Winter Survival at the Big M 2012

[Ray2000]

It's on

Jan 13 thru Apr 21 2012, 1 horseshoe

heyheyitsray



http://wintersurvivalchallenge.com/

.

[cecil127]

sweet! thanks so much for posting this.:ThmbUp:
happy new year!

[lamboguy]

happy new year, best wishes and lots of winners for all the harness handicappers out there this year

[mirror Image]

Big M is back :jump: , Good luck to all.

[Ray2000]

BigM Contest Survival Contest, "By The Numbers"....


I'll post these Computer Rankings for awhile (at least until I get kicked off the island :)),
along with my contest plays.

Drivers are ranked by UDR over the last 2 years Will be Brennan, Sears, Tetrick, when driving
Trainers are ranked by percent 'On the Board' in my data base.
Win% 2yr is from horses record
WPS% 2yr ditto
Class is average of best 2-4 lines
Speed ...ditto
Best Form is secret
Best Finish is average beat-by lengths last several races (3-8)
Fastest 4thQ Last Race (may be at a different track)
Fastest Time Last Race (may be at a different track)
Earnings Last 6 races
Off Track is lifetime mud record for OTB %
Best Ranked is total appearances in top 3 rankings

As an example here are the 1st,2nd,3rd rankings for 3 races tonight.

Friday, January 06, 2012 Meadowlands Race Track
Race Number.......Race3.........Race4.........Race8

Driver............9,6,3.........1,4,8.........9,3, 10
Trainer...........8,2,7.........2,8,1.........1,7, 2
Win % 2yr.........8,4,6.........3,5,7.........10,3,4
WPS% 2yr..........2,6,9.........3,4,1.........7,10,3
Class.............4,3,8.........7,8,9.........5,1, 2
Speed.............9,3,8.........9,2,6.........1,2, 10
Best Form.........6,1,7.........5,3,1.........9,7,2
Best Finish.......7,8,9.........3,2,6.........6,7,10
Best 4thQ.........2,4,8.........7,10,9........1,10,4
Final Time........3,1,6.........10,1,7........10,2,6
EarningsL6........4,1,3.........6,8,5.........10,3 ,4
Offtrack .........9,4,10........3,6,4.........7,10,1

Most Ranked.........8............1,3...........10

[melman]

Ray--My list of price plays for opening night at BigM. See if any of them "cut the mustard" with the Robot. :)

R1 1 Shortest Distance 12-1
R6 6 Best Boss 8-1
R8 1 Newport Volo 8-1

R9 2 Beau Rivage 8-1

[Ray2000]

Very Close except for R6

R1.........9 w/1,4 ...Stacked Deck-9/2
R6.........5 w/7,2 ...Keystone Katherine-8/1
R8.........4 w/1,5 ...Dash For The Cash-6/1
R9.........2 w/8,1 ...Beau Rivage N-8/1
R10........8 w/9,5 ...Pembroke Prayer-3/1


Good Luck

[melman]

Thanks Ray. Will watch the odds on Zumba Mouse in R2 also. If over 6-1 worth a play to me. Does go off stride but worth the risk if odds are solid.
Hope Billy (the Kid) Dobson gets some drives at M1 this year. I have good very good results with him at lesser tracks in the past.

[arno]

The 3rd and 4h races are very difficult for me.
I was going to play some pick 3's starting in 2nd race as I was going to single Zumba Mouse. But alas no pick 3's except for last 3 races of the night.

I will play some doubles with Zumba Mouse.

But I don't expect him to be anywhere near 6/1.

She is the 3rd choice Morning Line with horses driven by Eric Abbatiello and Ray Schnittker with the Morning Line Choices.

I expect Zumba might end up the favorite and would not be shocked if she goes off 9/5.

Two trainers to watch this meet: Jason Robinson and PJ Fraley

[melman]

Arno-Looks like your correct. Zumba at 1 to post is the fav at 3-1. At these odds I'll take a pop on the 9 Powerful Tom at 11-1.

[melman]

Nice Arno a big mile from Zumba a winner at $8.40. Nice Miller DD at $37.20.

[pandy]

I had some technical problems uploading the free Meadowlands picks to the USTA site for Saturday, so I put them on my trotpicks.com site under Free Picks.

[Ray2000]

Daily Double... :3: :6:

The BigM R1......... :3: Hurrikane Anthony w/ teenager Joe Bongiorno driving
WPS and DD

The BigM R2......... :6: :5: :4: Grab A Crab-6/1 with another young driver Matt Kakaley
Box these 3 3 in the exacta

The BigM R7........ :1: Hypnotist-5/1...
Try out that 10¢ Super with.....1/24/247910/247910......$2.40 bet:)

[mrroyboy]

Got them Pandy. Thank you

[Ray2000]

Here we go, Friday the 13th and a stray black cat under my trailer...

