chalk defeated Karlovy Vary last year at Sar in her only race...nice try as she lost a win photo. Now off for 10 months....hmmm...is this a "get fit" race for another try at the Spa in a month or so????
Yeah yeah, Chad Brown doesn't have many "get fit" races...his are always fit, but i gotta find a chink in the armor at this price.

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 02:24 PM
It's down to the 1-3-4-5-9 for me, but as you know, i will try to beat the chalk #4.
This #3 is an Indian Charlie first time turf and will be haulin holy ass out there on the front end...using.

EX:
3-5 w 1-3-4-5-9-13
WIN:
1-5

Okay...i lie...can't pass up a nice payoff on a 4-3 or 4-5 exacta so i will play that as well.
I don't think this #11 deserves to be the 2nd choice. Not using at all.

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 02:26 PM
4 w/9-11-13 ex bx
4-9-11-13 ex bx

iceknight
07-01-2012, 02:27 PM
I like :6: Conquesta.. but I hate Twinspires and its video.

Solid_Gold
07-01-2012, 02:28 PM
I like :6: Conquesta.. but I hate Twinspires and its video.

Try Phonebet then?

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 02:30 PM
Well, she's fit alright.

Good one Robert

iceknight
07-01-2012, 02:32 PM
Try Phonebet then? is that a different company? I still like to watch my races.. lol! Well, guess I am going back to Xpress or Idabet soon

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 02:57 PM
7 w/ 4-8-9-10 ex bx
4-7 w/ 8-9-10 ex bx
4-7-8-9-10 ex bx

lamboguy
07-01-2012, 03:00 PM
7 w/ 4-8-9-10 ex bx
4-7 w/ 8-9-10 ex bx
4-7-8-9-10 ex bx
$30 horse on top for your trick!

great going

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 03:26 PM
Where's the speed...#12?

EX:
10-11 w 7-10-11-12
WIN:
11-12

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 03:30 PM
this is a tough race

the 10 fits here, but she's not much horse, beatable
:confused:

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 03:59 PM
Giving #4 Pennymine a shot here at 13-1.
Believe there is improvement coming after a nice middle move into a good pace in his debut. Nice worktab since including a bullet; barn having a tough meet in the win hole but is running okay.
Using with 1-3-9-11

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 04:01 PM
r7
3-6-9-11

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 04:10 PM
Arrrg...picked the wrong Schosberg runner

KidCapper
07-01-2012, 04:12 PM
Race -7 The :7: . Taking a shot at 15-1 on the ML. Off the layoff for Schosberg hitting at only 9% with the move. But he is an very impressive 29% with new horses in the barn. Bullet work Jun 26th.Bombs away! (7-6-9)


Finally hit one that paid something!!! Time for a late rally!

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 04:12 PM
Well KidCap had the right Schosberg horse....good job bro.

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 04:33 PM
r8
LOVE the 1 here @ this price.:1:

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 04:33 PM
Bad race...small bet

EX BOX:
3-7-8

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 04:34 PM
hate to burst my bubble

#1 DEFLATE THE BUBBLE xscratched! :D

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 04:39 PM
I box the 3-7-8...the 3 looks loaded for bear and gets caught behind the fading 4 and backs out of it...nice ride. :rolleyes:
Then the 8 looks like he's going by and the chalk holds him off for the smallest possible payoff.
Awesome...totally awesome :rolleyes:

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 04:39 PM
Bad race...small bet

EX BOX:
3-7-8

good call :ThmbUp:

Mr G
07-01-2012, 04:43 PM
Bad race...small bet

EX BOX:
3-7-8

$25.40 exacta....good call

Would have been better if Ramon would have passed the 7 which I thought he was going to do but nope.

Your still cashing and that's what counts!!

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 04:52 PM
CCs Pal is giving a lot of weight.
Betting #4 to win

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 05:06 PM
I like CC , no price here for me..

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 05:10 PM
CCs Pal is giving a lot of weight.
Betting #4 to win

:ThmbUp:

lamboguy
07-01-2012, 05:15 PM
CCs Pal is giving a lot of weight.
Betting #4 to win
i watched DERWIN'S STAR cross the wire first and i still can't believe she won that race!

nice call on that one

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 05:37 PM
Not too excited about this one...using the 13-14 with the chalk.

EX: 13-14 w 4-13-14
TRI: 4 w 13-14 w 3-9-12-13-14
WIN: 13-14

Robert Fischer
07-01-2012, 05:38 PM
:13:

Mr G
07-01-2012, 05:38 PM
I like two bombs 3 & 5

PhantomOnTour
07-01-2012, 05:43 PM
Not too excited about this one...using the 13-14 with the chalk.

EX: 13-14 w 4-13-14
TRI: 4 w 13-14 w 3-9-12-13-14
WIN: 13-14
Really?
Man, that #13 altered course slightly in deep stretch and lost just a hair of momentum and wound up 3rd...if she gets 2nd i hit the tri and if she wins i have a win bet and ex...whaaaaatever.

BlueChip@DRF
07-01-2012, 05:48 PM
Really?
Man, that #13 altered course slightly in deep stretch and lost just a hair of momentum and wound up 3rd...if she gets 2nd i hit the tri and if she wins i have a win bet and ex...whaaaaatever.

We should knock heads. :)