PAIHL stats

[cj's dad]

I am putting this in the H'capn section so all will see, even those not involved in the contest.

There are 50 teams comprised of 3 players each. Each week, the team makes $240 in wagers. There are 8 events which consist of 3- $2 WPS bets + 1- $2 - 3 horse exacta boxed wager. So, in effect each week = $30 x 8 races.

I went over the results for the past weeks to see how many teams had a positive ROI. The results are as follows:

Week 1 - 26-50
Week 2 - 10-50
Week 3 - 13-50
Week 4 - 14-50
Week 5 - 11-50
Week 6 - 13-50
Week 7 - 7-50
Week 8 - 8-50

I understand, that in reality, many (most) would not in a single race place 3 WPS wagers. Still, I think the results indicate what an incredibly difficult game this is to beat.

[Kelso]

I am putting this in the H'capn section so all will see, even those not involved in the contest.

There are 50 teams comprised of 3 players each. Each week, the team makes $240 in wagers. There are 8 events which consist of 3- $2 WPS bets + 1- $2 - 3 horse exacta boxed wager. So, in effect each week = $30 x 8 races.

I went over the results for the past weeks to see how many teams had a positive ROI. The results are as follows:

Week 1 - 26-50
Week 2 - 10-50
Week 3 - 13-50
Week 4 - 14-50
Week 5 - 11-50
Week 6 - 13-50
Week 7 - 7-50
Week 8 - 8-50

I understand, that in reality, many (most) would not in a single race place 3 WPS wagers. Still, I think the results indicate what an incredibly difficult game this is to beat.That rapid decline might indicate an increased level of swinging for the fences ... resulting from the substantial successes of the JCapper teams (and a couple others?) in the first few weeks. (BREAK UP THE YANKEES!!!)

[turfeyejoe]

Our team matches its name, Swing for the Fences, and the decline in number of teams with a profitable ROI the past two weeks is directly related to the overwhelming number of heavy winning favorites during that span. Not a coincidence that we finished last in our division both weeks. It's hard to turn a profit when a string of favorites wins and exactas are $20 or less.

[cj's dad]

Our team matches its name, Swing for the Fences, and the decline in number of teams with a profitable ROI the past two weeksis directly related to the overwhelming number of heavy winning favorites during that span. Not a coincidence that we finished last in our division both weeks. It's hard to turn a profit when a string of favorites wins and exactas are $20 or less.

The past two weeks ???

Week 1 - 26-50 = 52%
Week 2 - 10-50 = 20%
Week 3 - 13-50 = 26%
Week 4 - 14-50 = 28%
Week 5 - 11-50 = 22%
Week 6 - 13-50 = 26%
Week 7 - 7-50 = 14%
Week 8 - 8-50 = 16%

There has been only one week with a + ROI.

[cj]

The past two weeks ???

Week 1 - 26-50 = 52%
Week 2 - 10-50 = 20%
Week 3 - 13-50 = 26%
Week 4 - 14-50 = 28%
Week 5 - 11-50 = 22%
Week 6 - 13-50 = 26%
Week 7 - 7-50 = 14%
Week 8 - 8-50 = 16%

There has been only one week with a + ROI.

It is a tough game. Contests are different. You are forced to play races you don't like, and even races that are terrible betting races. Throw in the WPS and 3 horse exact box for this one, both generally very bad betting practices, and these numbers don't surprise me a bit.

[Overlay]

It is a tough game. Contests are different. You are forced to play races you don't like, and even races that are terrible betting races. Throw in the WPS and 3 horse exact box for this one, both generally very bad betting practices, and these numbers don't surprise me a bit.

Don't forget having to place wagers without being able to take real-time odds/payouts or betting value into account.

[cj's dad]

I understand, that in reality, many (most) would not in a single race place 3 WPS wagers.


From my OP.