Heyheyitsray entries
Race: 3 No: 1 IRISH ELITIST
Race: 6 No: 6 SOUTHWIND SWALLOW
Race: 8 No: 1 DASH FOR THE CASH


By Rankings...
Race Number.......Race 3........Race 6.......Race 8

Driver............3,8,4.........10,8,7........9,7, 5
Trainer...........6,3,1.........1,9,10........5,3, 2
Win% 2yr..........10,8,7........9,1,5.........6,5,1
WPS% 2yr..........9,4,8.........1,5,10........1,6,2
Class.............1,9,4.........6,9,7.........2,6, 7
Speed.............3,8,10........6,1,8.........4,2, 5
Best Form.........4,9,3.........9,5,8.........8,6,3
Best Finish.......3,8,10........1,7,8.........9,4,8
Best 4thQ.........8,7,1.........6,10,2........4,7,1
Final Time........3,9,8.........6,1,2.........4,7,6
EarningsL6........6,9,7.........9,6,2.........9,2, 4
Offtrack .........9,10,4........1,7,8.........9,5,6

Most Ranked.........8.............1............6

Good Luck to all Contestants...Hoping for a PA winner (double entendre intended :) )

[JBmadera]

here are mine:

R3 - :1:
R6 - :7:
R8 - :4:

best of luck to all.

btw - last night was crazy! So much trouble for a number of the post time fav's.

[mirror Image]

Will try these...

3rd- 1- Irish Elitist
6th- 10- Save My Shark
8th- 7- Tsmlil Orphan Andy

Good Luck

[mrroyboy]

Good luck to all

[tiger rose]

3- :1:
6- :10:
8- :4:
Sears,Tetrick and 1 m/l chalk

For this contest I always take a sear's and a tetrick's and an A Miller each day but didn't like his 6 Blue Blaze in the 8th
will it come back to bite me?

[LottaKash]

3rd Race........#6, TAMAYO, Big Backclasser had a very well meant qualifier, and faces horses she can easily beat if really ready....And Burke has them ready to go at once, many times....

6th Race.........#6, SOUTHWIND SWALLOW, had a nice suckalong trip around the track vs. much better last week, than here...Has good early and late pace numbers that put this girl right in the thick of it.......A real factor

4th Race..........#4, CAMERON CHIP, fitz very well with these, and in her first start back from last July, she closed like a rocket to get second, in the fastest last 3/4's of any of these 1;24;3....A fast close in the fastest time may be just the ticket tonite with the predicted high winds.....Post relief helps this one as well...She's another that can run with better when right....

*** Chalks tho....I want to survive...

[cecil127]

how about the way this survival kicked off with Sears being flung off his bike? he hangs onto the reins only to get dragged for a bit, manages to get his elbows on the seat and hangs on for dear life for ~1/8 mile....imo he did an excellent job:ThmbUp:

i got by with save my shark so im alive til tomorrow but i wouldnt cry if cameron chip wins the 8th:cool:

[LottaKash]

how about the way this survival kicked off with Sears being flung off his bike? he hangs onto the reins only to get dragged for a bit, manages to get his elbows on the seat and hangs on for dear life for ~1/8 mile....imo he did an excellent job:ThmbUp:

i got by with save my shark so im alive til tomorrow but i wouldnt cry if cameron chip wins the 8th:cool:

He certainly was hanging onto those lines, for dear life....Brave effort from Sears...Another may not have had the cajones or strength to hang on and would probably have let go at some point....Hey the guy is a consumate pro of the highest caliber in his chosen profession....I was impressed...

best,

[Ray2000]

Barefoot again, (but they haven't taken away the shoes as yet from the.. "0 for 3"s :p

So lets end this....

Saturdays entries

R2 :9:
R7 :9:
R11 :9:

[JBmadera]

r2 - :9:
r7 - :2:
r11 :3:

good luck all!

[mirror Image]

Try these....

2nd- 4 Future Character
7th- 1 The Mohegan Pan
11th- 3 Bet On Roulette

Good Luck

[tiger rose]

didn't stay awake to watch
Sears off the bike on our #1 dang
2 Gingras and an A.Miller winner
anyway 2 places for me 2769th $13.00
haven't looked at tonights yet

[tiger rose]

2-4 Future Character 7-2 Sears
7-8 Onthewingsofnangel 9-2 A.Miller
9-9 Whogoesfirst 15-1 Tetrick

[HuggingTheRail]

Race 2 - Bay of Sharks
Race 7 - Splendid Kisser
Race 11 - Bet on Roulette

[Ocala Mike]

Tied for 109th with $36 and change. Going with these tonight:

2 - :9:
7 - :5:
11 - :4:


Ocala Mike

[camourous]

Hit the board twice yesterday, if i win tonight it could be the longest i lasted in the survival contest in years

Race 2 #3 Bay of Sharks
Race 7 #5 Splendid Kisser
Race 11 #4 Cambassador

[tiger rose]

Gingras wins 4 of the 6 races so far ?
place and a show for me last night.

