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justin
11-19-2003, 10:33 AM
Guessing that the track will be off and no turf, so pass race #1.

Race 2

#2 Shake The Dice 5/2
#5 First Shot 5/2
#1/1A 3/1

#2 ran well in last but is beatable at this distance
#5 tries claimers for the first time, good speed
#1/1A look solid but not unbeatable at this distance

Race 3 (crapshoot)
#2 Truecat 4/1
#7 Forestier 4/1
#4 Rite of String 4/1
#8 Delta Sensation 4/1

All of the above picked based on trainer and breeding.

Race 4
No Thanks!

Race 5
What's this? It's me passing another race!

Race 6
This is brutal card :) I knew there was a reason Wednesday reason puts me to sleep :eek:
Only one I'll consider playing is #5 Villa D Marie. Showed speed in debut, comes back with blinkers added and the trainer is decent second out. Her ML is 15-1, I'll take her at 8-1.

Race 7
Pass

Race 8
#1A Volkonsky 3/1
#6 Compelling World 4/1
#4 Mr. Determined 9/2
#2 Chilly Rooster 9/2

#1A is always there at this distance. Scratch the 1!
#6 Should get plenty to chase, good at this track.
#2 is always right there
#4 Has never won going this far but usually runs well

Race 9
#10 Formal Event 7/2
#5 Brick’s 4/1
#4 Hussar 4/1
#6 Barbara’s Jewel 9/2

#10 returns from short rest, room to improve
#5 should get a contested pace to run at
#4 drops into claimer, ?s about condition
#6 is always there early, in the stretch another story

In general, I'll go with the highest ranked horse with tote odds exceeding my odds. Good luck to anyone playing Aqueduct. Not my kind of card but we'll see how it turns out.

:eek: :confused: :eek: :confused:

-Justin

Valuist
11-19-2003, 10:58 AM
I thought the 9th was real wide open but I actually was leaning to the same two you have on top; I thought Formal Event was pressing a fast pace wide on a day you wanted to be on the inside at the Med. I think he can lay just off Barbara's Jewel and hussar. The 8th looks like a decent race; I'm hoping Pletcher doesn't scratch Volkonsky. There's not a ton of speed in there.