Kentucky Bred
09-17-2003, 08:59 PM
Hi guys and lady:
Back after a long road trip. Here's a cut and paste job from
www.equidaily.com
which is a wonderful daily web-based thoroughbred update from around the world. A remarkable surfing stop for anyone who likes the subject and business of horse racing.
___________________________
Season Recap
Really a special meet for Saratoga's Best Bets and our readers. We eventually came back to earth -- as was to be expected -- after our incredible start. Two weeks into the meet we still were shooting 50% with our picks on top. Almost unheard of accuracy.
But even though things slowed down thereafter we still managed to plug along at a good rate and we ended the season at 112-343. Of the public handicappers we follow those numbers put Best Bets in a respectable position. The complete chart is below. You'll note that Tom Cunningham of the Albany Times-Union and Russ Harris of the NY Daily News put a little distance between themselves and the rest of the field -- but the next pack, including Best Bets, all had remarkable seasons. And it's worth noting -- at least from over here at Best Bets where we only concentrated on Saratoga races -- that some of these handicappers grabbed a couple extra wins by cherry picking 2-5 favorite Bare Necessities in the Gardenia from Ellis Park and 5-2 Sulamani in the Arlington Million -- a couple of simulcast events...
But more significantly Best Bets beat the meet! We finished #1 where it counted, in the pocketbook! Of all the public handicappers we track who publish their season-long win-bet tally only two, our own Seth Merrow of equidaily.com and Nick Kling of the Troy (NY) Record/Saratogian showed flat bet profits. Kling had a return of $698.90 on $692 wagered ($2 win bet on each of 346 races).
We beat the meet!
But it was equidaily.com's Best Bets that showed the highest and best return: $702.90 on $686 wagered. Long time followers of the game know that such an accomplishment -- showing a flat-bet profit at the end of a race meet -- is highly unusual and quite noteworthy.
We also have a quite extraordinary stat involving superfectas -- boxing our top four selections in the super each day would have garnered a super 108% ROI. See below...
Other stats of interest:
Races played... There were 343 races played over the six week meet.
Winners on top... We selected 112 winners on top over the 343 races. The total return for a $2 wager on each top selection was $702.90.
Exactas using our top two selections... Our top two selections combined for 40 exactas (27 cold). Total return was $1016.40 ($2 wagers).
Highest exacta involving our top two selections... $260.00/$2, race 4, 8/21.
Exacta using our top three selections... Our top three selections accounted for 89 exactas in the 343 races (including the 40 listed above). The total return on the 89 winning gimmicks was $3036.20.
Highest exacta using our top three selections... Same as listed above, $260.00, race 4, 8/21.
Note: Triples were not offered on every race during the meet.
Triples, cold... We called 7 tri's on the button, 1-2-3 in exact order (one of these 1-2-3 finishes was in a race that did not offer a tri wager).
Triples, top three boxed... Our top three selections rounded out the tri in 24 races (including the 7 listed above... Five of these tri's were in races that did not offer a tri wager). Total return was $1537.00.
Highest triple using our top three selections... $344.50/$2, race 1, 8/30.
Triples, top four boxed... Our top four selections accounted for 70 tri's (including the 24 listed above... Nine of these tri's were in races that did not offer a tri wager). Total return was $9072.70
Highest triple using our top four selections... $1071.00/$2, race 5, 8/27.
Superfectas using our top four selections... There was one superfecta offered each day for a total of 36 opportunities. Our top four selections accounted for 3 of those superfectas (in all three of those races our top selection won). On 7/26, $215.50/$2. On 8/2, $1331.00/$2. And on 8/13, $2028.00/$2. A $1 superfecta box using our top four selections each day would have cost $864.00 (36 X $24), and it would have returned $1787.25 for a positive ROI of 108%.
Below is a comparison among the top public handicappers following the Saratoga race meet.
Note: Discrepancies in total number of races played is due to some handicappers losing races due to scratches or adding races with simulcast plays.
