Saturday Monmouth Card

[pktruckdriver]

Race 1
:4::5: and maybe the :6: if odds creep up a bit , like now 41mtp at 90-1


Race 2
:2::5: , and again watch odds for spot plays on :8::12:, the spot plays come from my modeling and the :8::12: are 1st in EPR, so I'll watch and see, since this is a dirt sprint


race 3
:1::6::2:, here we can try to wait for post time odds, and this may be a pass race if we fall under acceptable odds (lower than 2-1 )


Race 4
:5::7: here I am trying to beat the Fav :3:, so maybe a saver wager of
:3: over :5::7: exacta, maybe.
This race defies my modeling as it splits the :5: and:7: with the top factors that are winning Turf Routes, so today we will see what prevails

Race 5
:1a::3: Again I feel pretty strong about the :1a:, that maybe a small tri
:1a:/ :3::4:/ :3::4::7: could be a spot play too

Race 6
:10::5: Now a swing here may not be what is ordered, but 1st and 2nd
trifecta and .10 supers :10:/:5::3::4::6:/:5::3::4::6:

end of 1st half

[pktruckdriver]

Race 7
:5::2:

Race 8
:4::9: spot play on the :2::5::6:

this will be my kaos swing for the fences race 1st and 2nd tri and .10 super
:4:/:2::5::6::9:/:2::5::6::9:

I have 3 horse's 100% in my model here, only a few races in the model, but the :6:, the :4: and :9: are in the the categories currently at 100%, and this race will definitely break that up unless a deadheat is declared, but seriously the :4: does stand out, so I trust the program and can't wait to see how it does

Race 9
:7::9: Here again I have numerous model plays but in reality too many as the following could all maybe warrant a 2.00 win wager :1::3::4::11:

:7: being a possible $20 winner I think a play of keybox exacta of the :7:/:1::3::4::9::11: a 10.00 wager

Race 10
:6::5: another race that is up for grabs, but will settle on these 2, as the other contenders may be in order :7::2::4:


Race 11
:7::3::8: maybe an exacta box here too for 6.00


Race 12
:4::12: another race with potential but we'll go :4: over :12::7::1::3:
an exacta key box


ok that is it for today, best of luck and remember these are my possible plays , as post time odds and other factors may restrict the race from being played all together.


Best Luck, play at own risk

[pktruckdriver]

Race 1
:4::5: and maybe the :6: if odds creep up a bit , like now 41mtp at 90-1
won :4:

Race 2
:2::5: , and again watch odds for spot plays on :8::12:, the spot plays come from my modeling and the :8::12: are 1st in EPR, so I'll watch and see, since this is a dirt sprint
won :5: place:2:

race 3
:1::6::2:, here we can try to wait for post time odds, and this may be a pass race if we fall under acceptable odds (lower than 2-1 )
lost this one , the winner :3:

Race 4
:5::7: here I am trying to beat the Fav :3:, so maybe a saver wager of
:3: over :5::7: exacta, maybe.
This race defies my modeling as it splits the :5: and:7: with the top factors that are winning Turf Routes, so today we will see what prevails
lost this race too, winner :1: so much for this model
Race 5
:1a::3: Again I feel pretty strong about the :1a:, that maybe a small tri
:1a:/ :3::4:/ :3::4::7: could be a spot play too
Another loss , winner :2:
Race 6
:10::5: Now a swing here may not be what is ordered, but 1st and 2nd
trifecta and .10 supers :10:/:5::3::4::6:/:5::3::4::6:
won :5:, but no tri or super, not even close, I had no :1: for 2nd, I totally missed that one

end of 1st half


Not too good today, a nice win thou 10.00 and 11.00 winners, still no rweal exotic winner yet, that must say something to me, try harder, no , that they are maybe not worthy of a wager yet

[pktruckdriver]

Race 7
:5::2:
won:5: place:2:
Race 8
:4::9: spot play on the :2::5::6:
lost , winner :8: place :4:
this will be my kaos swing for the fences race 1st and 2nd tri and .10 super
:4:/:2::5::6::9:/:2::5::6::9:

I have 3 horse's 100% in my model here, only a few races in the model, but the :6:, the :4: and :9: are in the the categories currently at 100%, and this race will definitely break that up unless a deadheat is declared, but seriously the :4: does stand out, so I trust the program and can't wait to see how it does
it seems modeling did me no good here, i was horrible, no :8: or :7: , totally off base here

[pktruckdriver]

Race 9
:7::9: Here again I have numerous model plays but in reality too many as the following could all maybe warrant a 2.00 win wager :1::3::4::11:
won :9:
:7: being a possible $20 winner I think a play of keybox exacta of the :7:/:1::3::4::9::11: a 10.00 wager
no exacta today, but at least my underneath horse's made up the tri and super, as it ran :9::3::1::4:, so better than the previous race
Race 10
:6::5: another race that is up for grabs, but will settle on these 2, as the other contenders may be in order :7::2::4:
won :5: place :4:, thou :4: was not played
Race 11
:7::3::8: maybe an exacta box here too for 6.00
won :3:, but no exacta today but :8: showed

Race 12
:4::12: another race with potential but we'll go :4: over :12::7::1::3:
an exacta key box
lost winner :2:, place :4:

ok that is it for today, best of luck and remember these are my possible plays , as post time odds and other factors may restrict the race from being played all together.
again a total defeat, a lousy place is all out of 5 different horse's, need some more work, or ???



Well another day done, and it does not seem to profitable either