Method I saw online

[dav4463]

Can this be tested? I saw it online. It seems fairly logical.

The play is any horse who is bet down to First or Second favorite, but was NOT one of the top three morning line selections in the DRF or program.

[Dave Schwartz]

This is actually a good way to show that bet down horses out perform bet up horses.


1-rPubCh+176-rML
WIN BETS
Field1 Field2 Starts Pays Pct $Net IV PIV
--------------------------------------------------------
1st 1st 14,987 5,809 38.8 $1.66 2.89 1.04
1st 2nd 4,624 1,595 34.5 $1.77 2.60 1.09
1st 3rd 2,017 663 32.9 $1.79 2.52 1.12
1st FH 1,212 364 30.0 $1.79 2.52 1.09
1st RH 338 109 32.2 $1.86 2.27 1.18
2nd 1st 4,781 1,118 23.4 $1.62 1.77 1.01
2nd 2nd 9,380 2,030 21.6 $1.63 1.60 1.00
2nd 3rd 4,644 955 20.6 $1.67 1.54 1.01
2nd FH 3,004 571 19.0 $1.64 1.57 1.00
2nd RH 938 198 21.1 $1.75 1.46 1.09
3rd 1st 1,883 309 16.4 $1.52 1.27 0.95
3rd 2nd 5,190 745 14.4 $1.48 1.08 0.91
3rd 3rd 7,847 1,175 15.0 $1.62 1.10 1.00
3rd FH 5,402 750 13.9 $1.61 1.13 0.99
3rd RH 2,276 303 13.3 $1.54 0.91 0.94
FH 1st 981 104 10.6 $1.38 0.89 0.84
FH 2nd 3,440 356 10.3 $1.50 0.86 0.94
FH 3rd 7,308 683 9.3 $1.52 0.78 0.93
FH FH 19,459 1,589 8.2 $1.53 0.72 0.95
FH RH 8,042 721 9.0 $1.79 0.75 1.10
RH 1st 182 11 6.0 $1.07 0.42 0.60
RH 2nd 1,026 82 8.0 $1.47 0.54 0.92
RH 3rd 3,212 218 6.8 $1.45 0.47 0.91
RH FH 14,156 644 4.5 $1.53 0.38 0.96
RH RH 54,088 1,652 3.1 $1.28 0.25 0.89

Total 180,417 22,754 12.6 $1.50 1.00 0.98