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View Full Version : Track favoring which horse in the Belmont?


Casino
06-11-2011, 03:39 PM
So far after watching the first few races does anyone have a idea which horse will favor this type of track condition in the Belmont Stakes?

No strong bias and would it even matter at 1 1/2?

Spiderman
06-11-2011, 03:45 PM
A bias for inside has dveloped. See R6, Turbulent Descent could not catch-up and R7, Trappe ran away on the inside.

Re-checked PPs and if ONLY mud stats matter, Stay Thirsty will be going strong.

Casino
06-11-2011, 04:06 PM
A bias for inside has dveloped. See R6, Turbulent Descent could not catch-up and R7, Trappe ran away on the inside.

Re-checked PPs and if ONLY mud stats matter, Stay Thirsty will be going strong.

Justin Phillip was huge on the front end.

toussaud
06-11-2011, 04:08 PM
i agree, i'm not a big track bias guy today but the races have been over at the half mile mark

Rapid Grey
06-11-2011, 04:22 PM
Agree on Stay Thirsty. Ruler on Ice should send and Castellano should be able to sit right off of that one. Shackleford projects a two wide trip, Prime Cut and MMM probably 3 or 4 wide which doesn't sound good. Nehro has tactical speed so Nakatani should tuck in somewhere early.

Don't think JV will ever put AK on the rail and will try the same run they had in the Derby and Preakness.....wide out of the turns. Could compromise his chances.

hard to fiugre MOH, Santiva and Brilliant Speed and how they will like the mud.

Liking Monzon as late rally rail runner.

Spiderman
06-11-2011, 04:47 PM
Re-thinking the betting for Belmont. There is a definite bias - three races in a row favoring inside in stretch. Also, the odds, as of 3:30 below, indicate some action on Stay Thirsty and Santiva. Monzon won a muddy contest by 10 lengths. If Stay Thirsty and Santiva continue below morning line odds, I will use them. Staying with Animal Kingdom in win slot.

Belmont Stakes odds (as of 3:30 p.m. Eastern)

1. Master of Hounds, 9-2
2. Stay Thirsty, 16-1
3. Ruler On Ice, 29-1
4. Santiva, 13-1
5. Brilliant Speed, 9-1
6. Nehro, 4-1
7. Monzon, 26-1
8. Prime Cut, 20-1
9. Animal Kingdom, 3-1
10. Mucho Macho Man, 7-1
11. Isn’t He Perfect, 31-1
12. Shackleford, 9-1

tanner12oz
06-11-2011, 04:49 PM
12. Shackleford, 9-1

toussaud
06-11-2011, 05:43 PM
okay i think i see a trend here


cccccccccccarryover

dansan
06-11-2011, 05:50 PM
2-7-9-11 :ThmbUp: -