PDA

View Full Version : DEL MAR 8/26


positive4th
08-26-2010, 01:07 PM
This is, at least in my estimation, one of the toughest DMR Cards at this meet so far.

Maybe I'm missing something, but I see alot of very tough races, and especially with Pacific Classic/Travers Day coming up, I'm definitely not going to bet heavily into a goofy card like this one.

But I love this meet, so I will bet into this card, most likely the Late P4 and a few rolling doubles depending on when I get either home or to the track. :)

The only thing I'm settled on after some early looks at the card is that I'm taking the :2: and :4: in R6 for the Pick 4, with no back-up safety net, b/c I'm gonna need that net in other places!!

positive4th
08-26-2010, 01:15 PM
Also leaning toward a single of the :9: in Race 7 with an army of back-ups if I can get to them...........

............Races 5 and 8 are bonafide DISASTERS :) Check out R5.......the entire field has 2 COMBINED starts on Turf, and they're both sprints @ HOL - - the same race 52 days ago, to be exact (BUT its 8f today) :eek:

positive4th
08-26-2010, 01:31 PM
OK, here's my early shot at a Main Ticket for the Late P4 (reserving the right to change or edit this ticket in this thread before R5)

LATE P4:

Main Ticket ($4 Base)

:4: :5:
:2: :4:
:7: :9:
:11:

$32

positive4th
08-26-2010, 01:36 PM
Backup #1 ($2 base)

:1:
:2: :4:
:7: :9:
:11:

$8

Back-up #2 ($2 Base)

:4: :5:
:2: :4:
:4: :1: :2: :6: :8:
:11:

$40

Back-up #3 ($2 base)

:4: :5:
:2: :4:
:7: :9:
:3: :5:

$32

positive4th
08-26-2010, 01:40 PM
Back-up #4 ($1 Base)

:2: :3: :6: :7: :8:
:2: :4:
:7: :9:
:11:

$20

Back-up #5 ($1 Base)

:4: :5:
:2: :4:
:7: :9:
:1: :2: :4: :6: :7: :8: :9: :10: :12:

$72 (I know this one's expensive, but this race is a mess)

Back-up #6 ($1 Base)

:1:
:2: :4:
:1: :2: :4: :6: :8:
:11:

$10

Back-up #7 ($1 base)

:1:
:2: :4:
:7: :9:
:3: :5:

$8




TOTAL INVESTMENT = $222, actually not as bad as I thought it might be :)

46zilzal
08-26-2010, 01:48 PM
The only thing I'm settled on after some early looks at the card is that I'm taking the :2: and :4: in R6 for the Pick 4, with no back-up safety net, b/c I'm gonna need that net in other places!!
the two and four will have to watch out for a late moving :5: or :6: in that one

spicytomato
08-26-2010, 02:51 PM
thanx for the warning
this is one of my better tracks to wager
however, i am not an ace handicapper so,
thanks i will spend the day doing something else.


:cool:

positive4th
08-26-2010, 03:56 PM
the two and four will have to watch out for a late moving :5: or :6: in that one

yeah maybe, but I can't reasonably account for every pace possibility in every race and do so while keeping costs down..........fact is all 4 of these races could potentially be scrambles to the end, I just felt surer about this one than the others

positive4th
08-26-2010, 04:05 PM
taking one extra back-up ticket:

Back-up #8 ($2 base)

:4: :5:
:5: :6:
:7: :9:
:11:

$16

total P4 cost is now up to $238 :eek: :eek: :eek: :eek:

positive4th
08-26-2010, 04:48 PM
Race One - - -

Win Bets:

2 units on :2:

1 unit on :3:

positive4th
08-26-2010, 05:06 PM
Race One - - -

Win Bets:

2 units on :2:

1 unit on :3:

got swallowed up by the :4: ...........oh well, on to R2 :)

positive4th
08-26-2010, 05:14 PM
Race Two - - -

2 units to WIN on :7:

1 unit to WIN on :2: (P-Val for double digits?? yes please!!)

