Que
10-05-2001, 10:56 PM
For what's it worth, below are my Brisnet picks for Week Two. This week I have a few mid-priced picks mixed in with in with some real bombs. Anyway, since I'm way behind in wins (and ROI too ;)), I just used my trainer and jockey stats to come up with this week's picks--and hopefully, a couple of big hits.
RACE 1 - Belmont Park 4th Race
8/1 -- Sovereign Sweep -- Terranova John P II -- Prado Edgar S
Trainer John Terranova has done well with two year olds, with an overall of record of 6-3-1-1, ROI: 3.22. His record with maiden's is also very respectable at 22-6-0-0, ROI: 1.67. In the last 30 days, Terranova also has won 50% of his starts (6 3-0-1, ROI: 3.18); not to mention that he has won 24% of starts at Belmont (33 8-4-3, ROI: 1.36). Edgar Prado also has a good record with firt-time starters (319 54-47-37, ROI: 1.09), and Prado's record with two year old colts in the month of October is a respectable 76 14-13-8, ROI: 1.15.
4/1 -- Easyfromthegitgo -- Asmussen Steven -- Meche Donnie J
Steve Asmussen has a good record when swithching to jockey Donnie Meche (327 79-59-42, ROI: 1.02)
15/1 -- Tacirring -- Lake Scott A --Gryder Aaron T
Scott Lake has been tearing up Belmont with a record of 61 19-13-12, ROI: 1.74. Also, his record in Maiden's is 93 17-16-14, ROI: 1.38. Finally, when returning his maidens within 8-14 days his record is 22 6-1-3, ROI: 3.29--and reducing it to horse's that last finished >= 6th that record improves to 6 2-0-0, ROI: 9.20.
RACE 2 - Pimlico Race Course 6th Race
6/1 -- Press Doll -- Green Ernest E -- Scantling Vernon
I don't have a whole lot of data on Ernest Green, except that when he wins he does so at big prices. Over the last three years his overall record is 129-13-10-10, 1.76. He also seems to like Pimlico with a record of Pim 47 6-3-2, ROI: 2.36. Finaly, his record with owner David Carter is a very respectable 58 8-6-3, ROI: 2.32--this record improves to 30 4-3-0, ROI: 3.47 if you only count fillies and mares. I'm only showing jockey Vernon Scantling with one mount for trainer, Ernerst Green, and owner, David Carter, and that was Press Doll's last race--which paid 164.80 to win.
5/1 -- The Fifth Element -- Graham Robin L -- Reynolds Larry C
Over the last 30 days, trainer Robin Graham's record is 5 2-2-0, ROI: 4.58. Robin's record with owner, Susan Chanoski is a very respectable 6 2-1-1, ROI: 0.95. Also, you can call jockey, Larry Reynolds, "Mr. October" where his record is 260 47-32-29, ROI: 1.24.
8/1 -- Ballet Partner -- Campitelli Francis P --Dunkelberger Travis L
Hard to go wrong betting a horse with Travis Dunkelberger up--his record over the last 90 days is 193 66-24-15, ROI: 1.22.
RACE 3 - Delaware Park 8th Race
15/1 -- Rose Gold -- Manchio Robert S -- Brown Tracey M
Trainer, Robert Manchio, has a record of 44 9-6-5, ROI: 2.77, with jockey Tracey Brown. Also, when executing a class drop greater than 40% (purse value), Manchio's record is 28 5-3-3, ROI: 1.49. In addition, when Manchio's horses were greater than 6th at the second call in their last race (Rose Gold was 10th), Manchio's record is 51 7-4-5, ROI: 2.16. Tracey Brown is also a very good sprint jockey, with a record of 74 11-9-6, ROI: 1.47; and her record with owner Michael R Ditomasso is 9 2-1-1, ROI: 1.65.
10/1 -- Sweet Honeydoo -- Frazier Murray -- Castillo Oliver
Over the past three years trainer, Murray Frazier, record is a respectable 75 14-11-8, ROI: 1.66. Moreover, with jockey Oliver Castillo, his record is 23 4-2-5, ROI: 1.63. Finally, when changing tracks (Sweet Honeydo's last race was at Calder), Frazier's record is 17 5-1-2, ROI: 2.49.