Tom Cunningham
Albany Times Union 128-346
Russ Harris
NY Daily News 121-345 ... $651.20
Mark Cusano
Daily [Schenectady] Gazette 116-345
Tom Law
Saratogian 116-343
Nick Kling
Troy Record/Saratogian 113-346 ... $698.90
Seth Merrow
Best Bets - equidaily.com 112-343 ... $702.90
Dave Little
NY Daily News 112-342 ... $658.10
Bill Heller
Daily [Schenectady] Gazette 112-345
Matt Graves
Albany Times Union 109-346
Bill Taylor
Saratogian 107-345
Sherry Ross
NY Daily News 103-344 ... $674.30
Debbie L
NY Post 100-327 ... $570.00
John Pricci
Saratogian 99-346
Tim Wilkin
Albany times Union 98-334
Mike Jarboe
Albany Times Union 94-345
Jerry Bossert
NY Daily News 87-342 ... $551.20
Vic C
NY Post 86-331 ... $555.20
John DaSilva
NY Post 82-335 ... $566.10
Ed Fountaine
NY Post 78-334 ... $553.80
Mike Lipack
NY Daily News 75-341 ... $541.10
Tom V
NY Post 53-220 ... $430.80
______________________
Sorry it's a bit long but I hoped to save you from having to go to the site to read the results.
What this says is that the "experts" at this site beat the recent Saratoga meet and turned a profit. I can't tell if it is just with their best bets or every race, but a tremendous acheivement none the less. Some of their exotics fared better. Notice the results of the other "experts" that write about racing everyday. All of them fared much worse.
Before quit your job and log on though, it would be wise to notice the profit is not great. A profit of $16.90 for every $686 wagered. Ouch! But it is a profit...a 2% profit.
Ya see, it ain't really that easy to make money in this game. The juice is too high and the difference on paper between most of the horses running in the race is too slim.
I guess if it were easy, everybody would do it.
I guess if it were easy, I wouldn't be that much interested in it.
How about you?
Kentucky Bred
Back after a long road trip. Here's a cut and paste job from
www.equidaily.com
which is a wonderful daily web-based thoroughbred update from around the world. A remarkable surfing stop for anyone who likes the subject and business of horse racing.
___________________________
Season Recap
Really a special meet for Saratoga's Best Bets and our readers. We eventually came back to earth -- as was to be expected -- after our incredible start. Two weeks into the meet we still were shooting 50% with our picks on top. Almost unheard of accuracy.
But even though things slowed down thereafter we still managed to plug along at a good rate and we ended the season at 112-343. Of the public handicappers we follow those numbers put Best Bets in a respectable position. The complete chart is below. You'll note that Tom Cunningham of the Albany Times-Union and Russ Harris of the NY Daily News put a little distance between themselves and the rest of the field -- but the next pack, including Best Bets, all had remarkable seasons. And it's worth noting -- at least from over here at Best Bets where we only concentrated on Saratoga races -- that some of these handicappers grabbed a couple extra wins by cherry picking 2-5 favorite Bare Necessities in the Gardenia from Ellis Park and 5-2 Sulamani in the Arlington Million -- a couple of simulcast events...
But more significantly Best Bets beat the meet! We finished #1 where it counted, in the pocketbook! Of all the public handicappers we track who publish their season-long win-bet tally only two, our own Seth Merrow of equidaily.com and Nick Kling of the Troy (NY) Record/Saratogian showed flat bet profits. Kling had a return of $698.90 on $692 wagered ($2 win bet on each of 346 races).
We beat the meet!
But it was equidaily.com's Best Bets that showed the highest and best return: $702.90 on $686 wagered. Long time followers of the game know that such an accomplishment -- showing a flat-bet profit at the end of a race meet -- is highly unusual and quite noteworthy.
We also have a quite extraordinary stat involving superfectas -- boxing our top four selections in the super each day would have garnered a super 108% ROI. See below...
