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View Full Version : Keeneland 4-27-11 with Comments


KidCapper
04-27-2011, 12:07 PM
$20 WP top pick $5 Exacta box top 3

Race -1 1m 1/8th for 25K claimers in the opener. I've settled on :2: for Baker who hits 21% 2nd out off the shelf.Ships in from OP and drops for this. WP :2: Exacta box :2: :3: :1:

Race -2 6 1/2F Alw in the 2nd and I've landed on the :3: here. Looks like the lone speed vs. these with Borel up. Filly freshened up for this could get brave on the front end. WP :3: Exacta box :3: :4: :6:

Race -3 1m1/8 19k Clm. field of 9 here. going with the :1: . Ran a good 2nd 1st out of the meet vs same level. Gets a good pace set-up in with plenty of speed signed up. WP :1: Exacta box :1: :7: :9:

Race -4 OFF the turf course; will be run at 1 5/8 miles on the main track. :2: for the red hot McPeek barn looks the part here with Garcia up. Makes 3rd start off the layoff as well.(McPeek 20%) WP :2: Exacta box :2: :5: :7:

Race -5 7F MC50k going to the outside here with the :11: Last seen at Dmr running a good 2nd on the poly. Had an awesome 5f workout here Apr21 and owns the right style for this dist. WP :11: Exacta box :11: :6: :9:

Race -6 4 1/2f baby race here. 3 big scratches in here lands us on the :3: . 20-1 ML had a great work Apr 10th then raced 4 days later...left race in the workout. Freshened for this bombs away. WP :3: Exacta box :3: :1: :6:

Race -7 1m 1/16 30kclmn2l race. Wide open affair and I'm shooting for the stars here. :6: at 20-1 on the ML. 3rd start off the layoff for fast improving sort.(Trainer 33% 3rd out) Has speed but doesn't need the lead. Versatility at a price! WP :6: Exacta box :6: :2: :3:

Race -8 OFF the turf course; will be run at 1 1/8 miles on the main track. Settled on the :3: for Maker here. Drops in from the G3 race last out to Alw runners today. Race 2 back in the stakes wins this and making her 3rd start off the layoff as well. Best bet on the card. WP :3: Exacta box :3: :9: :6:

Race -9 1m1/16 MC30k to wrap up the day. Going home with the :2: Tampa shipper looked good on the turf last out and should love the poly here. Underrated trainer will have this one ready. WP :2: Exacta Box :2: :8: :9:

Good Luck N Good Racing From The KidCapper!!!

parlay
04-27-2011, 12:21 PM
I touted Crested in his last.
Graham blew the trip.
This race seems to have no speed source.
Will someone steal it or will the horse with the
best closing kick prevail?
I like the jock change, but not enough to play.

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 12:36 PM
I touted Crested in his last.
Graham blew the trip.
This race seems to have no speed source.
Will someone steal it or will the horse with the
best closing kick prevail?
I like the jock change, but not enough to play.

Crested in scratched in Race 1 --- FYI

Goofyscott
04-27-2011, 12:39 PM
Gl with your picks today. Looks like weather there isnt too great.

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 12:42 PM
Gl with your picks today. Looks like weather there isnt too great.


Thanks. May all your photo's be winners as well!!

Goofyscott
04-27-2011, 12:46 PM
Kidcapper, do you ever go to Canterbury in Shakopee MN?

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 12:52 PM
Kidcapper, do you ever go to Canterbury in Shakopee MN?

Nope bet it a few times..but never been there live.

Spiderman
04-27-2011, 01:16 PM
My selections are riddled with scratches:

R1 Crested #6 3-1 was blocked in last, clear today scratch
R2 Hunt For Colleen #6 5-2 won’t be 7-wide in 6-horse field. Competition from last out maiden winner, #2 and usually tiring #3
R3 Mesa Rose #1 7-2 will be gaining late at this distance. Facing recent 17 and 11 length winners who are both up 2-classes
R4 Alpha Sierra and En Fuego, # 4 and 5, are distance specialists, either likely winner
Off turf to main at 1 5/8
R5 Bridging #11 7-2 5-yr old with great late kick facing 3-yr olds. Main competitor #5 is likely scratch and re-entered for Thursday
R6 Ward is high % winner in this type of race, has two entered – one is scratch. Curfew Tower #10 ran a decent 2nd in first out and should be used in P4. Scratch Race should have been card as R1
R7 Grey Mist #3 4-1 Won at KEE, today’s distance with SoCal jockey, gets Go-go today facing weak field
R8 Litigating #2 5-1 Call my turf counselor – I will take 5-1. Had tremendous comehome time at this distance, 34.05/11.18 race to polytrack – stick with pick who won on poly, at this distance
Mystical Star #8 2-1 Logical favorite off fast closing 2nd in G3 at this distance. Final time was faster than #3 – 1:46.60 to 1:48.04, but closing kick a bit slower – 35.79/11.88.
Off turf
R9 Royal Order #3 6-1 Tough call. Trainer good at layoff and this one has faced much better
Grannys Green Eyes #5 5-1 Contender scratch
Kitten’s House #9 2-1 Looks like easy to beat favorite, never been distance and seems to be need-to-lead type from tough post

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 01:22 PM
Race 1 not quite what I imagined pace wise and the longest shot on the board won....Top pick ran 2nd at low odds and we missed the exacta.

Results thru race 1

Bet $70

Ret $28


Net-$42

Next!!

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 01:52 PM
Race2 our top pick has no excuse and tired badly...missed the exacta too


Bet $140

Ret $28

Net-$112

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 02:22 PM
Race 3 pick middled moved and hung...3 split my exacta box...sigh nexT

Bet $210

Ret $28

Net-$182

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 02:53 PM
Race 4 bleh top pink folded...exacta split by the 6..

Thru 4

Bet $280

Ret $28

Loss$252

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 03:30 PM
Race -5 Finally a winner ON Top and the exacta!!! Bingo!!


Thru 5


Bet $350

Ret $157.50

Loss-$192.50

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 03:59 PM
Race -6 wrong bomb as a 30-1 shot beat out my longshots.

Thru 6

Bet $420

Ret $157.50

Net-$262.50

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 04:34 PM
Race -7 Our top pick ran 2nd at 13-1 and we hit the exacta!!! Yes!!!!!!

Thru 7

Bet $470

Ret $991.50

Net +$521.50

woooooooooohooooooooooooooooooooooo

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 05:00 PM
Race 8 top pick showed nothing in the off-turf affair

Thru 8

Bet $550

Ret $991.50

Net +$ 441.50


good day one race left!!

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 05:30 PM
Race 1st 3rd and 4th in the 9th...A winning day..can't complain!!!


The totals


Bet $620

Ret $991.50


Profit $371.50 !!!!

We'll take it.

Zydeco
04-27-2011, 05:33 PM
Good job on getting a profit today. Good Handicapping on the 7th race.

KidCapper
04-27-2011, 05:35 PM
Good job on getting a profit today. Good Handicapping on the 7th race.

Thanks. That race made up for a day of just misses. Had that exacta cold with the scratch of the 3.

judd
04-27-2011, 06:38 PM
nice work

Goofyscott
04-27-2011, 07:11 PM
Nice hit on the exacta!!

Race -7 Our top pick ran 2nd at 13-1 and we hit the exacta!!! Yes!!!!!!

Thru 7

Bet $470

Ret $991.50

Net +$521.50

woooooooooohooooooooooooooooooooooo