turninforhome10
12-21-2011, 02:01 PM
After a hiatus to do some development, I have tried for the first time to build logic based methods specific for class, distance and conditions.It is a bit of black box and based on personal preferences. So here goes.
Handicapped for sloppy track, 90 days form, races at similar distance based on fps pace ratings developed over my 60 days hiatus. Tuned with 200 samples races worked from current to past and sample size is based on personal preference, distance based on sprint\route and tuned for 4 horse exacta box. Each raced is tuned with a method specific for conditions of race. Jockey Trainer relationships not considered unless Maiden claimers. Class factored. Scratches as of 1400 edt.
Happy Holidays.
Kirk
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 1 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
8.5f DIRT THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
CLAIMING PURSE: $14000
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
2 CARTOUCHE 3.0 TORRES F. C. CRISTEL M. J.
6 SWEETEST RHYTHM 3.5 EMIGH C. A. LEONARD III G.
1 SON OF TIGER 4.5 GEROUX F. SLAGER L. M.
3 RULEROUS 8.0 MARTINEZ S. B. DAVIS L. P.
4 WHERES WINSTON 5.0 FELIX J. E. JANSEN K.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 2 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
CLAIMING PURSE: $12500 RACE RATINGS: PRE 23
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
1 KANIJA 6.0 FELIX J. E. PEREZ M.
5 CLEVER OUTLET 8.0 TORRES F. C. SWEARINGEN T. H.
3 JS HONOR 5.0 ROMAN C. PEREZ M.
6 ROYAL RENAISSANCE 6.0 HAMILTON Q. CRISTEL M. J.
4 SEA WHY 4.0 MARTINEZ S. B. RIVELLI L.
7 BALLYGAWLEY 10.0 DIEGO I. HARAN J.
2 PASSPOST TO PARIS 3.0 SANCHEZ D. DIVITO J. P.
8 POCANELLA 5.0 CASTRO C. L. MILLONAS D.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 3 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.5f DIRT THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
CLAIMING PURSE: $16000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 40
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
1 TOTAL PACKAGE 2.0 TORRES F. C. CALHOUN W. B.
6 SSSCHILLE DAY 2.5 MOJICA O. PEREZ M.
2 DARRELL SAYS 4.0 ROMAN C. DORRIS T.
5 STRONG LUCK 8.0 HAMILTON Q. YANEZ M. R.
3 GRAN TORINE 6.0 CASTRO C. L. HARAN J.
4 DECOMMANDER 8.0 RIGGS T. CHILDERS J. R.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 4 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
8.5f DIRT ILLINOIS REGISTERED CONCEIVED AND/OR FOALED
ALLOWANCE PURSE: $35000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 50
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
5 PERFECT STRANGER 6.0 ROMAN C. SCHWAN E. K.
6 CYBERPHOBE 8.0 HAMILTON Q. MANLEY S.
7 POINT YOUR FINGER 6.0 KARLSSON I. POULOS D.
1 LITTLE FRANCES 3.0 FELIX J. E. MASON I.
4 DUBIOUS 2.0 GEROUX F. POULOS D.
2 MYA FACCIA BELLA 4.5 TORRES F. C. MILLER D. L.
3 BONNIE 10.0 PEREZ E. E. DORRIS T.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 5 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD
CLAIMING PURSE: $14000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 29
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
4 COWGIRL KNOCKOUT 12.0 ROMAN C. DORRIS C.
1 SHARE THE JOY 3.0 RIGGS T. BERNDT J.
6 OCEAN SURGE 5.0 DIEGO I. MARTINEZ R.
7 SPANISH ROYALTY 5.0 KARLSSON I. LEONARD III G.
2 DREYMORE 3.5 GILES F. DORRIS C.
3 LICAS BLUFF 4.5 MARTINEZ S. B. SCHERBENSKE P. E.
-
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 6 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
8.5f DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OT
ALLOWANCE PURSE: $36000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 50
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
4 ROMAN INVADER 2.5 MARTINEZ S. B. MULLINS S. D.
3 EASTERN PRECIPICE 8.0 ROMAN C. DINI M.
6 HEAVENLY LASS 6.0 HAMILTON Q. SILVA C. H.
2 AMERICAS BLOSSOM 6.0 RIGGS T. KIRBY F. J.
7 CATALINA WAY 4.0 STANLEY A. O. GORHAM R. M.
5 CASCABELLA 3.5 TORRES F. C. CALHOUN W. B.
1 EMBERS GLOWING 5.0 FELIX J. E. MASON I.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 7 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT ILLINOIS REGISTERED CONCEIVED AND/OR FOALED
