BEL R#1

[llegend39]

Is it just me or did the exacta in the 1st race come back a little lite? Winner was 35-1 and the 2nd horse 11-1 and the exacta returned $379? The 1st 2nd 3rd and 4th choices out of the exacta and a 8 horse field And no I didnt have it!

[Turkoman]

I feel it should have paid more. In a field of at least 8 horses, there's a very simple math I use to see if the exacta pay is on target. It works pretty good. You multiply the WIN pay by the PLACE pay of the place horse. I haven't taken a look at the race chart, but assume the 11-1 horse paid at least $10.00 to place. This means the exacta should have paid approximately $700.

Turkoman.

[Hajck Hillstrom]

Bombs Away Bob Grant played a dime superfecta: All-All-7-4 that returned $959.30 on his $3 investment.

Now that is how you start your day!

[BombsAway Bob]

Bombs Away Bob Grant played a dime superfecta: All-All-7-4 that returned $959.30 on his $3 investment.
Now that is how you start your day!

:blush: :faint: thought the super was light, too!
# Win Place Show
2 $72.50 $26.60 $14.00
1 . $12.00 $6.00
7 . . $5.40

Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 2-1 $189.75
$1.00 Trifecta 2-1-7 $1201.50
$0.10 Superfecta 2-1-7-4 $959.30

[PaceAdvantage]

That exacta is shockingly light...tri is light too, but nowhere near as bad as the exacta...

[the little guy]

That exacta is shockingly light...tri is light too, but nowhere near as bad as the exacta...


If I had to guess, I would say the win prices were inflated when Radiohead got bombed late ( from 3:1 to 9:5 ) which would make the first two finishers probably closer to 75% of their prices in exotics. The exacta seems more in line if the winner is 25:1 and the second horse is 8:1. The exotics are usually more " accurate " when one horse gets severely overbet in the win pool. You see it quite frequently as long as the pools are large enough.

[bigmack]

Mutuel: $239,610
Exacta: $194,990
Tri: $114,980
Super: $47,034

[theguarantee]

I sent a text to my friend right before the race and said "I don't get it, Dominguez is on what looks like the best and probably fastest horse and is 13:1".

Dominguez is almost always overbet and I'd guess he still was in the exacta. I'm also guessing that the price on the winner was extremely inflated in the win pool due to Lezcano's ice cold run. As someone who loves Lezcano on the turf, I tossed him, playing the 1 across the board and on top of exactas and tris. But still, neither of those horses deserved those odds and I think the "name" horses like Radiohead and Aikenite inflated the win price on two otherwise solid to intriguing looking selections.

[lamboguy]

it was light, but if you look at yesterday's last 2 races the daily double paid huge for those 2 horses in short fields.

new york is the only place that i ever consider playing blind pools meaning supers and trifecta's. i happen to know that they constantly monitor those pools to make sure that cheaters and after the bell bettors don't get into them. i am sure that is part of the reason why the new york handle did not decrease as much as other places. their payoffs are legit.

[speed]

Looks like it was #1 and #2 Which often is overbet as many folks box the inside.