bks
10-01-2010, 08:42 PM
I really like a horse in this race. I'm just surprised he was entered.
Crown of Thorns ran gamely in the BC Sprint last year, so I figured Mandella was prepping him for that race. I thought he got a lot out of his 2nd in the Pat O'Brien, finishing well with what looked to be plenty more to give. So I thought maybe the Dirt Mile was a possibility. Now, I wonder if he's eyeing the Classic?
In the Goodwood, both CoT and Twirling Candy figure to be ahead of the others, prob w/ CoT tracking Twirling Candy through moderate fractions. TC has never faced this caliber, and will have to be on far better behavior against this group in order to win. CoT gets first run on the closers, and I don't think anything behind him can pass him. TC may be good enough to win, but if CoT is at or above his morning line odds, he's a strong play. In the absence of a foolish pace duel, I can't see a scenario under which CoT is worse than second.
Crown of Thorns ran gamely in the BC Sprint last year, so I figured Mandella was prepping him for that race. I thought he got a lot out of his 2nd in the Pat O'Brien, finishing well with what looked to be plenty more to give. So I thought maybe the Dirt Mile was a possibility. Now, I wonder if he's eyeing the Classic?
In the Goodwood, both CoT and Twirling Candy figure to be ahead of the others, prob w/ CoT tracking Twirling Candy through moderate fractions. TC has never faced this caliber, and will have to be on far better behavior against this group in order to win. CoT gets first run on the closers, and I don't think anything behind him can pass him. TC may be good enough to win, but if CoT is at or above his morning line odds, he's a strong play. In the absence of a foolish pace duel, I can't see a scenario under which CoT is worse than second.