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View Full Version : Does that overwhelming favorite get you?

Kirbyjrt
02-15-2012, 07:54 PM
Man, please someone tell me never to use the overwhelming favorite on top in a race again....

I get killed with these.

Everything points to the horse winning, and, of course, he doesn't. Argghhhhh!

I feel like Charlie Brown and Lucy.

Good god man!
Overlay
02-15-2012, 11:02 PM
It was experiences such as you're having that started me looking at races from a full-field, wagering value perspective, rather than focusing solely on finding the one horse most likely to win, regardless of odds.
pondman
02-16-2012, 10:07 AM
Man, please someone tell me never to use the overwhelming favorite on top in a race again....


Don't do it againg...Okay.

Lot of people on here will tell you they don't bet unless their spot is at +5-1. I'm one of those people. Look for the bigger margin for your hard earned money. If you can't find it, sit out.
sammy the sage
02-16-2012, 10:24 AM
sometimes if you KNOW what you're doing...you can get 5/1 on a 3/5 shot...not often...and of course it envolves another horse...which can/does make it risker.

one caveat...only at tracks w/large pools and handles...
Kirbyjrt
02-16-2012, 03:02 PM
You guys said it. Set my minimum odds, if I can't find it, move on. Patience is not one of my virtues.
tokyo2002
02-16-2012, 08:48 PM
It is was only in the last couple of weeks that I also learned this valuable lesson. But as a new player all you want to do is BET, BET, BET... ;)
Capper Al
02-17-2012, 01:46 AM
Some say not to bet against an under even money favorite. I hold off for odds and a spot. The spot being 3 favorite or higher(4th, 5th, etc). But I will keep the favorite in my exoctic wagers if it rates.
CincyHorseplayer
02-17-2012, 11:54 AM
I find myself seeing too many glorious possibilities in the 4th and 5th choices in the exacta in these situations that never happen.It was a losing bet in 2009-10.That was enough.I don't bet any favorites.
Mr Saratoga
02-20-2012, 11:56 PM
There is nothing wrong with worthy faves in pic situations, but a lot of $$ can be made on straight place bets, often paying much more than the fave.
Uncle Salty
02-21-2012, 04:33 AM
I mess around with $.10 supers once in a while and if there's an odds on favorite I only key him in the 3rd and 4th spot. It's been my experience that there's not a lot of value if he runs 1st or 2nd.