tacticaltrade
07-09-2010, 03:42 AM
9th Race - Belmont Park - Saturday, July 10th, 2010
STAKES. 1 3/8 Mile Turf. Purse $600,000. Man o' War S. (Grade 1). INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. (05:17 PM) (8)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Interpatation needs wet ground, won turf classic 3 starts on this track soft ground, nothing since, needs to lift significatly
2 Bearpath beat a couple of nice types at Gulfstream 3 back but balance of form suggests g2/g3 level at best
3 Strike A Deal g2+??, snippets of form that suggest it is capable at this level, g2 dixie win 2 back at pimlico suggests 1l below true g1 level currently
4 Expansion g1-, career best effort effort in the g1 manhattan last start, limited scope for more, gio ponti has its measure on that meeting but claims all the same
5 Mission Appro g3 wins in 08 represent its best form, consistent vs weaker last few but making up the numbers here
6 Grand Couturie expansion, interpetation and gio ponti all have it covered, 3-4l below the level required to be competitive here, outside place claims
7 Midnite Silver g1?, lightly raced improver who looks to have the measure of expansion clearly on form refs out of last start win, scope for more, career peak last start, will appreciate this longer trip, serious claims vs gio ponti, +6lbs expansion
8 Gio Ponti g1+?, sets the standard, won 4 turg g1's on end last season, showed was ready to produce that level again when a hard closing 2nd in the manhattan g1 last start, +9lbs expansion last start, scope for a bit more improvement again here 2nd up
1st Gio Ponti 2.10
2nd Midnite Silver 3.30
3rd Expansion
Can lay any outside the top 2, they have it between them.
Mission Approved looks the likely leader in a slowly run race. Gio Ponti likely to settle closer to the pace than Midnite Silver which is a big advantage under the pace scenario and should give Gio Ponti the edge required to hold sway when they both make their runs in deep stretch. Midnite Silver has more scope and loves this track (winner 4 from 7) but Gio Ponti has even a better record on this track and is the clear standard and one to beat.
8th Race - Hollywood Park - Saturday, July 10th, 2010
STAKES. 1 1/4 Mile Dirt. Purse $500,000. Hollywood Gold Cup H. (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $750 each on or before Wednesday, June 30, or by supplementary nomination of $10,000 each by 3:00 pm Saturday, July 3. All nominees to pay $3,500 to enter and an additional $4,000 to start. Gross Purse $500,000 of which $300,000 to be paid to the winner, $100,000 to second, $60,000 to third, $30,000 to fourth and $10,000 to fifth. Weights Sunday, July 4. Starters to be named through the entry box by closing time of entries. This race will not be divided. Entry fees will be refunded to all horses which fail to draw into this race. Trophies will be presented to the winning owner and trainer. (04:35 PM) (7)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Cigar Man yet to win in 6 tries on this track, well btn in g2 contests each of last 2 starts, well below level required to win at g1 level, hard to see it figuring
2 Compari g1+??, won 6 on end before failing in the shoemaker g1 last start, lightly raced, good scope for more, extra trip a query but arcadia g2 win 2 backs suggests it is right in this, likely leader and should get it fairly soft on the front, bonus.
3 Awesome Gem g1??, mixed form refs, effort 2 back in the charles town classic ($1m purse) full of merit, 1st and 3rd franked the form in a big way, repeat will see it figure here, has to chase from off the pace (that may play against it) but suited to this distance.
4 Richard's Kid g2+/g1-, mixes form, san antonio g2 win looks below par 2 back, defeated rail trip 5 back in the pacific classic g1 but may have been fluked and flattered, form of those just behind (outside of rail trip) looks slightly suspect, pace scenario against it here.
5 Tres Borrachos hard to see it figuring, well btn by rail trip each of last 2, merely making up the numbers.
6 Rail Trip g1+++, seems to be going 3-4l better than it was at same stage last season, ran 2nd in both leads up last year before winning this by 3l, won both same leads up this season by 3l average, pace scenario favourable, surely will take some beating in what looks a below par g1 field, has this at its mercy.
7 Tap It Light won the g3 tokyo city cup 2 back, no where near the level required to win here, as a minimum 4-5l below what is required to be competitive at g1 level, making up the numbers
1st Rail Trip 1.65
2nd Compari 5.20
3rd Awesome Gem 11.00
The pace scenario should see Compari lead with Rail Trip sitting on its hammer outside it with potentially the run of the race, they are likely to settle down and go away into the stretch run from the rest with Rail Trip proving much the best.
6th Race - Hollywood Park - Saturday, July 10th, 2010
STAKES. 7 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $250,000. Triple Bend H. (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $300 each on or before Wednesday, June 30 or by supplementary nomination of $4,000 each by 3:00 pm Saturday, July 3. $3,000 additional to start, with $225,000 guaranteed, and an additional $25,000 from the Breeders' Cup Fund for Breeders' cup nominees only. The host association's money to be divided 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth and 2% to fifth. Breeders' cup monies correspondingly divided providing a Breeders' Cup nominee has finished in an awarded position. Highweights will be preferred. Breeders Cup nominees will be preferred over non Breeders' Cup nominees assigned equal weight. Weights Sunday, July 4 Starters to be named through the entry box by closing time of entries. A Trophy will be presented to the winning owner and trainer. (03:35 PM) (8)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 E Z's Gentleman g2+, pace profile suits here over 7f going on good closing efforts when 0.7l 2nd in G3 company last start and 0.7l 3rd in g2 company 3 back, minor scope for more, has claims
2 Fantasy Free looks no more than listed quality despite finishing close behind ez's gentleman 4 and 5 back (ez's gentleman has continued upward spiral), hard to see this one figuring
3 M One Rifle g1++??, obscure pedigree but looks a high class sprinter on the make, likely for a solo soft lead here with no pressure (big bonus), g1 malibu winner end of last prep (race full of merit, plenty of depth), excuses both starts this prep, slowly away 1st up, pressured trip 2nd up, fitter now with natural scope, worked the house down over 3 panels july 7, quickest of 24 in 33 3/5, ready to peak now, in this up to its ears.
