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View Full Version : Wrong ML at SA in tomorrow's first race?


Stillriledup
04-14-2011, 11:37 PM
Can this be right?

5 horse field, here's the ML: 1-1, 6-5, 5-2, 4-1, 8-1.

Win takeout is 15.43%

mountainman
04-15-2011, 09:01 AM
Can this be right?

5 horse field, here's the ML: 1-1, 6-5, 5-2, 4-1, 8-1.

Win takeout is 15.43%

Wow. That's about 34 points too high. And could actually discourage someone from taking interest in the race. It has to be a mistake.

ronsmac
04-15-2011, 01:17 PM
Are there people actually still looking at Santa Anita?

Stillriledup
04-15-2011, 03:31 PM
Wow. That's about 34 points too high. And could actually discourage someone from taking interest in the race. It has to be a mistake.

Thanks Mark, that's what i was thinking, i dont know how to make a ML, but it just looked 'weird' to me, if there are two 'even money shots' its really screwy that there's a 5-2 also.

Race 2 even looks 'off' a bit, but it doesnt look as bad as race 1.

mountainman
04-16-2011, 03:11 PM
Thanks Mark, that's what i was thinking, i dont know how to make a ML, but it just looked 'weird' to me, if there are two 'even money shots' its really screwy that there's a 5-2 also.

Race 2 even looks 'off' a bit, but it doesnt look as bad as race 1.

The cardinal sin of linesmaking is to go low on points and promise the public higher odds than are mathematically possible. Taken to extreme, the opposite approach is even worse-to go too high on points and undersell potential profits as a whole. You've got a good eye to catch that sa flub.