Other stats of interest:
Races played... There were 343 races played over the six week meet.
Winners on top... We selected 112 winners on top over the 343 races. The total return for a $2 wager on each top selection was $702.90.
Exactas using our top two selections... Our top two selections combined for 40 exactas (27 cold). Total return was $1016.40 ($2 wagers).
Highest exacta involving our top two selections... $260.00/$2, race 4, 8/21.
Exacta using our top three selections... Our top three selections accounted for 89 exactas in the 343 races (including the 40 listed above). The total return on the 89 winning gimmicks was $3036.20.
Highest exacta using our top three selections... Same as listed above, $260.00, race 4, 8/21.
Note: Triples were not offered on every race during the meet.
Triples, cold... We called 7 tri's on the button, 1-2-3 in exact order (one of these 1-2-3 finishes was in a race that did not offer a tri wager).
Triples, top three boxed... Our top three selections rounded out the tri in 24 races (including the 7 listed above... Five of these tri's were in races that did not offer a tri wager). Total return was $1537.00.
Highest triple using our top three selections... $344.50/$2, race 1, 8/30.
Triples, top four boxed... Our top four selections accounted for 70 tri's (including the 24 listed above... Nine of these tri's were in races that did not offer a tri wager). Total return was $9072.70
Highest triple using our top four selections... $1071.00/$2, race 5, 8/27.
Superfectas using our top four selections... There was one superfecta offered each day for a total of 36 opportunities. Our top four selections accounted for 3 of those superfectas (in all three of those races our top selection won). On 7/26, $215.50/$2. On 8/2, $1331.00/$2. And on 8/13, $2028.00/$2. A $1 superfecta box using our top four selections each day would have cost $864.00 (36 X $24), and it would have returned $1787.25 for a positive ROI of 108%.
Below is a comparison among the top public handicappers following the Saratoga race meet.
Note: Discrepancies in total number of races played is due to some handicappers losing races due to scratches or adding races with simulcast plays.
Tom Cunningham
Albany Times Union 128-346
Russ Harris
NY Daily News 121-345 ... $651.20
Mark Cusano
Daily [Schenectady] Gazette 116-345
Tom Law
Saratogian 116-343
Nick Kling
Troy Record/Saratogian 113-346 ... $698.90
Seth Merrow
Best Bets - equidaily.com 112-343 ... $702.90
Dave Little
NY Daily News 112-342 ... $658.10
Bill Heller
Daily [Schenectady] Gazette 112-345
Matt Graves
Albany Times Union 109-346
Bill Taylor
Saratogian 107-345
Sherry Ross
NY Daily News 103-344 ... $674.30
Debbie L
NY Post 100-327 ... $570.00
John Pricci
Saratogian 99-346
Tim Wilkin
Albany times Union 98-334
Mike Jarboe
Albany Times Union 94-345
Jerry Bossert
NY Daily News 87-342 ... $551.20
Vic C
NY Post 86-331 ... $555.20
John DaSilva
NY Post 82-335 ... $566.10
Ed Fountaine
NY Post 78-334 ... $553.80
Mike Lipack
NY Daily News 75-341 ... $541.10
Tom V
NY Post 53-220 ... $430.80
______________________
Sorry it's a bit long but I hoped to save you from having to go to the site to read the results.
What this says is that the "experts" at this site beat the recent Saratoga meet and turned a profit. I can't tell if it is just with their best bets or every race, but a tremendous acheivement none the less. Some of their exotics fared better. Notice the results of the other "experts" that write about racing everyday. All of them fared much worse.
Before quit your job and log on though, it would be wise to notice the profit is not great. A profit of $16.90 for every $686 wagered. Ouch! But it is a profit...a 2% profit.
Ya see, it ain't really that easy to make money in this game. The juice is too high and the difference on paper between most of the horses running in the race is too slim.
I guess if it were easy, everybody would do it.
I guess if it were easy, I wouldn't be that much interested in it.
How about you?
Kentucky Bred