Claim from Ness barn

[Jay Trotter]

Here's one for the Data Base guys.....

Today at Penn National Race 4
#1 More Than Candy

First race off claim from Ness barn (32%)

Bris Numbers
91 (Ness) (Claimed by new barn 18%)
93 (Ness)
63 (Ness)
64 (Claimed by Ness)
77
66
72 ...

What numbers do horses post upon being claimed from Ness or similar type trainers?

[Valuist]

I used to keep stats on this and I remember horses claimed off Asmussen regressed quite sharply in their new barn. The win percentage, at least while I was keeping numbers, was around 4% in their first race away. But that was several years ago.

I always try and bet against runners claimed away from the move-up specialists. A certain segment of the public is going to get excited by their big speed figures, not factoring how much, and how quickly they will regress for their new barn.