MDN SP WT PURSE: $33000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 19
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
8 COPUS 4.0 FELIX J. E. RAINWATER B.
13 REDBONE 8.0 MEZA N. LEWELLYN P.
2 GEORGIE MY BOY 12.0 ROMAN C. RANDAZZO JR. F. C.
9 HES SMASHED 10.0 THORNTON T. DORRIS T.
1 COWBOY NATION 15.0 TORRES F. C. SILVA C. H.
3 WILD STAG 8.0 HAMILTON Q. YANEZ M. R.
4 TOTAL IMMERSION 6.0 KARLSSON I. KIRBY F. J.
6 MR NUM NUM 10.0 RIGGS T. KIRBY F. J.
7 ITALIAN BREEZE 12.0 DIEGO I. HARAN J.
10 SIX GUN ROYAL 15.0 WELLS L. FRIDLEY S.
12 PAPER MAKER 5.0 EMIGH C. A. BECKER S.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 8 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD
CLAIMING PURSE: $16000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 38
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
5 CONGOTOWN 5.0 MOJICA O. LYNN J. C.
4 GLORY CHASER 6.0 THORNTON T. MARTINEZ R.
7 THIS TIME 4.5 HAMILTON Q. TOMLINSON M. A.
1 PURE POLISHED 10.0 ROMAN C. MCCANICK P. M.
6 WILDCAT MISS 4.0 FELIX J. E. GULICK J. M.
8 HELLO LOVE 8.0 DIEGO I. LIVESAY C.
3 MYSTERY RIDGE 5.0 GEROUX F. BRUEGGEMANN R. A.
2 MISSY BISCUIT 8.0 RIGGS T. KIRBY F. J.
9 SHES AN ALPHA GAM 10.0 TORRES F. C. LEONARD III G.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 9 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT MAIDENS TWO YEARS OLD
MDN CLAIM PURSE: $13500 RACE RATINGS: PRE 27
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
6 FIRST TASTE 6.0 KARLSSON I. KIRBY F. J.
8 MOSQUILLO 3.5 FELIX J. E. PEREZ M.
5 TAKE SOME ADVICE 5.0 RIGGS T. BERNDT J.
4 FALCON POINT 4.0 TORRES F. C. GORHAM R. M.
2 IMAGE EXPRESS 15.0 MARTINEZ S. B. SCHERBENSKE P. E.
9 GOLDSWISH 6.0 STANLEY A. O. MULLINS S. D.
10 IDEAL ASSCHER CUT 8.0 GILES F. MCSHANE D. D.
1 GOLD BARON 12.0 HAMILTON Q. MCEWEN B. J.
3 DEMIS NATIVEDANCER 15.0 RODRIGUEZ L. R. WHITSON R.
1A JOHAR IRISH 12.0 HAMILTON Q. MCEWEN B. J.
Handicapped for sloppy track, 90 days form, races at similar distance based on fps pace ratings developed over my 60 days hiatus. Tuned with 200 samples races worked from current to past and sample size is based on personal preference, distance based on sprint\route and tuned for 4 horse exacta box. Each raced is tuned with a method specific for conditions of race. Jockey Trainer relationships not considered unless Maiden claimers. Class factored. Scratches as of 1400 edt.
Happy Holidays.
Kirk
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 1 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
8.5f DIRT THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD
CLAIMING PURSE: $14000
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
2 CARTOUCHE 3.0 TORRES F. C. CRISTEL M. J.
6 SWEETEST RHYTHM 3.5 EMIGH C. A. LEONARD III G.
1 SON OF TIGER 4.5 GEROUX F. SLAGER L. M.
3 RULEROUS 8.0 MARTINEZ S. B. DAVIS L. P.
4 WHERES WINSTON 5.0 FELIX J. E. JANSEN K.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 2 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
CLAIMING PURSE: $12500 RACE RATINGS: PRE 23
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
1 KANIJA 6.0 FELIX J. E. PEREZ M.
5 CLEVER OUTLET 8.0 TORRES F. C. SWEARINGEN T. H.
3 JS HONOR 5.0 ROMAN C. PEREZ M.
6 ROYAL RENAISSANCE 6.0 HAMILTON Q. CRISTEL M. J.
4 SEA WHY 4.0 MARTINEZ S. B. RIVELLI L.
7 BALLYGAWLEY 10.0 DIEGO I. HARAN J.
2 PASSPOST TO PARIS 3.0 SANCHEZ D. DIVITO J. P.
8 POCANELLA 5.0 CASTRO C. L. MILLONAS D.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 3 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.5f DIRT THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES
CLAIMING PURSE: $16000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 40
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
1 TOTAL PACKAGE 2.0 TORRES F. C. CALHOUN W. B.
6 SSSCHILLE DAY 2.5 MOJICA O. PEREZ M.
2 DARRELL SAYS 4.0 ROMAN C. DORRIS T.
5 STRONG LUCK 8.0 HAMILTON Q. YANEZ M. R.
3 GRAN TORINE 6.0 CASTRO C. L. HARAN J.
4 DECOMMANDER 8.0 RIGGS T. CHILDERS J. R.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 4 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
