Chester Picks 7/29

[Ray2000]

Testing out new method to create Odds Lines/Overlay

Race..Pick to Win-MornLine---MyLine-------Final Tote?
1...4 Fresco Blue-5/1-----------8/5-----------3/1*......1st time w/ TT?
2...5 Eastie-6/1----------------5/2-----------2/1
3...5 Terri I Fra-4/1------------1/1-----------8/5*......New LTM 1:53-4 in last
4...8 Blushing Hanover-9/2------2/1-----------7/2*......1st time w/ Goodell? easier field
5...1 More Diamonds-9/5--------4/5-----------3/5
6...2 May Day Jojo-7/2---------5/2-----------8/5
7...2 Tv Kisses-9/2-------------7/2-----------6/5
8...5 Rusty's For Real-5/2-------4/5-----------3/5
9...2 Tee Time-10/1------------8/5-----------6/1*......adds lasix but off 22 days, Montrell in bike
10..3 Makerbark-3/1------------1/1-----------1/1
11..7 Art's Shadow-3/1---------2/1-----------6/1*......crowd overbets the 1?
12..5 Manningly-9/2-------------8/5-----------4/5
13..6 Payne's Landing-5/2-------3/2-----------4/5
14..7 My Lady Bonnard-5/1------9/2----------20/1*.....can she go with the New Zealand mare? (#5)

*Might be Playable

Good Luck Everyone

[Ray2000]

Predicted Tote....Actual Odds
R1...3/1..Won.....4/5.....TT took more action than expected?
R2...2/1..........7/1.....baby race, owner & friends pounded the 6, she broke
R3...8/5..Won.....8/5.....ok
R4...7/2..Placed..4/1.....ok
R5...3/5..........1/1.....high
R6...8/5..Won.....9/5.....ok
R7...6/5..........7/2.....2 scratches
R8...3/5..Placed..1/2.....ok
R9...6/1..........6/1.....ok
R10..1/1..Won.....9/5.....high
R11..6/1..Won.....5/2.....low
R12..4/5..........7/5.....high
R13..4/5..Won.....1/5.....pounded
R14..20/1.Placed..7/2.....unexplained tote action on #7..#5 OTB at 1/1

[Ray2000]

Friday 7/30
Some more picks with prediction on tote

Chester
R1 #4 Fox Valley Steamin-6/5.......3/5 ...Last TM speed 89 today class 83!
R2 #1 Smart Nukes-10/1.............5/2 ...Bad ML 2/1 last time in 12.5 claimers
R3 #4 Its Gonna Get Ugly-9/2......10/1 ...Tough Field many Contenders
R4 #8 Hally-5/1....................1/1 ...Class drop and gets TT
R5 #3 Precious Potato-10/1.........9/1 ...Suck along 52-4? or sharp improve?
R6 #5 Four Starz Skate-9/2........13/1 ...Ignore last fillys previous 4 were good efforts
R7 #4 Cast A Beam-4/1.............12/1 ...bested the 8 5 and 3 in last needs 8 to break
R8 #7 Toucam Sam-6/1..............19/1 ...2nd start back after sick, can pop a 1:51
R9 #6 Three Five Seven-8/1........20/1 ...last week really sick?
R10 #3 Oakmont-3/1.................4/1 ...20 yro Montrell Teague drives
R11 #3 Secretagent Cullen-3/1......1/1 ...Burke trained class drop gets YG
R12 #4 Looking Hanover-5/2.........1/1 ...Crowd avoids breaker..#5 Lubbock
R13 #5 Fashion Heart-5/2...........4/5 ...Speed rules TM 88 ave...(pic3 R11-12-13 '3/45/5')
R14 #3 Ball Gown A-2/1.............5/2 ...1-3-5 co favs

[melman]

Ray---My top picks for today at Chester. Have no idea of final off odds. :)

R1 4 Fox Valley Steamin
R2 4 Pedo Doc
R3 4 It's Gonna Get Ugly
R4 8 Hally
R5 2 Salty Hanover
R6 6 It's a Breeze
R7 4 Cast A Beam
R8 4 Barber Pole
R9 8 Cr Fixed Asset
R10 5 Need A Job
R11 1 Mibadah Baby
R12 4 Looking Hanover
R13 4 Moneybackguarantee
R14 1 Tom's Toy

[melman]

Nice work Mr Ray Robot a COLD pic3 at Ches for races 456....Paid $99.40---------would have paid more but there was a flood of Pennsylvania cash on those numbers. :lol:

[Ray2000]

Thx mel


R6 Western-Eastern Pa Exacta 21.20

It's a breeze...!

[Ray2000]

8 of 13 Winners but not so good on Tote predictions

Actual Odds........Predicted Odds
R1 1/9 ...Won.........3/5 kinda OK
R2 11/1 ..Placed......5/2 horrible prediction (they let him off too long)
R3 Scratched
R4 6/5 ...Won.........1/1 Ok
R5 9/5 ...Won.........9/1 Bad
R6 2/1 ...Won........13/1 Bad .............East West Pa Ex
R7 5/2 ...Won........12/1 Bad
R8 5/1 ...OTB........19/1 Bad
R9 10/1 ..OTB........20/1 High
R10 3/1 ..Won.........4/1 Ok...............East West Pa Ex
R11 7/5...Showed......1/1 kinda Ok
R12 7/5 ..Placed......1/1 kinda Ok
R13 3/5...Won.........4/5 Ok ..............East West Pa Ex
R14 2/1...Won.........5/2 Ok


Try some Odds Predicts at the Big M for Friday 7/30
Meadowlands
R1 #6 Yankey Conway-7/2............7/1
R2 #3 Beachballs Of Fire-9/2.......5/2
R3 #1 Buck I St Pat ...............1/2
R4 #3 Magnum Kosmos-4/1............6/1
R5 #7 Y F Little Guy-10/1..........7/2
R6 #5 Broad Bahn-5/1...............7/2
R7 #3 Siri Hanover-9/2.............5/1
R8 #3 Sauce Two K-9/2..............9/2
R9 #4 Linden Beauty-5/1............6/1
R10 #1 The Rainmaker-5/1...........5/2
R11 #5 Lockloadnexplode-3/1........3/2
R12 #2 Herzon-3/1..................2/1

[Ray2000]

BigM
Actual Odds........Predicted Odds
R1 5/2 ...Won.........7/1....way high on predicted odds
R2 6/1....OTB.........5/2....low
R3 1/5....OTB.........1/2 ...Ok
R4 11/1...OTB.........6/1....low
R5 9/2....OTB.........7/2 ...Ok
R6 5/2....Placed......7/2 ...kinda Ok
R7 5/1....OTB.........5/1....right on
R8 3/1....OTB.........9/2 ...high
R9 5/2... Won.........6/1 ...way high
R10 5/2...OTB.........5/2 ...right on
R11 7/2 ..Won.........3/2 ...twice more than predicted
R12 6/5...Won.........2/1....high but 4 claims entered