Goofyscott's Turf Paradise Saturday

[Goofyscott]

Got blown up at Tampa about everytime I play this meet so going back to the good ol Turf Paradise. Same as usual. Lets make the money back today. GL and always play at your own risk.

RACE 1---6-4-2

RACE 2---6-8-4

RACE 3---2-3-6

RACE 4---8-5-3-7

RACE 5---5-6-3

RACE 6---4-8-5-7

RACE 7---4-2-6...took out the #3 to lower the cost

RACE 8---8-7-11-4

RACE 9---4-7-11

[johnhannibalsmith]

...
RACE 3---2-3-6
...



:5: Mom's Cayoke can barely run at all which puts her right in the thick of this turdfest. 3rd off the layoff, currently 8-1 and should be about 7-2 to 4-1.

Unbettable race in my opinion unless you just want to play for value, and while she probably needs a pace meltdown and probably won't get it here, she still seems like the only one in this group that even remotely offers fair value.

[johnhannibalsmith]

Ah well, Buds N Roses ( :6: ) goes off at 4-5 and gets that elusive maiden win in career start number 26... and it's only December at Turf Paradise... :D

[johnhannibalsmith]

RACE 4---8-5-3-7



He gave you a straight tri there! Nice job :ThmbUp:

[johnhannibalsmith]

RACE 5---5-6-3



Yikes... Hard to argue that Atta Boy Roy isn't the best in the field, but 1-5 currently and I'm not exactly sold that two turns is his best lick, expecially in a race with :6: All Saint - who was horse of the meet last season winning 4 stakes in determined front-running style. Even Hezamazing tends to show excellent speed routing and he's no slouch, which makes it hard to swallow 1-5 or anything close on the certain favorite.

I'm not sure who is going to blink going into the first turn... but something tells me that :3: Rule By Force is sitting on a solid performance with Diodoro entering two in the race to make it go and scratching the other. 3-1 is hardly the type of price I'd like to see if I was going to bet him, but anything north of that at post time beats the alternatives if this race runs with the type of fractions that seem inevitable.

[johnhannibalsmith]

RACE 7---4-2-6...took out the #3 to lower the cost



Good betting race... I like your trio here, but would probably end up keying the :2: 1st/2nd with just about as many others in here as I could justify.

[johnhannibalsmith]

Woohah, nice call on :4: River Slaney... off at 9-1 and runs huge with a nice ride, unlike about half the other horses... including an inquiry and disqualification that was never mentioned until after the official... :rolleyes:

[johnhannibalsmith]

RACE 9---4-7-11

Alrighty... this is another kind of fun race with no clear-cut horse to beat. I was interested for a while in :1: Shamus On Me here as a key, but after watching Jake almost get dropped in the grass race... sort of apprehensive to assume he's gonna skim the rail from off the pace on this one... so...

I do think that :12: Lil Stormin Torie is probably the one to catch... not thrilled taking the outside in a full field making a short run to the turn, but this mare usually breaks well and could get clear enough to work down to be no more than 3 or 4 deep.

Seems like a decent spot to key her 1st and 2nd in a trifecta with :1: , :4: , :7: , :10: , :11: for a couple of twenties and hope things shake out cleanly and look for a $120 to $350 casher.