April 17 Emerald Downs

[Freightliner]

Testing my new formula. :bang:

Race 1. Pass (I always pass on MSW)
Race 2. TOUCH OF ELEGANCE place only
Race 3. U CAN'T TELL ME NO win and place
Race 4. Pass
Race 5. LADY FRANGELICA win and place
Race 6. MARK OF A PIRATE win and place
Race 7. JOHNNYDREW win and place
Race 8. DODGER win and place
Race 9. Pass (too many unknowns-too many long layoffs)
Race 10. DENKENESH to place only

Upset special (longshot with potential): CHINLE VIRGIL in the 4th race
Worst bet: TRIPLE TEE in the 10th race. Has gotten demonstrably worse in each race since her last win. She is a horse on the decline and will go off at very low odds. She should be avoided until she shows some signs of life.

[Freightliner]

I accidentally reversed a sign in one of my formulas. It caused some math errors.

My picks are:
changed Race #2: RILEIGHS HOT PANTS place only
changed Race #3: MICHAEL MYERS place only
changed Race #4: INSPECTOR SHAMUS win and place
changed Race #5: LADY FRANGELICA place only
Race #6: MARK OF A PIRATE win and place
Race #7: JOHNNYDREW win and place
Race #8: DODGER win and place
changed Race #9: K LEA ROAD place only
Race #10: DENKENESH place only

For my longshot of the day I like SOLEX SISTERS in the 2nd race at 10-1 ML.

The bad bet of the day is also in the second race TOUCH OF ELEGANCE is in serious decline, but is going off at 2-1 ML.

[Freightliner]

I was terrible at this track today.