4/1 -- Trail of the Fox -- Gorham Michael E --Valdes Ricardo A
When trainer, Michael Gorham, is using jockey, Richardo Valdes, on consecutive mounts his record is 81 9-14-2, ROI: 1.25.
RACE 4 - Philadelphia Park 9th Race
15/1 -- Bay Head King -- Jerkens James A -- Lopez Charles C
Over the past three years, James Jerkins record in Graded Stakes events is 46 6-6-12, ROI: 2.20.
20/1 -- Shore Breeze --Goldberg Alan E -- Coa Eibar
Trainer, Alan Goldberg's record with Jayeff B Stables is 408 100-46-59, ROI: 1.11. In addition, when his horse's were 2nd or 3rd at the first call in their last race (Shore Breeze was 2nd) his record is 81 32-9-13 ROI: 1.55. However, when raising his horse 40% or more in class in graded stakes races his record is 22 2-0-5, ROI: 0.35.
12/1 -- Run Kush Run -- Serey Juan -- Turner Tom G
Trainer, Juan Serey, has a record of 29 7-4-4, ROI: 1.02, in Graded Stakes sprints. In addition, when returning horse's with only 1-7 days rest his record is 51 23-6-5, ROI: 1.67. However, when raising his horse 40% or more in class in graded stakes races his record 17 2-3-1, ROI: 0.55.
RACE 5 - Louisiana Downs 4th Race
20/1 -- Richard`s Delight -- Melancon Francis Jr -- Romero Josh M
I've always liked Francis Melancon's horses, especially in claiming racres, where his record is 334 38-30-39, ROI: 1.29. In addition, when returning his horses at the same class his record 99 16-8-8, ROI: 1.97--which improves to 73 12-7-6, ROI: 2.28, if you only consider claiming races--which further improves to 30 5-2-4, ROI: 4.39, if you only include horses that finished greater than or equal to 6th in their last start (Richard's Delight finished 6th).
5/2 -- Sunset Boy --Leggio Andrew Jr -- Perrodin Elvis J
Trainer, Andrew Leggio, has a record of 79 22-15-14, ROI: 1.33, with jockey Elvis Perrodin. Leggio also has a record of 49 9-5-6, ROI: 1.22, when switching from dirt-to-turf. Finally, his record with horse's that won their previous race and are between 2/1 to 4/1 odds in today's race is 18 6-3-4, ROI: 1.42.
8/1 -- Laga -- Burwell Kevin C -- Guillory David
In the last three years, Kevin Burwell's record is 63 9-6-7, ROI: 1.66, at Louisiana Downs.
RACE 6 - Keeneland 7th Race
6/1 -- Phat -- King Warren L -- Mojica Orlando
Over the past three years, Warren King's overall record is 131 24-19-19, ROI: 1.21; and over the last 90 days, his record is 6 3-1-1, ROI: 2.73. Warren King also specializes in sprints, with a recod of 59 14-8-5, ROI: 1.95. Also, with jockey, Orlando Mojica, his record is 8 3-2-1, ROI: 2.05.
10/1 -- Cametoplay -- Holthus Robert E -- Judice Joseph C
Trainer, Robert Holthus's, record over the last 30 days is 16 4-2-3, ROI: 1.31. Also, when using jockey, Joseph Judice, on consective mounts, his record is 525 105-78-76, ROI: 0.95.
12/1 -- C Millie -- Smith Thomas V -- Kutz Dean
Thomas Smith has won with 19% of his starters at Keeneland (36 7-2-2, ROI: 1.12). In addition, his record with owner Thomas Nichols is 37 8-4-5, ROI: 1.14.
RACE 7 - Keeneland 8th Race
5/2 -- Kamsack -- Paasch Christopher S -- Dominguez Ramon A
Christophero Paasch has a good record when giving his horses between 31 and 45 days rest while raising them more than 40% in class from their last start (10 3-1-0, ROI: 1.35). In addition, his record with horses that were 2nd or 3rd at both the 2nd call and the finish in their last start is 32 12-3-3, ROI: 1.85.
12/1 -- Request for Parole -- Margolis Stephen R -- Judice Joseph C
When switching tracks (Request For Parole's last start was at River Downs), Stephen Margolis's record is 27 6-4-4, ROI: 2.83. In addition, Margolis's record over the last 180 days is 65 9-7-9, ROI: 1.65.
