formula's tote board analysis 07-27-2011

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
3

Post
6:49

MTP
3

PGNO BET SIZE
1 35
2 20
3 19
4 4
5 8
6 5
7 7
8 3
9 0
10 0

bet 'em all

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
3

Post
6:49

MTP
3

PGNO BET SIZE
1 35
2 20
3 19
4 4
5 8
6 5
7 7
8 3
9 0
10 0

bet 'em all


Penn National - Race 3
# Win Place Show
7 $22.80 $10.20 $4.00
6 . $8.80 $7.20
1 . . $3.80
Results: 01 | 02 | 03 | ALL
Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$2.00 Exacta 7-6 $220.80
$0.50 Trifecta 7-6-1 $229.90

betting all cost $101, with a return of $79.8
a proportional odds bet (if possible) on all would have also cost $100
and return 101.8. my bet line was out performed.

[formula_2002]

"Del Mar
Race
5

Post
7:04

MTP
0

PGNO BET SIZE
1 2
2 7
3 4
4 14
5 3
6 14
7 33
8 18
9 5
10 0

[formula_2002]

"Woodbine T-bred
Race
2

Post
7:16

MTP
2

PGNO BET SIZE
1 6
2 9
3 31
4 6
5 28
6 11
7 10
8 0
9 0
10 0

[formula_2002]

"Del Mar
Race
5

Post
7:04

MTP
0

PGNO BET SIZE
1 2
2 7
3 4
4 14
5 3
6 14
7 33
8 18
9 5
10 0


Woodbine T-bred - Race 1
# Win Place Show
6 $8.70 $4.30 $3.20


betting all cost $100, with a return of $60.90
a proportional odds bet (if possible) on all would have also cost $100
and return 101.8. my bet line was out performed.

[formula_2002]

"Woodbine T-bred
Race
2

Post
7:16

MTP
2

PGNO BET SIZE
1 6
2 9
3 31
4 6
5 28
6 11
7 10
8 0
9 0
10 0


Woodbine T-bred - Race 2
# Win Place Show
5 $5.40 $3.30 $2.50

betting all cost $100, with a return of $75.60
a proportional odds bet (if possible) on all would have also cost $100
and return 100.00 my bet line was out performed.

[formula_2002]

i knew i was doing something wrong.. those proportional odds bets returns are 100/1.22 or .82, reflecting the track take out and breakage..

my goal, after a large number of race is to return an average >.82
indicating a valued betting line.

[formula_2002]

"Del Mar
Race
6

Post
7:34

MTP
0


PGNO BET SIZE INDEX
1 8 0.9493
2 23 1.1720
3 15 0.9058
4 0
5 6 0.9109
6 48 0.9649

[formula_2002]

"Penn National
Race
5

Post
7:41

MTP
2

PGNO BET SIZE
1 45
2 12
3 5
4 14
5 15
6 8
7 0
8 0
9 010 0