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formula_2002
10-14-2010, 07:05 PM
EXPECTATIONS:
THE DBF HORSE IS EXPECTED TO RETURN A WIN POOL .70 ROI
THE LTCP, N155 AND N40_N34 HORSES ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN A WIN,PLACE OR SHOW POOL ROI OF >=.95 AND <=1.05
BETTING THE FAVORITE WHEN THE PROGRAM INDICATES TO DO SO, IS EXPECTED TO RETURN A 1.03 WIN POOL ROI

WHEN TO BE THE FAVORITE.
MINIMUM FIELD SIZE IS 6 BETTING INTEREST.
IF THE actual WIN POOL PERCENTAGE SUMS TO >=35% FOR ALL DBF HORSES., and the DBF horse is not the Favorite, THEN bet the favorite

WHEN NOT TO PLAY THE FAVORITE.
MINIMUM FIELD SIZE IS 7 BETTING INTEREST.
IF THE "DBF" DESIGNATED HORSE IS THE FAVORITE, MAKE A LAY BET AGAINST IT.

WHEN TO BET THE LTCP, N155 OR N40_N34
MINIMUM FIELD SIZE IS 7 BETTING INTEREST.

PLAYS ARE BASED ON A 18,000 PLUS RACE STUDY.
SEE MY HOME PAGE FOR STUDY RESULTS


the following are the results for favorites.
best news:

The mother of all plays, the LTCP returned a 1.00 roi, over 50% winners

The DBF (dont bet the favorite) returned ,54 win pool roi..Great news for the lay bettor

N250 ODDS WMUT PMUT SMUT WINS E WINS PLAYS VIG WP_ROI PP_ROI SP_ROI N198 ML AVE n2511
1.57 2,752 2,931 2,929 583 710.8 1,685 0.19 0.82 0.87 0.87 1.25 2.95 0.00

DBF 2.01 37 39 54 6 12.2 35 0.20 0.54 0.57 0.78 1.26 3.12 0.00

LTCP 1.07 100 88 96 26 26.1 50 0.20 1.00 0.89 0.97 1.25 2.55 0.00

N155 0.85 26 43 42 8 13.2 23 0.18 0.58 0.95 0.92 1.22 2.48 0.00

N40_N37 1.44 20 24 23 5 4.8 11 0.19 0.91 1.11 1.06 1.23 3.12 0.00

1.55 2,937 3,128 3,146 628 767 1,804 0.19 0.81 0.87 0.87 1.25 2.94
RECAP.RPT
PABET.DBF
CONTESTN.PRG
SYSTEM2.PRG
PROJECT 001