8.5f DIRT ILLINOIS REGISTERED CONCEIVED AND/OR FOALED
ALLOWANCE PURSE: $35000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 50
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
5 PERFECT STRANGER 6.0 ROMAN C. SCHWAN E. K.
6 CYBERPHOBE 8.0 HAMILTON Q. MANLEY S.
7 POINT YOUR FINGER 6.0 KARLSSON I. POULOS D.
1 LITTLE FRANCES 3.0 FELIX J. E. MASON I.
4 DUBIOUS 2.0 GEROUX F. POULOS D.
2 MYA FACCIA BELLA 4.5 TORRES F. C. MILLER D. L.
3 BONNIE 10.0 PEREZ E. E. DORRIS T.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 5 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD
CLAIMING PURSE: $14000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 29
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
4 COWGIRL KNOCKOUT 12.0 ROMAN C. DORRIS C.
1 SHARE THE JOY 3.0 RIGGS T. BERNDT J.
6 OCEAN SURGE 5.0 DIEGO I. MARTINEZ R.
7 SPANISH ROYALTY 5.0 KARLSSON I. LEONARD III G.
2 DREYMORE 3.5 GILES F. DORRIS C.
3 LICAS BLUFF 4.5 MARTINEZ S. B. SCHERBENSKE P. E.
-
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 6 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
8.5f DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OT
ALLOWANCE PURSE: $36000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 50
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
4 ROMAN INVADER 2.5 MARTINEZ S. B. MULLINS S. D.
3 EASTERN PRECIPICE 8.0 ROMAN C. DINI M.
6 HEAVENLY LASS 6.0 HAMILTON Q. SILVA C. H.
2 AMERICAS BLOSSOM 6.0 RIGGS T. KIRBY F. J.
7 CATALINA WAY 4.0 STANLEY A. O. GORHAM R. M.
5 CASCABELLA 3.5 TORRES F. C. CALHOUN W. B.
1 EMBERS GLOWING 5.0 FELIX J. E. MASON I.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 7 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT ILLINOIS REGISTERED CONCEIVED AND/OR FOALED
MDN SP WT PURSE: $33000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 19
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
8 COPUS 4.0 FELIX J. E. RAINWATER B.
13 REDBONE 8.0 MEZA N. LEWELLYN P.
2 GEORGIE MY BOY 12.0 ROMAN C. RANDAZZO JR. F. C.
9 HES SMASHED 10.0 THORNTON T. DORRIS T.
1 COWBOY NATION 15.0 TORRES F. C. SILVA C. H.
3 WILD STAG 8.0 HAMILTON Q. YANEZ M. R.
4 TOTAL IMMERSION 6.0 KARLSSON I. KIRBY F. J.
6 MR NUM NUM 10.0 RIGGS T. KIRBY F. J.
7 ITALIAN BREEZE 12.0 DIEGO I. HARAN J.
10 SIX GUN ROYAL 15.0 WELLS L. FRIDLEY S.
12 PAPER MAKER 5.0 EMIGH C. A. BECKER S.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 8 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD
CLAIMING PURSE: $16000 RACE RATINGS: PRE 38
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
5 CONGOTOWN 5.0 MOJICA O. LYNN J. C.
4 GLORY CHASER 6.0 THORNTON T. MARTINEZ R.
7 THIS TIME 4.5 HAMILTON Q. TOMLINSON M. A.
1 PURE POLISHED 10.0 ROMAN C. MCCANICK P. M.
6 WILDCAT MISS 4.0 FELIX J. E. GULICK J. M.
8 HELLO LOVE 8.0 DIEGO I. LIVESAY C.
3 MYSTERY RIDGE 5.0 GEROUX F. BRUEGGEMANN R. A.
2 MISSY BISCUIT 8.0 RIGGS T. KIRBY F. J.
9 SHES AN ALPHA GAM 10.0 TORRES F. C. LEONARD III G.
HAWTHORNE 12-21-2011 RACE 9 OF 9 - TRACK RATING: 82
6.0f DIRT MAIDENS TWO YEARS OLD
MDN CLAIM PURSE: $13500 RACE RATINGS: PRE 27
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
6 FIRST TASTE 6.0 KARLSSON I. KIRBY F. J.
8 MOSQUILLO 3.5 FELIX J. E. PEREZ M.
5 TAKE SOME ADVICE 5.0 RIGGS T. BERNDT J.
4 FALCON POINT 4.0 TORRES F. C. GORHAM R. M.
2 IMAGE EXPRESS 15.0 MARTINEZ S. B. SCHERBENSKE P. E.
9 GOLDSWISH 6.0 STANLEY A. O. MULLINS S. D.
10 IDEAL ASSCHER CUT 8.0 GILES F. MCSHANE D. D.
1 GOLD BARON 12.0 HAMILTON Q. MCEWEN B. J.
3 DEMIS NATIVEDANCER 15.0 RODRIGUEZ L. R. WHITSON R.
1A JOHAR IRISH 12.0 HAMILTON Q. MCEWEN B. J.