Wednesday 11/03- CD

[MitchS]

Numerical sheet explanation:

I'm finished tweaking the sheet. Most all of the numbers have been tweaked (calibrated) from my massive database. New columns of interest are, WL, E1, E2, SR-L, Kic, MP and TP. All numerical values in most all columns including the speed ratings have been calibrated :) ..Explanation below..

CD will be posted today AFTER scratches so look for the sheet within the next 30 minutes..


TK- Track

RN- Race number

Horse- Horses Name

PN- Program number

ML- Morning line


LR- How many days since this horse last raced

WA- How many days since this horse had a workout

WL- Horses last workout speed rating

P- Purse value. A plus number means this horse is racing today at a purse level greater then its last race. A minus number means this horse is racing at a purse level less than its last race.

CLS- Class rating. Higher number the better.

E1- Horses E1 rating. This rating shows what this horse is capable of rather than the horses last running line.

E2- Horses E2 rating. This rating shows what this horse is capable of rather than the horses last running line.


Q/S- Quirin speed points and horses running style

SR-L- Speed rating including variant. Horses last race. Higher number the better..

SR-L9- Speed rating that looks back at this horses the last 9 races. Higher number the better

LATE- Shows this horses late running ability. Shows what the horse is capable of rather than the horses last running line. Higher number the better

Kic- Calculated by subtracting the horses beaten lengths at the finish by the beaten lengths at the pace call. This number uses the horses last two races. A minus number means this horse was gaining lengths to the finish line where as a plus number means that this horse was losing lengths from the pace call to the finish.


W%- Horses win percentage this year

J%- Jockey win percent this year


T%- Trainers win percentage this year

WD- Weight differential. A minus number means this horse is carrying less weight than its last race. A plus number mean this horse is carrying more weight than its last race. 1 point per pound

Comp- A numerical rating taking in many factors. Higher number the better.

F- Finish position in last race

BL- Beaten lengths in last race

MP- Mud pedigree

TP- Turf pedigree


Trip- Trip notes of horses last race

[MitchS]

Sheet for CD is up and ready to go. Be back at the 2nd race

[MitchS]

Been busy with multiple tracks...BUT, and I HATE to go back after races have been run, BUT...anyone looking at the sheet needs to go back and see why the winners in the 1st and 2nd races were winners including the $33 and $12 horse in the first and second races!.... Look at the pace shape of the race with E1 and E2... determine how the race is going to set-up. Look for reasonable horses with descent other figs including P, SR-L, SR9, Late, Kic etc... depending on how the race sets up. Both winners of the first and second were EASILY found.. Looking back can give one valuable insights going forward... Hope you had a piece of those!

[KyRacer]

Was going to check out your picks but link for CD at your site doesn't seem to work. Can you check it out.

[MitchS]

Hey there KyRacer... Sorry about that, was making some website changes and messed up the link. It's working now but you'll need to copy and paste the link!

Have a great day,
M

[MitchS]

I'm not big on 2 year old racing but this # :6: in the 5th has been working good. Also a 5 Pt WL on the field..

[MitchS]

First timer ran a green 3rd in the 5th.

Value play in the 6th # :8:

[MitchS]

Wow, that's amazing. The 30/1 long shot in the last race Guiding Missile was ranked tied for 1st in SR-L, 2nd in SR-L9 and the top Comp horse... $19.40 to place :bang: , lol

[hracingplyr]

you have a link to your web site mitch and how do u download the figures

[MitchS]

Sure. Go to www.ultimateprecisiongaming.110mb.com Once at the site click on the racing sheet 11/03/2010. Go to the bottom of that page and you'll see a link. Copy and paste that link into your browser and you'll see a file to download.

If you have any trouble just let me know,
M

[MitchS]

8TH- 11,3,4,16

[MitchS]

Results- 11-4-16

That was a pretty good price for the #11 at $7.00 and a decent 11-4 exacta at $49.20

[MitchS]

9th- 9,5,8,6,10

[MitchS]

Result- 10-9-1

Interestingly the #10 was the top Comp horse with the figs and paid $12.80. I liked the #9 on top but just couldn't get up for the win, today at least! Exacta 10-9 paid $31.80

[MitchS]

10th- 9,12,4,2,1


#9 is questionable as the top pick with the long layoff and not stellar works but though the trainer does well with layoffs...

[MitchS]

Nice! Result 12-9 :jump:

#12 won paid $11.80 and the #9 ran second. Exacta paid $78.00 :D