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View Full Version : Baseball arbitrage


Valuist
04-24-2011, 12:35 PM
One scenario I like: when the wind is blowing in at Wrigley so the total is 7 1/2 or less, and the Cubs are in the role of favorite.

Cubs -125
Dodgers + 1 1/2 runs (-200)

With the wind blowing in and the low total, chances are greater it will be a one run game. And with the home team in the favorites role, they may not need a 9th at bat. Have used this scenario successfully in the past. Zambrano is rolling right now, having won something like 9 or 10 straight decisions. The Cubs haven't faced the Dodgers' starter since 2008, and struggled against him them. Hoping for a 2-1 Cubs victory.

Fwizard
04-25-2011, 07:53 PM
while the game didn't go the way you wanted --I would like to hear more of your approach...