Blenheim
05-20-2011, 01:06 PM
I took a look at the weekly track stats by Brisnet and it shows a 90% speed bias: 70% winners going E++, 20% winners going E/P+ and 10% going S - with 24% of winners coming form post position one - data doesn't bode well for the closers.
If the track holds and is kind to speed, that may force the closers to stay tight on the pace - if they stay tight they'll lose their late kick; if the closers are too far back, they'll spend all of their energy trying to catch the front; if the closers are too far back they may never catch the front. Gotta figure the closes will have to beat the bias.
That 24% winners from post position one looks kinda good for Astrology. I'll take him at 15/1.
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If the track holds and is kind to speed, that may force the closers to stay tight on the pace - if they stay tight they'll lose their late kick; if the closers are too far back, they'll spend all of their energy trying to catch the front; if the closers are too far back they may never catch the front. Gotta figure the closes will have to beat the bias.
That 24% winners from post position one looks kinda good for Astrology. I'll take him at 15/1.
:1::2::2: