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Ray2000
12-22-2011, 08:48 AM
The Tioga Contest we had here in 2010, showed the fellow who makes the Morning Line there, knows his stuff.
Same for this year. (He/she probably does Vernon also)

Here's how the other ML guy(s) did for 2011.

Of course I don't know if they're man or machine or if there's more than 1 odds maker at any track.
Races do not include Maidens (give'm a break:)) or ones where their pick was scratched.



Track Races Hits Strike ROI
TGDN 458 171 37% -2%
VD 712 231 32% -2%
GRVR 589 238 40% -6%
PRC 573 183 32% -8%
BR 1106 418 38% -9%
STGA 1670 652 39% -10%
BTVA 744 251 34% -10%
FRD 475 172 36% -11%
HP 519 186 36% -11%
NP 207 68 33% -12%
NOR 596 217 36% -12%
HOP 586 175 30% -13%
INDY 561 180 32% -13%
DD 1652 630 38% -15%
Big M 722 242 34% -15%
CALX 982 334 34% -15%
FHLD 1060 425 40% -15%
PPK 1203 399 33% -16%
HAR 1218 465 38% -16%
WDB 1142 365 32% -17%
MOH 761 241 32% -19%
BMLP 910 296 33% -19%
SCD 428 144 34% -19%
MR 2168 818 38% -20%
MEA 2322 727 31% -20%
RIDC 1619 537 33% -20%
MAY 962 334 35% -20%
NFLD 2383 901 38% -20%
PCD 1732 567 33% -21%
FLMD 1765 602 34% -21%
WR 900 316 35% -21%
YR 2695 910 34% -22%
OD 196 59 30% -22%
CHST 1763 542 31% -23%
CNL 130 38 29% -27%
RP 279 79 28% -27%
GEOD 784 235 30% -28%
LEX 145 50 34% -37%

cecil127
12-22-2011, 05:10 PM
you are the man Ray! we always knew the guy at Chester was somewhat twisted but this confirms it. Lexington @ -37%: make your own:D

mrroyboy
12-22-2011, 06:14 PM
ok but are you talking about their top picks only?

Ray2000
12-22-2011, 07:09 PM
roy

Yes, and in rare cases where there are 2 or more co-picks with the same odds, the inside horse was used.

Also, the percentages are not that reliable for fewer than 400 races.

Sea Biscuit
12-25-2011, 08:43 PM
Maybe Gural should bring the TGDN/Vernon morning line man/woman to the new Meadolwlands.:)

Ray2000
12-28-2011, 06:23 AM
Maybe Gural should bring the TGDN/Vernon morning line man/woman to the new Meadolwlands.:)


I do need all the help I can get at that track... :)

Opening night Friday Jan 06

Survival Challenge contest on this winter???

grant miller
12-29-2011, 09:21 PM
I hope so ray :ThmbUp: :) ;) I had lots of fun with it last year!

Ray2000
12-30-2011, 05:29 AM
I hope so ray :ThmbUp: :) ;) I had lots of fun with it last year!


Yes Grant, and it's going to be a lot different 'capping this year with 10 trainers asked to stay home....(Pena et al) and the new banked turns.

http://www.harnessracingupdate.com/restricted/pdf/hru/hru123011.pdf