skipaway100
07-24-2011, 07:21 AM
Woodbine is the final free, FormScore Track Of The Day for our weekend special. It can be downloaded at http://www.formscore.com/0724wo.pdf
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Once again, FormScore.Com ran circles around Thoro-Graph.
http://www.formscore.com/0723sar.pdf - Saturday's Saratoga Card
Race 1 - Deanaallen'skitten $6.80 was clearly the fastest, Shatoosh (20-1) was a few points slow but had a very strong pattern and was running first route, Great Gracie Dane (8-1), was a very logical use at the price with the 2nd best turf route speed fig in the field and in decent recent form.
Race 2 - Laurie's Rocket $16.20 was a slam dunk obvious choice, scoring off the charts on the FormScore figure in her maiden debut at Churchill. Thoro-Graph somehow had her slower than #6 Whinston.
Race 3 - Saddleranch $3.80 had the fastest FormScore figures in the rest with a very solid pattern (two point forward move off his debut was well within himself and a good sign for future growth). For some inexplicable reason, Thorograph had this one going backwards in his 2nd start. We also rated the 3rd place finisher Wake Maker's (19-1) 3-year old races much faster than TG did.
Race 4 - Wishingonastar $24.60 debut 39 route dirt was exactly 1 point behind the best route of field. There were a handful of horses here who ran 40 in this very competitive field, one of which was the 2nd place finisher Quiet Power at 10-1. Not standouts, but two logical contenders at ncie prices right there finish 1-2.
Race 5 - We must chalk this one up to a miss. Dynaformer $11.80 didn't particular impress too much in his debut, and he made a big move forward to win this.
Race 6 - Capital Market $8.50 was a very logical contender with recent 42-43's putting him a point or two ahead of everybody elses recent form. 2nd place finisher Tahoe Lake also, competitive figures here at 7/2.
Race 7 - R King Of The Road $11.40 wasn't a standout, but he wasn't impossible either. 38 in his debut, with AA connections and a big gap leading into this one, he definently had room to grow, and only need to move forward a couple points to be competitive with the other contenders here. The runner-up, Backdown (6-1) had the best FormScore in the field.
Race 8 - Aptphilly $16.80 was another that wasn't a complete standout, but 34 as a 2-year old and the way he was coming into this, a few points forward here 2nd off the layoff is definently not unreasonable. That 34 would be the 4th best turf route figure in the field. The 3rd best turf route figure, Notell (36), grabbed 2nd at 5-1. The very best turf route figure, Strikealinethruit (41, he may have needed more rest from that) finsihed 3rd at 9/2. The 2nd best turf route figure Stray Bullet (37) finished 4th. Boxing the top 4 figures would have resulted in a $2 Superfecta that paid $3674.
Race 9 -Jimmy Simms $7.50 had the best overall figure in the field with a 53 on the synth Woodbine, and turf route figs competitive (46). The 2nd and 3rd place finishers both had very competitive recent figs.
Race 10 - This CCA Oaks was a slam dunk. It's Tricky $10.60 and Plum Pretty were clear-cut the fastest horses in this field as the only horses in the field who have a figure 50+ (Nobody else was faster than 47). Thorograph overrated the value of both Buster's Ready and Royal Delta. Here's where the pattern reading really exposes Thorograph. Both of them had 2's and their lines and their pattern did not scream bounce on Thorograph. It's Tricky's line DID scream bounce on Thorograph. That was a 3 1/4 point new top, which in effect is about a 6 point move on FormScore sheets. But on our sheets, It's Tricky ran a 50 last out, only a 2 point forward move from her previous top (about 1 pt move on Thorograph). The two best horses run 1-2 away from the field by 6 lengths.
Race 11 - Bink's Forest $9.10 was not an easy one. He was a couple points slower than a few others here. Not impossible to predict his big forward move, but not easy. Lightly raced horses will do that and nobody was super far faster than him. Draw your attention to the runner-up, #8 Doublespeak grabbed 2nd at 14-1. He was quite logical with the fast fig in the field (41, albeit on dirt) and he was getting his 2nd shot at turf today which isn't a bad angle.
