Capper Al
07-23-2011, 09:34 AM
People have talked in the past about how a trainer would hide a horse's true ability in the past performance lines by not trying for the win or putting a horse on the wrong surface, etc. They called this form darkening. After handicapping Ellis Park's card today, I believe we can create the term "Race Card Darkening", if it hasn't been created before. First of all, I don't want to single out Ellis Park for this. I've been noticing this all over.
Race card darkening is an attempt to mess with the line-up of a racing card by the racing secretaries for various reasons. Ellis Park has a featured ninth race -- the Ellis Park Turf Stakes. Here it looks like the goal is for a good Pick 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 payout. Okay, throwing in cheap claimers and maidens is a fair enough challenge. What get's me is how they interfere with the data so a handicapper has an impossible time trying to figure out a race. Things like the same jockey appearing on two horses. Forgivable for entries, but Ellis has same jockeys on non entries. Also listing a bunch of horses that they know will not run. Several race sectaries will put in a false favorites. This is a horse that is in good health and would just walk away with the race, but is scratched before the race. This will lead a capper to highlight a race as an easy pick and might make him handicap the entire card for a pick 6. After the scratch, the capper is too invested in time and energy to look elsewhere.
Race card darkening is an attempt to mess with the line-up of a racing card by the racing secretaries for various reasons. Ellis Park has a featured ninth race -- the Ellis Park Turf Stakes. Here it looks like the goal is for a good Pick 3 or 4 or 5 or 6 payout. Okay, throwing in cheap claimers and maidens is a fair enough challenge. What get's me is how they interfere with the data so a handicapper has an impossible time trying to figure out a race. Things like the same jockey appearing on two horses. Forgivable for entries, but Ellis has same jockeys on non entries. Also listing a bunch of horses that they know will not run. Several race sectaries will put in a false favorites. This is a horse that is in good health and would just walk away with the race, but is scratched before the race. This will lead a capper to highlight a race as an easy pick and might make him handicap the entire card for a pick 6. After the scratch, the capper is too invested in time and energy to look elsewhere.