10/1 -- Harlan`s Holiday -- McPeek Kenneth G -- D`Amico Anthony J
When using jockey, Anthony D`Amico, on consecutive mounts, Kenneth McPeek's record is 91 24-13-10, ROI: 1.62.
RACE 1 - Belmont Park 4th Race
8/1 -- Sovereign Sweep -- Terranova John P II -- Prado Edgar S
Trainer John Terranova has done well with two year olds, with an overall of record of 6-3-1-1, ROI: 3.22. His record with maiden's is also very respectable at 22-6-0-0, ROI: 1.67. In the last 30 days, Terranova also has won 50% of his starts (6 3-0-1, ROI: 3.18); not to mention that he has won 24% of starts at Belmont (33 8-4-3, ROI: 1.36). Edgar Prado also has a good record with firt-time starters (319 54-47-37, ROI: 1.09), and Prado's record with two year old colts in the month of October is a respectable 76 14-13-8, ROI: 1.15.
4/1 -- Easyfromthegitgo -- Asmussen Steven -- Meche Donnie J
Steve Asmussen has a good record when swithching to jockey Donnie Meche (327 79-59-42, ROI: 1.02)
15/1 -- Tacirring -- Lake Scott A --Gryder Aaron T
Scott Lake has been tearing up Belmont with a record of 61 19-13-12, ROI: 1.74. Also, his record in Maiden's is 93 17-16-14, ROI: 1.38. Finally, when returning his maidens within 8-14 days his record is 22 6-1-3, ROI: 3.29--and reducing it to horse's that last finished >= 6th that record improves to 6 2-0-0, ROI: 9.20.
RACE 2 - Pimlico Race Course 6th Race
6/1 -- Press Doll -- Green Ernest E -- Scantling Vernon
I don't have a whole lot of data on Ernest Green, except that when he wins he does so at big prices. Over the last three years his overall record is 129-13-10-10, 1.76. He also seems to like Pimlico with a record of Pim 47 6-3-2, ROI: 2.36. Finaly, his record with owner David Carter is a very respectable 58 8-6-3, ROI: 2.32--this record improves to 30 4-3-0, ROI: 3.47 if you only count fillies and mares. I'm only showing jockey Vernon Scantling with one mount for trainer, Ernerst Green, and owner, David Carter, and that was Press Doll's last race--which paid 164.80 to win.
5/1 -- The Fifth Element -- Graham Robin L -- Reynolds Larry C
Over the last 30 days, trainer Robin Graham's record is 5 2-2-0, ROI: 4.58. Robin's record with owner, Susan Chanoski is a very respectable 6 2-1-1, ROI: 0.95. Also, you can call jockey, Larry Reynolds, "Mr. October" where his record is 260 47-32-29, ROI: 1.24.
8/1 -- Ballet Partner -- Campitelli Francis P --Dunkelberger Travis L
Hard to go wrong betting a horse with Travis Dunkelberger up--his record over the last 90 days is 193 66-24-15, ROI: 1.22.
RACE 3 - Delaware Park 8th Race
15/1 -- Rose Gold -- Manchio Robert S -- Brown Tracey M
Trainer, Robert Manchio, has a record of 44 9-6-5, ROI: 2.77, with jockey Tracey Brown. Also, when executing a class drop greater than 40% (purse value), Manchio's record is 28 5-3-3, ROI: 1.49. In addition, when Manchio's horses were greater than 6th at the second call in their last race (Rose Gold was 10th), Manchio's record is 51 7-4-5, ROI: 2.16. Tracey Brown is also a very good sprint jockey, with a record of 74 11-9-6, ROI: 1.47; and her record with owner Michael R Ditomasso is 9 2-1-1, ROI: 1.65.
10/1 -- Sweet Honeydoo -- Frazier Murray -- Castillo Oliver
Over the past three years trainer, Murray Frazier, record is a respectable 75 14-11-8, ROI: 1.66. Moreover, with jockey Oliver Castillo, his record is 23 4-2-5, ROI: 1.63. Finally, when changing tracks (Sweet Honeydo's last race was at Calder), Frazier's record is 17 5-1-2, ROI: 2.49.
4/1 -- Trail of the Fox -- Gorham Michael E --Valdes Ricardo A
When trainer, Michael Gorham, is using jockey, Richardo Valdes, on consecutive mounts his record is 81 9-14-2, ROI: 1.25.
