PDA

View Full Version : THE PERCENTAGE EDGE


Enigma
10-21-2010, 11:29 AM
These selections have the required percentage edge to be wagers.

Belmont:
1st #1 EAGLE STRIKE (8/5)
2nd #1 GATHERING CLOUD (5/2)
3rd #2 FOR WES (5/2)
7th #4 LAUREATE CONDUCTOR (5/2)

Keeneland:
6th #6 NORTHERN GIANT (6/1)
8th #6 PRESIOUS PASSION (3/1)

Oak Tree:
2nd #5 SPANISH ICE (2/1)
3rd #3 WHERE'S THE REMOTE (6/5)
5th #7 ZOHRAH (5/2)

Hawthorne:
1st #4 SPEEDBOAT SALLY (4/1)
3rd #8 A F QUACK (4/1)
4th #6 CARNACKS CHOICE (4/1)
5th #2 PRAIRIE FEVER (9/5)

Calder:
4th #2 SILVEREST (5/2)
7th #7 THANK U PHILIPPE (5/2)
8th #13 YES IT'S DAN (5/2)

Laurel:
4th #8 GRAY GOWN (7/5)

Turkoman
10-21-2010, 12:25 PM
These selections have the required percentage edge to be wagers.

Belmont:
1st #1 EAGLE STRIKE (8/5)
2nd #1 GATHERING CLOUD (5/2)
3rd #2 FOR WES (5/2)
7th #4 LAUREATE CONDUCTOR (5/2)

Keeneland:
6th #6 NORTHERN GIANT (6/1)
8th #6 PRESIOUS PASSION (3/1)

Oak Tree:
2nd #5 SPANISH ICE (2/1)
3rd #3 WHERE'S THE REMOTE (6/5)
5th #7 ZOHRAH (5/2)

Hawthorne:
1st #4 SPEEDBOAT SALLY (4/1)
3rd #8 A F QUACK (4/1)
4th #6 CARNACKS CHOICE (4/1)
5th #2 PRAIRIE FEVER (9/5)

Calder:
4th #2 SILVEREST (5/2)
7th #7 THANK U PHILIPPE (5/2)
8th #13 YES IT'S DAN (5/2)

Laurel:
4th #8 GRAY GOWN (7/5)

Do you seriously feel you have an edge, while playing 17 races? By the way, are they WIN bets?

Turkoman

Enigma
10-21-2010, 05:28 PM
I know I have an edge, any race where I have a 30.0% plus edge I fancy my chances to make a profit on the day. With only the Oak Tree races to come, today is already another winning day. Yes the wager is win only.

Thanks for the interest,

Enigma.

pandy
10-21-2010, 06:04 PM
What is your edge based on, the morning line?

pandy
10-21-2010, 06:08 PM
Do you seriously feel you have an edge, while playing 17 races? By the way, are they WIN bets?

Turkoman

Just my opinion, the amount of races your play per day, week, etc., is not necessarily a deterrent to showing a profit. If you have certain things that you look for that are successful, whether you get two picks a day or 17, it will work. In fact, the more plays your handicapping method comes up with, the better. If you are only able to show a profit betting one or two horses a day, fine, but that doesn't mean that other players can't win betting more horses a day.

Turkoman
10-21-2010, 06:17 PM
Just my opinion, the amount of races your play per day, week, etc., is not necessarily a deterrent to showing a profit. If you have certain things that you look for that are successful, whether you get two picks a day or 17, it will work. In fact, the more plays your handicapping method comes up with, the better. If you are only able to show a profit betting one or two horses a day, fine, but that doesn't mean that other players can't win betting more horses a day.

Even though I disagree with you, I respect your opinion. There's really no way to know what the ideal number is, but 17 is just too many for me.

Turkoman

Light
10-21-2010, 06:34 PM
Enigma knows what he's doing. I have watched him for a while now on this and another board and he picks a high percentage of winning chalk for a profit. Well done again today.

pandy
10-21-2010, 06:39 PM
I agree, very good picks. I have an easier time picking longshots than chalk.

Enigma
10-21-2010, 06:48 PM
pandy,

The selections are based on M/L and my speed & class ratings.

To those who are misguided, some days there are 17 selections and some days there are none.

Thank you for the interest,

Enigma.

lsosa54
10-21-2010, 07:05 PM
Whatever your algorthm is, that was a very nice day's work. Good luck with OTH. I assume your records show win betting is the most efficient.

Not including OTH:

14 Win bets: Bet $28, Returned $41.80, Daily ROI +49.3%


These selections have the required percentage edge to be wagers.

Belmont:
1st #1 EAGLE STRIKE (8/5) Won $3.30
2nd #1 GATHERING CLOUD (5/2) Placed $2.50
3rd #2 FOR WES (5/2) Won $4.80
7th #4 LAUREATE CONDUCTOR (5/2) Won $6.50

Keeneland:
6th #6 NORTHERN GIANT (6/1) Won $7.80
8th #6 PRESIOUS PASSION (3/1) OUT

Oak Tree:
2nd #5 SPANISH ICE (2/1)
3rd #3 WHERE'S THE REMOTE (6/5)
5th #7 ZOHRAH (5/2)

Hawthorne:
1st #4 SPEEDBOAT SALLY (4/1) Placed $2.40
3rd #8 A F QUACK (4/1) Showed $3.40
4th #6 CARNACKS CHOICE (4/1) Won $5.40
5th #2 PRAIRIE FEVER (9/5) Won $7.40

Calder:
4th #2 SILVEREST (5/2) Placed $3.20
7th #7 THANK U PHILIPPE (5/2) OUT
8th #13 YES IT'S DAN (5/2) Won $6.60

Laurel:
4th #8 GRAY GOWN (7/5) Placed $2.20

Turkoman
10-21-2010, 07:20 PM
Whatever your algorthm is, that was a very nice day's work. Good luck with OTH. I assume your records show win betting is the most efficient.

Not including OTH:

14 Win bets: Bet $28, Returned $41.80, Daily ROI +49.3%

Those are, without a doubt, excellent stats.

Enigma
10-21-2010, 11:01 PM
Final Results:
1 scr & 2 off the turf leaving 14 Selections....7 Winners (50,0%)

Bet 280...Return 418...Profit 138...R.O.I. = +49.2%

Turkoman
10-21-2010, 11:14 PM
Final Results:
1 scr & 2 off the turf leaving 14 Selections....7 Winners (50,0%)

Bet 280...Return 418...Profit 138...R.O.I. = +49.2%

Nice job!

Robert Goren
10-22-2010, 08:32 AM
I am impressed. After taking some flack before the races were run, you came through big time.

tbwinner
10-22-2010, 08:53 AM
Keep it up Enigma. Good work!