David McKenzie
11-12-2003, 12:39 PM
Please note, these are MY selections, not HSH's selections.
HSH is the tool box; I'm the handicapper.
I've chosen the contenders, created Handicapping Objects and linked them to specific Events.
Also please note, this is designed to interact with live odds. Since that's impossible to do prior to post time I've elected to use Morning Line Odds. I have my program set up to "smooth" the probabilities with live odds by 0.20. So, you'll have to use your own judgment as to altering the Opt%.
Churchill Downs- Wednesday, November 12, 2003
CD 01
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
7 No Small Wonder C 5/2 25.4 $1.78 -4.4 3
3 Yaelforhadif C 2 22.2 $1.33 -16.8 7/2
5 Hellacious Curve C 8 15.2 $2.74 4.6 6
9 Interesting Talk C 8 13.3 $2.39 2.4 7
CD 02
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
4 Ohwhataparade C 2 36.5 $2.19 4.8 9/5
5 Improbable Dream C 7/2 21.9 $1.97 -0.4 4
1 Perfect Call C 3 17.6 $1.41 -9.8 5
CD 03
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
9 Apple Krisp C 3 37.5 $3.00 16.7 9/5
7 What Next Bert C 4 21.3 $2.13 1.6 4
1 Jerry T C 16 19.6 $6.66 14.6 9/2
CD 04 Off the Turf = Pass
CD 05
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
15 Blazing Countess C 9/2 30.6 $3.36 15.1 5/2
11 Dashing Girl C 12 27.7 $7.20 21.7 3
3 Power Serge C 9/2 13.9 $1.53 -5.2 7
9 Flail C 7 7.3 $1.16 -6.0 13
CD 06 Seven First Time Starters = Pass
CD 07
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
1 Travlin Cat C 7 22.9 $3.66 11.9 7/2
5 Witch Tradition C 7 21.9 $3.50 10.7 4
11 Shelly's Pride C 6 17.1 $2.39 3.3 5
8 Prayer Chain C 5 13.1 $1.57 -4.3 7
CD 08
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
6 Dove Above C 9/5 24.4 $1.36 -17.8 7/2
7 Senor Amigo C 4 23.4 $2.34 4.3 7/2
3 Stash the Boots C 5 18.8 $2.25 2.5 9/2
5 Scouts Emblem C 3 17.8 $1.43 -9.5 5
CD 09 Off the Turf = Pass
CD 10
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
5 Muted C 7/2 43.4 $3.90 27.1 7/5
9 Emporia C 8 21.4 $3.84 11.5 4
7 Linda's Lad C 8 13.7 $2.46 2.9 7
HSH is the tool box; I'm the handicapper.
I've chosen the contenders, created Handicapping Objects and linked them to specific Events.
Also please note, this is designed to interact with live odds. Since that's impossible to do prior to post time I've elected to use Morning Line Odds. I have my program set up to "smooth" the probabilities with live odds by 0.20. So, you'll have to use your own judgment as to altering the Opt%.
Churchill Downs- Wednesday, November 12, 2003
CD 01
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
7 No Small Wonder C 5/2 25.4 $1.78 -4.4 3
3 Yaelforhadif C 2 22.2 $1.33 -16.8 7/2
5 Hellacious Curve C 8 15.2 $2.74 4.6 6
9 Interesting Talk C 8 13.3 $2.39 2.4 7
CD 02
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
4 Ohwhataparade C 2 36.5 $2.19 4.8 9/5
5 Improbable Dream C 7/2 21.9 $1.97 -0.4 4
1 Perfect Call C 3 17.6 $1.41 -9.8 5
CD 03
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
9 Apple Krisp C 3 37.5 $3.00 16.7 9/5
7 What Next Bert C 4 21.3 $2.13 1.6 4
1 Jerry T C 16 19.6 $6.66 14.6 9/2
CD 04 Off the Turf = Pass
CD 05
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
15 Blazing Countess C 9/2 30.6 $3.36 15.1 5/2
11 Dashing Girl C 12 27.7 $7.20 21.7 3
3 Power Serge C 9/2 13.9 $1.53 -5.2 7
9 Flail C 7 7.3 $1.16 -6.0 13
CD 06 Seven First Time Starters = Pass
CD 07
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
1 Travlin Cat C 7 22.9 $3.66 11.9 7/2
5 Witch Tradition C 7 21.9 $3.50 10.7 4
11 Shelly's Pride C 6 17.1 $2.39 3.3 5
8 Prayer Chain C 5 13.1 $1.57 -4.3 7
CD 08
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
6 Dove Above C 9/5 24.4 $1.36 -17.8 7/2
7 Senor Amigo C 4 23.4 $2.34 4.3 7/2
3 Stash the Boots C 5 18.8 $2.25 2.5 9/2
5 Scouts Emblem C 3 17.8 $1.43 -9.5 5
CD 09 Off the Turf = Pass
CD 10
Prg Horse Cont Odds Prob $Net Opt% Fair Odds
5 Muted C 7/2 43.4 $3.90 27.1 7/5
9 Emporia C 8 21.4 $3.84 11.5 4
7 Linda's Lad C 8 13.7 $2.46 2.9 7