RACE 4 - Philadelphia Park 9th Race
15/1 -- Bay Head King -- Jerkens James A -- Lopez Charles C
Over the past three years, James Jerkins record in Graded Stakes events is 46 6-6-12, ROI: 2.20.
20/1 -- Shore Breeze --Goldberg Alan E -- Coa Eibar
Trainer, Alan Goldberg's record with Jayeff B Stables is 408 100-46-59, ROI: 1.11. In addition, when his horse's were 2nd or 3rd at the first call in their last race (Shore Breeze was 2nd) his record is 81 32-9-13 ROI: 1.55. However, when raising his horse 40% or more in class in graded stakes races his record is 22 2-0-5, ROI: 0.35.
12/1 -- Run Kush Run -- Serey Juan -- Turner Tom G
Trainer, Juan Serey, has a record of 29 7-4-4, ROI: 1.02, in Graded Stakes sprints. In addition, when returning horse's with only 1-7 days rest his record is 51 23-6-5, ROI: 1.67. However, when raising his horse 40% or more in class in graded stakes races his record 17 2-3-1, ROI: 0.55.
RACE 5 - Louisiana Downs 4th Race
20/1 -- Richard`s Delight -- Melancon Francis Jr -- Romero Josh M
I've always liked Francis Melancon's horses, especially in claiming racres, where his record is 334 38-30-39, ROI: 1.29. In addition, when returning his horses at the same class his record 99 16-8-8, ROI: 1.97--which improves to 73 12-7-6, ROI: 2.28, if you only consider claiming races--which further improves to 30 5-2-4, ROI: 4.39, if you only include horses that finished greater than or equal to 6th in their last start (Richard's Delight finished 6th).
5/2 -- Sunset Boy --Leggio Andrew Jr -- Perrodin Elvis J
Trainer, Andrew Leggio, has a record of 79 22-15-14, ROI: 1.33, with jockey Elvis Perrodin. Leggio also has a record of 49 9-5-6, ROI: 1.22, when switching from dirt-to-turf. Finally, his record with horse's that won their previous race and are between 2/1 to 4/1 odds in today's race is 18 6-3-4, ROI: 1.42.
8/1 -- Laga -- Burwell Kevin C -- Guillory David
In the last three years, Kevin Burwell's record is 63 9-6-7, ROI: 1.66, at Louisiana Downs.
RACE 6 - Keeneland 7th Race
6/1 -- Phat -- King Warren L -- Mojica Orlando
Over the past three years, Warren King's overall record is 131 24-19-19, ROI: 1.21; and over the last 90 days, his record is 6 3-1-1, ROI: 2.73. Warren King also specializes in sprints, with a recod of 59 14-8-5, ROI: 1.95. Also, with jockey, Orlando Mojica, his record is 8 3-2-1, ROI: 2.05.
10/1 -- Cametoplay -- Holthus Robert E -- Judice Joseph C
Trainer, Robert Holthus's, record over the last 30 days is 16 4-2-3, ROI: 1.31. Also, when using jockey, Joseph Judice, on consective mounts, his record is 525 105-78-76, ROI: 0.95.
12/1 -- C Millie -- Smith Thomas V -- Kutz Dean
Thomas Smith has won with 19% of his starters at Keeneland (36 7-2-2, ROI: 1.12). In addition, his record with owner Thomas Nichols is 37 8-4-5, ROI: 1.14.
RACE 7 - Keeneland 8th Race
5/2 -- Kamsack -- Paasch Christopher S -- Dominguez Ramon A
Christophero Paasch has a good record when giving his horses between 31 and 45 days rest while raising them more than 40% in class from their last start (10 3-1-0, ROI: 1.35). In addition, his record with horses that were 2nd or 3rd at both the 2nd call and the finish in their last start is 32 12-3-3, ROI: 1.85.
12/1 -- Request for Parole -- Margolis Stephen R -- Judice Joseph C
When switching tracks (Request For Parole's last start was at River Downs), Stephen Margolis's record is 27 6-4-4, ROI: 2.83. In addition, Margolis's record over the last 180 days is 65 9-7-9, ROI: 1.65.
10/1 -- Harlan`s Holiday -- McPeek Kenneth G -- D`Amico Anthony J
When using jockey, Anthony D`Amico, on consecutive mounts, Kenneth McPeek's record is 91 24-13-10, ROI: 1.62.