ltcp-08-28-2010

[formula_2002]

DBF_LTCP.RPT
PABET.DBF
PROJECT 001

8-28-2010 Ex 8-28-2010

MINIMUM FIELD SIZE FOR ALL PLAYS IS 7 BETTING INTEREST.
DBF HORSE IS A VERY POOR BET IF IT IS THE FAVORITE.
LONG TERM ,THE DBF HORSE IS EXPECTED TO RETURN A .70 ROI

LTCP, N155 AND N40_N34
LONG TERM, LTCP, N155 AND N40_N34 IS EXPECTED RETURN AN ROI OF >=.95 AND <=1.05
PLAYS ARE BASED ON A 18,000 PLUS RACE STUDY.
SEE MY HOME PAGE FOR STUDY RESULTS

ADDED PLAY AS OF 08-22-2010
IF THE actual WIN POOL PERCENTAGE SUMS TO >=35% FOR ALL DBF HORSES., and the DBF horse is not the Favorite, THEN bet the favorite








N252 TRACK RACE PGNO N13 ML N250 N251 POST N185 WMUT PMUT SMUT WINS E WINS PLAYS FINISH ODDS N184 N198
8-28-2010SUF 1 4 TRICE 6.00 DBF 12:45Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SAR 4 6 THUNDER C 8.00 DBF 1:10 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 2 1 TUFF NUT 2.50 DBF 1:12 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 2 2 KAREN ANN 2.00 N155 1:28 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 2 3 KAHSHE 6.00 DBF 1:28 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 2 7 CUTIE GIR 6.00 DBF 1:28 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010FLX 2 4 CONFIDED 6.00 DBF 1:37 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010FLX 2 5 R SONNY 5.00 DBF 1:37 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010FLX 2 7 NOTEWELLT 8.00 DBF 1:37 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010FLX 3 6 TWNYTONIT 8.00 DBF 2:04 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 4 2 GRACEFUL 5.00 DBF 2:06 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 4 3 DEMPSEY 5.00 DBF 2:17 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 4 4 RED RIVAL 10.00 DBF 2:26 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 4 6 OYSTER CA 2.00 LTCP 2:26 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010APX 2 4 LUCKY GAL 4.00 N40_N37 2:30 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010APX 2 9 GROOM CHA 6.00 DBF 2:30 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010FLX 4 5 IS IT TUE 4.50 DBF 2:31 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010FLX 4 7 BARCO 10.00 DBF 2:31 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 5 1 RETAKE 8.00 DBF 2:48 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 5 2 TAPPININT 4.00 DBF 2:48 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 5 7 BENDIDIT 10.00 DBF 2:48 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010LAD 2 5 KISSIMMEE 5.00 DBF 2:53 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 6 1 FAPPIES C 10.00 DBF 3:00 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 6 3 FRIES 10.00 DBF 3:00 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 6 4 OSTINS MI 5.00 DBF 3:00 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 6 7 WHOOPI AG 3.00 DBF 3:00 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010DEL 5 5 B FOR BEE 6.00 DBF 3:03 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010DEL 5 10 URBAN SPE 5.00 DBF 3:03 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010APX 4 4 DONTA 10.00 DBF 3:27 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SAR 8 10 MEKONG ME 6.00 DBF 3:30 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 7 4 CONFIDENC 10.00 DBF 3:40 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 7 5 PROPELLOR 4.50 DBF 3:40 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 7 8 CALDRON 8.00 DBF 3:40 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 7 10 GOODNESS 10.00 DBF 3:40 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010FLX 7 5 RUN WITH 8.00 DBF 3:52 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010FLX 7 6 BLUESPOWE 5.00 DBF 3:52 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 7 1 PIRATES L 8.00 DBF 3:53 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 7 5 T. T.S PO 6.00 DBF 3:53 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 7 6 ABRUPTLY 20.00 LTCP 3:53 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 7 10 JOEYS BES 4.00 DBF 3:53 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 8 1 SWIRLAND 8.00 DBF 3:56 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 8 6 OH MANDIE 1.20 DBF 3:56 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 8 11 GS BACKIN 10.00 DBF 3:56 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SAR 9 4 SISTER DA 6.00 DBF 4:05 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 8 13 SELF MADE 8.00 DBF 4:10 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010CRC 8 5 ELISSASRO 8.00 DBF 4:18 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010FLX 8 3 D ORATORY 10.00 DBF 4:19 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 9 1 GAMBLERS 2.00 LTCP 4:24 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SUF 9 3 GATEWAY W 3.00 DBF 4:24 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010DEL 9 1 CHECKSAND 6.00 DBF 4:51 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010DEL 9 3 KEEPINONE 3.00 DBF 4:51 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 9 2 SANGORE 8.00 DBF 4:52 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010APX 7 8 NEXT KITT 6.00 DBF 4:56 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010SAR 11 6 BANK MERG 8.00 DBF 5:10 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 10 8 LIGHTHOUS 6.00 DBF 5:12 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010WOX 10 10 SANDRA LA 10.00 DBF 5:21 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010LAD 7 4 SALTY SID 4.00 DBF 5:23 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010LAD 7 7 BRICES CR 5.00 DBF 5:23 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010APX 8 1 LALOS BAB 3.00 DBF 5:25 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010APX 8 2 ALL JOKIN 4.50 LTCP 5:25 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 11 5 FULL OF G 8.00 DBF 5:43 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 11 7 FUNNY FEE 4.00 DBF 5:43 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
8-28-2010MTH 12 4 MARQUIS J 6.00 DBF 6:15 Z 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 1 999.00
0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 63