Phantombridgejumpe
08-26-2010, 05:18 PM
3rd: 2/7
4th: 2/4/6/8
5th: 1/5
6th: 2/3/4
7th: 1/2/4/7/9
8th: 4/11

$960

Good Luck to all...

positive4th
08-26-2010, 05:22 PM
3rd: 2/7
4th: 2/4/6/8
5th: 1/5
6th: 2/3/4
7th: 1/2/4/7/9
8th: 4/11

$960

Good Luck to all...

BOL man..........this is gonna be one tough Pick-6 to hit, I'm sitting it out in favor of the P4, but I sure hope you hit it!!!

positive4th
08-26-2010, 05:37 PM
Race Two - - -

2 units to WIN on :7:

1 unit to WIN on :2: (P-Val for double digits?? yes please!!)

yikes, 0 for 2 starts are never good..........maybe I'm just shaking out the losses early, before the P4 :)

positive4th
08-26-2010, 05:43 PM
Race Three - -

2 units to WIN on :1:

1 unit to WIN on :8:

Also, 1/2 Unit Exacta Wheels:

:1: w/ :2: :5: :8: :7:

and

:2: :5: :7: :8: w/ :1:

positive4th
08-26-2010, 06:10 PM
Race Three - -

2 units to WIN on :1:

1 unit to WIN on :8:

Also, 1/2 Unit Exacta Wheels:

:1: w/ :2: :5: :8: :7:

and

:2: :5: :7: :8: w/ :1:

hmm...............keyed the wrong horse :)

positive4th
08-26-2010, 06:19 PM
Race Four - -

2 units to WIN on :2:

1 unit to WIN on :3:

positive4th
08-26-2010, 06:25 PM
This is, at least in my estimation, one of the toughest DMR Cards at this meet so far.


three races, average mutuel price so far of $11, my little prediction is holding form so far.

positive4th
08-26-2010, 06:55 PM
Race Five - - -

3 units to WIN on :5:

1 unit to WIN on :4:

1/2 unit on Exactas: :1: :4: w/ :5: & :5: w/ :1: :4:

positive4th
08-26-2010, 07:18 PM
three races, average mutuel price so far of $11, my little prediction is holding form so far.


its gettin easier............well, at least my P4 is off to a good start

Phantombridgejumpe
08-26-2010, 07:34 PM
I might make it to the finale...

positive4th
08-26-2010, 07:49 PM
I might make it to the finale...

did you play your P6 or just post it?

positive4th
08-26-2010, 07:52 PM
Race Seven - - -

2 units to WIN on :9:

1 unit to WIN on :7:

why does everyone love the :1: in this race?? I don't see it.

positive4th
08-26-2010, 08:17 PM
Back-up #2 ($2 Base)

:4: :5:
:2: :4:
:4: :1: :2: :6: :8:
:11:

$40



OK, here's my one live ticket to a MISERABLE P4 that I'd just assume forget :mad: :mad: :mad: :mad:

It's alive, by the way, to a $2 payout of about $122.............I'd rather light the money on fire then put in that much work and get that little out of it

positive4th
08-26-2010, 08:26 PM
BOL man..........this is gonna be one tough Pick-6 to hit, I'm sitting it out in favor of the P4, but I sure hope you hit it!!!


Turned out to be pretty damn simple through 5 legs :)

Not sure if you played this ticket or not, but I hope it hits for you either way!!

Phantombridgejumpe
08-26-2010, 08:37 PM
Just for fun and learning how to do P-6's in general.

I know the money might seem high, but when I play I play big so it is realistic for me.

Just watching tonight - the 6th leg was going to be my hardest all along.

Phantombridgejumpe
08-26-2010, 09:23 PM
I'm practicing picking on days with nice carryovers...

I have to get better both with ticket set-up and pricing.

The 1 in the 8th was one of the 5 horses I cut when my ticket was too big, but I wouldn't have made a profit if I included them all. My late cuts...

3 in the 3rd
2 in the 5th
6 in the 7th
1 and 5 in the 8th

I'll learn my lessons and be ready when I play for real.

RaceBookJoe
08-26-2010, 09:57 PM
Over $800k in the p6 pool, paid out $1900...lots of winners today. rbj