All in all, I would call it a very good day for FormScore.
-
Once again, FormScore.Com ran circles around Thoro-Graph.
http://www.formscore.com/0723sar.pdf - Saturday's Saratoga Card
Race 1 - Deanaallen'skitten $6.80 was clearly the fastest, Shatoosh (20-1) was a few points slow but had a very strong pattern and was running first route, Great Gracie Dane (8-1), was a very logical use at the price with the 2nd best turf route speed fig in the field and in decent recent form.
Race 2 - Laurie's Rocket $16.20 was a slam dunk obvious choice, scoring off the charts on the FormScore figure in her maiden debut at Churchill. Thoro-Graph somehow had her slower than #6 Whinston.
Race 3 - Saddleranch $3.80 had the fastest FormScore figures in the rest with a very solid pattern (two point forward move off his debut was well within himself and a good sign for future growth). For some inexplicable reason, Thorograph had this one going backwards in his 2nd start. We also rated the 3rd place finisher Wake Maker's (19-1) 3-year old races much faster than TG did.
Race 4 - Wishingonastar $24.60 debut 39 route dirt was exactly 1 point behind the best route of field. There were a handful of horses here who ran 40 in this very competitive field, one of which was the 2nd place finisher Quiet Power at 10-1. Not standouts, but two logical contenders at ncie prices right there finish 1-2.
Race 5 - We must chalk this one up to a miss. Dynaformer $11.80 didn't particular impress too much in his debut, and he made a big move forward to win this.
Race 6 - Capital Market $8.50 was a very logical contender with recent 42-43's putting him a point or two ahead of everybody elses recent form. 2nd place finisher Tahoe Lake also, competitive figures here at 7/2.
Race 7 - R King Of The Road $11.40 wasn't a standout, but he wasn't impossible either. 38 in his debut, with AA connections and a big gap leading into this one, he definently had room to grow, and only need to move forward a couple points to be competitive with the other contenders here. The runner-up, Backdown (6-1) had the best FormScore in the field.
Race 8 - Aptphilly $16.80 was another that wasn't a complete standout, but 34 as a 2-year old and the way he was coming into this, a few points forward here 2nd off the layoff is definently not unreasonable. That 34 would be the 4th best turf route figure in the field. The 3rd best turf route figure, Notell (36), grabbed 2nd at 5-1. The very best turf route figure, Strikealinethruit (41, he may have needed more rest from that) finsihed 3rd at 9/2. The 2nd best turf route figure Stray Bullet (37) finished 4th. Boxing the top 4 figures would have resulted in a $2 Superfecta that paid $3674.
Race 9 -Jimmy Simms $7.50 had the best overall figure in the field with a 53 on the synth Woodbine, and turf route figs competitive (46). The 2nd and 3rd place finishers both had very competitive recent figs.
Race 10 - This CCA Oaks was a slam dunk. It's Tricky $10.60 and Plum Pretty were clear-cut the fastest horses in this field as the only horses in the field who have a figure 50+ (Nobody else was faster than 47). Thorograph overrated the value of both Buster's Ready and Royal Delta. Here's where the pattern reading really exposes Thorograph. Both of them had 2's and their lines and their pattern did not scream bounce on Thorograph. It's Tricky's line DID scream bounce on Thorograph. That was a 3 1/4 point new top, which in effect is about a 6 point move on FormScore sheets. But on our sheets, It's Tricky ran a 50 last out, only a 2 point forward move from her previous top (about 1 pt move on Thorograph). The two best horses run 1-2 away from the field by 6 lengths.
Race 11 - Bink's Forest $9.10 was not an easy one. He was a couple points slower than a few others here. Not impossible to predict his big forward move, but not easy. Lightly raced horses will do that and nobody was super far faster than him. Draw your attention to the runner-up, #8 Doublespeak grabbed 2nd at 14-1. He was quite logical with the fast fig in the field (41, albeit on dirt) and he was getting his 2nd shot at turf today which isn't a bad angle.
All in all, I would call it a very good day for FormScore.