[tiger rose]

Race: 6 No: 9 SUPER MANNING
Driver: Da Dube Trainer: La Remmen

Race: 7 No: 8 LADYBONES
Driver: Ti Tetrick Trainer: Vi Fusco Jr

Race: 9 No: 8 CONFEDERATE MAN
Driver: Br Sears Trainer: Oc Rappoport

[mirror Image]

will go with ....

3rd- 1 Pass The Popcorn
7th- 8 Ladybones
9th- 9 Tango Dancer

Good Luck

[Ray2000]

Race: 6 No: 1 PASS THE POPCORN
Driver: St Bouchard Trainer: Jo Flynn

Race: 7 No: 2 MOVING ART
Driver: Jo Bongiorno Trainer: Ke Armer

Race: 9 No: 2 TAMPICO
Driver: Ro Pierce Trainer: Ar Cameron


shoeless hopeless heyheyitsray

GL

[JBmadera]

Thursday picks:
:8:
:8:
:9:

good luck all!

[Ocala Mike]

6 - :1:
7 - :8:
9 - :2:


Ocala Mike

[cecil127]

notice to all survivor players:

check your picks for tonight! my picks were changed as was my friends in the contest. dunno wtf's going on but it aint right:ThmbDown: :confused:


oh yea:
:7:
:5:
:1: for tonight

[Ray2000]

thx for the HU

mine were as played, not good but not changed

[Ray2000]

heyheyitsray has never bet the 14 hole in my life...

Race: 3 No: :8: HOME AGAIN DRAGON
Driver: Br Sears

Race: 8 No: :9: BANK PRESIDENT
Driver: Da Dube

Race: 9 No: :1: BARZZ N STARZZ
Driver: Da Dube

[Ocala Mike]

1/20/12:

3 - :8:
8- :9:
9- :10:


Ocala Mike

[JBmadera]

already shoe-less.... :ThmbDown:

picks for 1/20

:2:
:1:
:1:

good luck guys.

[mirror Image]

shoeless also after last night,wish contest changed my picks :D

3rd- 8 Home again Dragon
8th- 2 Lightning Lady
9th 9 Morgan Starn 12-1 :eek:

good luck

[mrroyboy]

Good luck to all. Maybe I should give you my picks. Then you will know for sure what N O T to pick!!!!

[cecil127]

:2:
:8:
:4:

[camourous]

i went

:2:
:2:
:10:

[JBmadera]

notice to all survivor players:

check your picks for tonight! my picks were changed as was my friends in the contest. dunno wtf's going on but it aint right:ThmbDown: :confused:


oh yea:
:7:
:5:
:1: for tonight

Just went in and saw that mine were changed for tonight! How is this happening?.... :ThmbDown: :ThmbDown:

[cecil127]

i dont know and you really dont want to hear what i thinks going on....
'specially with that "bot" picking the big winners lately and all.....:D

[Ray2000]

:D bot claims he's innocent or bugged :D


Race: 8 No: :10: STRAND HANOVER Da Dube

Race: 9 No: :1: MASTER STROKE Ti Tetrick

Race: 11 No: :1: RESCUE PLAN An Miller

[mirror Image]

I'm out, that was quick.

Good luck to all....."Bots" too :D

[JBmadera]

still alive, no shoe's, need to find out who or what this bot is and get some tips.... :D

R8 :2:
R9 :1:
R11 :4:

[cecil127]

:7:
:3:
:1:

gotta play a few bombs to try and get back in it....
stilll alive and w/shoe-amazingly enough:eek:

[tiger rose]

lost my shoe the other day and got 1 show for 4.80 last night

8-3 with Tetrick
9-7 with Miller
11-4 with Sears

[Ocala Mike]

8 - :2:
9 - :9:
11- :4:

[Ray2000]

I'm out............ :( :( :(


wonder what happens if no players make it to the last day :confused: :D :confused:

[tiger rose]

still alive with 1 for 3 last night but finally hit a win
7-Western Trademark $7.20 $3.60 $3.00

[Ocala Mike]

Have to invoke my lucky horseshoe now.


Ocala Mike

[tiger rose]

can't believe i'm still alive been takin longshots and getting 1 show a night
Only 1 winner so far 3101 place with $56.60

[Ocala Mike]

I'm still in it, somehow.



