Picks for the Ides of March

[Ray2000]

Thursdays seems strange with no BigM racing. :confused:

Betting Win if odds > 3/1 and ? Box Exactas

Chester R2..........5,7,4 ...Spunky Monkey-12/1
3 horse box on some very green pacers, small wager....

Chester R5..........4 w/1,6 ...Roseann Ken Win-12/1
0 for 8 but... 1st time in claimers, driver switch to D Miller and inside~~ draw
not that Miller is better than Ledford, just that sometimes the switch wakes them up, key box

Chester R7..........8 w/2,5 ...Bet It All-5/1
"The Green Hornet" shows the way and hangs on but don't bet it all... 3 box exacta

Maywood R11.........4 w/1,7 ...Little Sweetheart-6/1
big class drop and last was best effort of 5 starts....key box

Also at Maywood....There's a small carryover in the 10¢ pick6 Races 2-7
124 | 15 | 46 | all | 3-Dixie Darlin* | 5 ..............108 tickets $10.80 bet

*My pick last Friday, didn't leave like I was hoping for from pp8, good chance here

Good Luck to All

[melman]

Ray I notice that the Robot has race 7 at Chester. That's the first leg of the pic4. What's the Robot have for the other three legs? There is a carryover on today's pic4 at Chester. You know I'm a "pic" bet lover. However I have NOT made a pic3 bet yet nor do I intend to at Chester. Reason---take rate 26% for a pic3. The pic4---15%.

I know for the regular player the pic4 might have limited appeal. Some like to bet only on races they have a strong view on. Or the races in the pic bet might not be "classy" enough. I understand that. I do not bet every pic4 just because it's there either. However I think the casual and many regular players should consider the value of the pic4 with it's 15% take. Most tracks have a min bet on the pic4 of $1.00 and many with a 50cent min. At the risk of being called a "redboarder" I had the pic4 at Dover yesterday. Winners in the legs were $6 $6 $7 and $5. Not all that hard right? Well the payoff came back $590. At Balmoral last night I did NOT hit the pic4. Had 3 outta 4. The payoff was just over $23,000. Also for the casual player at ustrotting.com they give out FREE yes FREE Trackmaster PP'ss for the pic4 races. Not the stripped down version either.

I think a great idea is for the player to work on getting a pic4 "plan". Start out doing it on paper bets. With the pic4 just do not count on hitting a lot of plays. Limit the amount of combo's but at the same time don't try and "win on the cheap". With the 50 cent min at some tracks this bet is not out of reach. Also the 15% take beats the take on WPS bets at 99% of all tracks, either s-bred or t-bred.

My "rant" FOR the day. :)

[Ray2000]

good points mel, rant on, rant on :)

I couldn't get comfortable with any of the 4 races (didn't know about the CO) but

my Single would be the 3 in Race 10, Keystone Torch trained by Pena's "beardette" ...Jennifer

Race 9 is the one that really drove me away, might go for a single and hope, hope, hope #4 ??? or pass

825 | 3524 | 4 | 3 ...........12 tickets

Good Luck



Question for anyone out there..
What's the best web-link to Carry Overs for Harness?


.

[melman]

That's the right idea Ray. Not every pic4 is a play. Maybe a small "take a shot" ticket at best.
Esp at the start of a meet like now at Chester.

[Ray2000]

Maywood Race 2

The Trackmaster program says 10¢ pick 6 CO $1207 but no ADW will take my bet... :mad:

FALSE INFO, sorry

put the 10 bucks on Dixie Darlin

[melman]

Good start Ray. R2 at Chester 4-5 ex good for $39.40

[Ray2000]

thx mel, I like monkeys...:)


Didn't see that last one but like Pierce here in R4

bx 123

[melman]

I like the 3 with "miller time". :) Let's hope for the exacta.

That 4 in R2 really roared home the last q.

[melman]

It was tap dancing time in R4. We got wiped out as the fav took a waltz. Somehow the 3 still got 4th. LOL


Total win pool for R4 at Chester $4.075. Sad very sad.

[Ray2000]

I'm always trying to pick against the 3/5s... oh well

Now it's Miller time, scr 6 so I'll put in #8 DDDD