Turf -- Sat

[setup]

CD

Turf only. Hopefully, the course will play fair


R4:

:5:, Vertiformer
:4:, Silver Rock
:2:, The Program

R6:

:2:, Great Attack: tons of speed in the race and he should get a nice trip; better suited to 5F
:4:, Bridgetown: got to respect

R8:

:10:, Hungry Island: bid and bounced late off a wide trip. Nice tightener
:3:, Marketing Mix: always puts in a good effort.

R10:

:7:, Data Link: going to keep riding this one. Plenty of speed in the race and all he needs is a clear run to get them
:2:, Turallure: logical horse; figures to improve off last
:11:, Papaw Bodie: angle play at a long price

[setup]

R4 @ CD was off the turf


BEL R1:

:2:,:4:,:5:

ex/tri box

conditional win bet :5: @ 20:1

[Robert Fischer]

bel r1

:4:

[setup]

WO R1:

:1:, Naviesbest: router starting for the 1st time this year. Should handle 6.5F; while some of the other won't

:3:, Asian Odyssey: Mcdonald's horses, coming back from GP, have run well so far.

[setup]

3 won it easily @ 2:1. 1 was busted out of the gate in a fast quarter and then did a PRONOUNCED retreat.:rolleyes:

[setup]

Churchill Downs - Race 6
# Win Place Show
2 $10.80 $4.60 $3.60
4 . $3.40 $3.00
3 . . $8.20

$2.00 Exacta 2-4 $32.00

UNDERLAY. Was hit from 5:1 to 4:1 last flash. But the exacta was easy, only played it one way, and I'm alive to horizontals.

Nice ride by Rosario; didn't panic when he got outrun early on the inside.

[setup]

CRUSHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

ONE # PICK 3

TwinSpires has gone BONKERS. They were showing the P3 paying ~ $200 for $2. But the actually payout was $378, evidently. Wow

[setup]

WO R7:

:7:, Hank's Hill

[setup]

2nd @ 4:1. Just missed getting the tired winner. Wide trip did him in.

[setup]

4/06

*********************

BEL R4:

:4:, Glory In Motion

[Robert Fischer]

In the 8th race playing against Clement's :3: RODINA in the win slot (multi race).
Should be a lot of pace and Castro is in a real FUNK. The horse may even be best, but look for her to be asked prematurely if expected pace develops.

The :8::9::10: can lump up to spice up single race or even win, and the :2: (win play if 3 is bet) gets the good stuff again and should be a strong contender.

[setup]

The 8th shapes up as a race with probably no value. There appears to be quite a bit of speed in the race, :4:,:5:,:7:. The :4: and :5: ran nice races to break their maiden but it's hard to expect any of the speed to be around at the end. The :3: figures to sit just behind these and get a perfect trip. But the :2: figures to do the same and will probably get a better trip, as she showed the ability to run inside. She should just be able to suck along and take over when she pleases. The :3: has to be used for 2nd but a closer will probably complete the exacta: probably :8:, with all the speed in there. (Or maybe the suckup Notell, :9:, which I won't use)

This is not a good race to bet.

exactas :3: / :2:,:8:

[setup]

Continuing the stumbling and bumbling:

R10

:10:, Namron: interesting horse -- sat a perfect trip, inside and behind, didn't have room entering, while the leader drew out, then came through on the inside and finished full of run to win going away on the wrong lead. Great trip but he also ran a bit. Figure to be tough here.

:7:, Fast Grievance: sooner or later I'll get this one home. If the race comes back, he'll be finishing strongly. Conditional win bet @ 20:1

:3:, The Laurels: Tagg/Dominguez; figures to get a piece.

[setup]

:10: wins it @ 5:2. Wide trip throughout not a problem