Ocala Mike

[cecil127]

im still in and with the shoe to boot. cant believe it myself.:D
$124.40 ranked #1271 overall.
picked 3 winners a few nights ago and 2 last night.
its fun.

[mrroyboy]

I'm out............ :( :( :(


wonder what happens if no players make it to the last day :confused: :D :confused:

Then let's give all the money to LottaKash

[CHeCK EyE]

Hello everyone. I'm not sure that I've posted on this forum but I do read a lot of the things posted. I do post fairly frequently on the USTA forum, Harnessphere. As for the contest I too am involved, still have a shoe (somehow) but not sure exactly where I'm ranked. My name is checkeye for the competition if any of you would like to friend me I'd gladly accept.

[cecil127]

checkeye, you're ranked 1028th with $133.00

[CHeCK EyE]

Thanks Cecil. Just went settled on my picks for Thursday. Went with the 5 Skad's Winner, 8 - Upfront Countryboy and the 4 - Queen of the Stars. Hoping to just hold onto a shoe. Good luck to everyone!

[tiger rose]

chalkie tonight
1-1
6-2
8-4
Feb 3 picks
7-4
9-2
11-5

[cecil127]

:1:
:3:
:4:
:)

[Ocala Mike]

Still alive!


Ocala Mike

[cecil127]

as of 2/5/12 from current forum members i found:
Ocala Mike ranked: 1358th $157.60
check eye ranked 895th with $177.80
cecil127 ranked 889th with $178.00
Tiger Rose ranked 2331st with $97.80

with the lead dog at $382 ive adopted a new strategy: take one sure shot and go bombs away with the remaining two selections. gotta get to the top somehow....:ThmbUp:
or:
make smart picks and hope the top contenders fade away eventually?:confused:

thoughts?

[SchagFactorToWin]

You guys can list me, too (same name as here).

[tamaharbor]

tamaharbor

1788th (no horseshoe)


lol

[cecil127]

Ocala Mike ranked: 1358th $157.60 (no shoe)
check eye ranked 895th with $177.80 (no shoe)
cecil127 ranked 889th with $178.00
Tiger Rose ranked 2331st with $97.80 (no shoe)
tamaharbor ranked 1788th with $136.20 (no shoe)
SchagFactorToWin ranked 2059th $118.60 (no shoe)

[tiger rose]

thursday
3-10
6-2
9-8

[CHeCK EyE]

Going with Not Afraid, Arts Ideal Hanover and Mr Vitti tonight. Really hoping to just stick around to fight another day! For Friday I have Aisling, Bolero Andrew, and Rei Of Sunshine. I'm hoping Rei goes off at a nice price as I like the way he's racing and shows my favorite betting angle. Good luck to everyone!

[mrroyboy]

Uh oh I like all of your picks. That could be a disaster.LOL

[SchagFactorToWin]

I'm done- as usual, neglect to get my picks in- otherwise, I would win every year! :lol:

[CHeCK EyE]

1 Keep It Real
8 Mcclelland
1 Gentleman Friend

Good Luck!

[tiger rose]

2102 place $118.20

tonight
6-8
8-6
11-1
tomorrow
2-5
6-4
12-7

[cecil127]

of 1634 active participants: (3261 eliminated) with leader currently at $400.40


checkeye: 1006th with $188.80
ocala mike: 1216th with $178
tiger rose: 2102nd with $118.20
tama harbor: 1595th $156.20
cecil127: 942nd $191.80
SchagFactorToWin-Out.

(my best friend is at $191.40 w/o a shoe) can you believe that?:D it makes for some interesting comments while milling over the PP's:rolleyes:

[tiger rose]

well alive
place-out-show 1691 $164.40

[tiger rose]

thursday
3-5
7-2
10-5

[tiger rose]

Fridays
2-10
7-4
9-6

[Ocala Mike]

Thurs.,

3 - 2
7 - 3
10 - 4


Ocala Mike

[mrroyboy]

Good luck to all as usual

[Ocala Mike]

Fri., 2/17:

2 - 2
7 - 4
9 - 6


Ocala Mike

[tiger rose]

2 wins and a 4th
tonight
1-1 6-2 13-6
$197.60 1508th place

[Ocala Mike]

OUT-OUT-WIN

Don't know where I stand, but I'm still playing along.

Sat., 2/18:

1 - 3
6 - 5
13 - 1


Ocala Mike

[tiger rose]

gone finally
good luck whomever is left standing

[Ocala Mike]

2nd - 3rd - OUT.

Still standing.


Ocala Mike

[tamaharbor]

Out.

I'm going on break.

[chiman52]

I'm still in it

I have $309.60 and a shoe remaining (chiman52)

Currently in 509th place

[mrroyboy]

get em Guys

[Ocala Mike]

One win last night; still in it.


Ocala Mike