Daily Track Variance...... Mean anything?

[Ray2000]

End of year,..playing with some stats

Strange numbers here with TMs Daily Track Variance

Seems it never rains at Mohawk only Woodbine..



track.Races % of races with positive DTV (Slow)
MAY.....1210....46%
NP.......480....41%
CALX....1693....34%
LEB......618....33%
BMLP....1781....33%
LON.....1626....27%
NOR......780....22%
BR......1141....21%
RIDC....2313....19%
KD......1112....18%
WDB.....1562....18%
DD......2015....17%
FLMD....2647....17%
MR......2752....16%
BTVA.....923....15%
FHLD....1855....11%
LEX......342....11%
FRD.....1027....11%
GEOD....1265....10%
SCAR....1150....9%
BANG.....554....6%
NFLD....2963....5%
YR......3006....5%
BigM....1548....5%
GRVR.....823....4%
MEA.....2984....4%
VD.......945....3%
PCD.....2012....3%
SCD......619....2%
RP.......651....2%
STGA....2203....2%
HOP......969....2%
PRC......874....2%
HAR.....1627....1%
HP.......898....1%
CHST....1821....1%
MOH.....1186....0%
INDY.....998....0%
WR......1208....0%
TGDN.....658....0%
PPK.....1227....0%
CNL......256....0%
........
.......62377....11%



:confused::confused::confused:

[DeanT]

Wow!

[Sea Biscuit]

I would love to know how they calculate those daily track variants.:confused:

[harness2008]

Obviously there is something else going on with these DTV's. There has to be a number imbedded in the track variant computation which relates track to track difference also since this indeed makes no sense.

Trying to divulge information from them regarding their methods is impossible though, they are like a clam with lockjaw.

[beaucap]

I would love to know how they calculate those daily track variants.:confused:

You were probably doing it when you were younger. Ya see it's called spin the bottle. TM puts a empty bottle in the middle of a circle, with numbers in it. What ever number the bottle stops on that's the variant for the night.:lol:

[Zman179]

Those stats lead me to believe that their par times need some serious updating. I can understand why tracks like Lebanon, Western Fair and Northville have so many positive readings since they run primarily through winter months, but Windsor at 0% and Harrington at just 1%?! No way, especially since Harrington always slows up when it's wet, and Delaware ain't exactly a dry state.

Maywood and Balmoral's percentages have gone sky high due to the collapse of their product. They're probably using pars from five+ years ago when their product was respectable, not now which resembles that of a town after a nuclear blast.