0 0.00 0.00 0 0.00 63

[formula_2002]

wox r2 #2, looks like the best thing since mother's milk

[formula_2002]

wox r2 #2, looks like the best thing since mother's milk

would have been sweeter if the 1 was not a scratch at the gate.

Woodbine T-bred - Race 2
# Win Place Show
2 $3.70 $2.60 $2.10

[formula_2002]

Arlington Park - Race 2
# Win Place Show
4 $7.60 $4.20 $3.00

[formula_2002]

suf r9 #1, shapes up to be another nice vaule play

[formula_2002]

suf r9 #1, shapes up to be another nice vaule play
# Win Place Show
3 $5.80 $3.80 $2.80
1 . $4.60 $4.00

all I promised was value. and there it is!!

[formula_2002]

apx r8 ...another greaty value play on the 2

[formula_2002]

apx r8 ...another greaty value play on the 2
Arlington Park - Race 8
# Win Place Show
6 $47.60 $13.20 $6.20
1 . $4.00 $3.20
2 . . $4.80

[formula_2002]

BIG DAY FOR BETTING THE FAVORITE WHEN IT WAS NOT A "DBF" HORSE AND THE ACTUAL WIN POOL PERCENTAGE FOR ALL THE DBF'S IN A RACE TOTALED >=35%

PROFIT IN THE WIN, PLACE AND SHOW POOLS


N252 TRACK RACE PGNO N13 ML N250 N251 POST N185 WMUT PMUT SMUT WINS E WINS PLAYS FINISH ODDS N184 N198


20100828 SUF 2 7 REPEAT WI 4.00 0.423 1:12 SYSTEM2 0.00 3.40 2.40 0 0.38 1 2 1.60 1.24
20100828 SUF 6 8 HAVENTGOT 2.00 0.537 3:00 SYSTEM2 6.40 3.80 2.80 1 0.31 1 1 2.20 1.25
20100828 MTH 7 12 CHAPEL OF 3.00 0.389 3:40 SYSTEM2 6.40 4.40 3.20 1 0.31 1 1 2.20 1.21
20100828 WOX 7 8 KING OF T 5.00 0.403 3:53 SYSTEM2 0.00 0.00 0.00 0 0.26 1 4 2.90 1.21
20100828 LAD 7 3 MY STAR R 2.00 0.395 5:23 SYSTEM2 6.60 3.60 3.00 1 0.30 1 1 2.30 1.21
19.40 15.20 11.40 3 1.57 5