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View Full Version : 6/18 Churchill Downs - 3rd Race


skipaway100
06-17-2011, 09:29 PM
#1 My Paige's Jewel - 34 top, respectable pattern, chance to move forward
#2 Ridgester - 40 top, regressed just 2 from it, competitive fig
#3 Class Of Fifty Two - 35 top as a two year old for a top barn, didn't fire the same this year and now second start for a poor barn after a 30 last time.
#4 Storm Cloud Coming - 30 top, too slow, needs big move forward.
#5 Second Street City - 39 top, 3rd start, very competitive here
#6 Fit To Be Tied - 30 top, too slow
#7 Sharp Tongue Lady - Huge 43 last year, then a 41 before the 6 month layoff. Coming back for a top barn today, major player.

Morning Line Odds observations

#4 Storm Cloud Coming is ridiculously overpriced at 7/2. he would need a 8-10 point move to be competitive here.

#1 My Paige's Jewel is an underlay at 15-1. Only a 4-6 point move to be competitive, and has the rail. Yet to develop from the 2 year old top of 33, decent chance of moving forward.

#2 Ridgester (3-1), #5 Second Street City (2-1), and #7 Sharp Tongue Lady (5/2) are all legitimate contenders.

Booting the short priced #4 and wheeling #1 in the trifecta slots with 2,5,7 might be the logical play here.


CD 3rd - FormScore Sheets (http://www.formscore.com/free0618.pdf)