4 Gayego g1+?, below par each of last 2 starts in dubai but won the ancient title g1 4 back in a high class affair (2nd home was 2nd breeders cup sprint nxt start and 4th home 3rd in breeders cup sprint nxt start), big closing pars getting home over the top that day, btn a neck 4th breeders cup sprint next start when slowly away (form franked), quickest of 19 works 5 panels july 3 at belmont in prep for return, , proven class runner but may struggle to run down M One Rifle who will get it soft on the front.
5 Bestdressed winner 4 from 14 on this track but held by fantasy free 2 back in the Tiznow $150K stakes, btn 5.2l in the g2 san carlos start prior, making up the numbers here.
6 Sangaree g2+?, drops back in trip for this after being easily held 2nd by rail trip around 2 turns each of last 2 starts, joe hernandez $55K stake win 4 back over 6.5f reads well, 2nd and 4th home finished 1st and 4th in the g1 shoemaker a few starts later, form franked, upward profile, outside claims.
7 My Summer Slew g2-, won the rk kerlan $65k stake last start, form ref through stoneside 2nd puts it 1l below sangaree and start prior was 1.7l below ez's gentleman, form refs true through those 2 horses, 7f may be a stretch for it but outside claims on exposed form all the same
8 New Bay held sway over best dressed last start 7f allowance optional claimer and already established that fantasy free / best dressed form is not good enough to win this, slaughtered by M One rifle in the G1 malibu 4 back, merely making up the numbers.
1st M One Rifle 3.00
2nd Gayego 3.75
3rd E Z's Gentleman 8.20
4th Sangaree 9.50
5th My Summer Slew 11.70
The pace scenario here suggests M One Rifle has a big advantage likely to get it fairly soft on the front end and that should be the telling factor when Gayego and co come to chase it down at the business end. M One Rifle should kick on in deep stretch and hold sway over the closers. Gayego is the class runner and should get home over the top of E Z's Gentleman who is likely to battle on strongly along the rail and gets the nod for 3rd over the likes of Sangaree and My Summer Slew who rate not far behind E Z's Gentleman
STAKES. 1 3/8 Mile Turf. Purse $600,000. Man o' War S. (Grade 1). INNER TURF FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. (05:17 PM) (8)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Interpatation needs wet ground, won turf classic 3 starts on this track soft ground, nothing since, needs to lift significatly
2 Bearpath beat a couple of nice types at Gulfstream 3 back but balance of form suggests g2/g3 level at best
3 Strike A Deal g2+??, snippets of form that suggest it is capable at this level, g2 dixie win 2 back at pimlico suggests 1l below true g1 level currently
4 Expansion g1-, career best effort effort in the g1 manhattan last start, limited scope for more, gio ponti has its measure on that meeting but claims all the same
5 Mission Appro g3 wins in 08 represent its best form, consistent vs weaker last few but making up the numbers here
6 Grand Couturie expansion, interpetation and gio ponti all have it covered, 3-4l below the level required to be competitive here, outside place claims
7 Midnite Silver g1?, lightly raced improver who looks to have the measure of expansion clearly on form refs out of last start win, scope for more, career peak last start, will appreciate this longer trip, serious claims vs gio ponti, +6lbs expansion
8 Gio Ponti g1+?, sets the standard, won 4 turg g1's on end last season, showed was ready to produce that level again when a hard closing 2nd in the manhattan g1 last start, +9lbs expansion last start, scope for a bit more improvement again here 2nd up
1st Gio Ponti 2.10
2nd Midnite Silver 3.30
3rd Expansion
Can lay any outside the top 2, they have it between them.
Mission Approved looks the likely leader in a slowly run race. Gio Ponti likely to settle closer to the pace than Midnite Silver which is a big advantage under the pace scenario and should give Gio Ponti the edge required to hold sway when they both make their runs in deep stretch. Midnite Silver has more scope and loves this track (winner 4 from 7) but Gio Ponti has even a better record on this track and is the clear standard and one to beat.
8th Race - Hollywood Park - Saturday, July 10th, 2010
STAKES. 1 1/4 Mile Dirt. Purse $500,000. Hollywood Gold Cup H. (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $750 each on or before Wednesday, June 30, or by supplementary nomination of $10,000 each by 3:00 pm Saturday, July 3. All nominees to pay $3,500 to enter and an additional $4,000 to start. Gross Purse $500,000 of which $300,000 to be paid to the winner, $100,000 to second, $60,000 to third, $30,000 to fourth and $10,000 to fifth. Weights Sunday, July 4. Starters to be named through the entry box by closing time of entries. This race will not be divided. Entry fees will be refunded to all horses which fail to draw into this race. Trophies will be presented to the winning owner and trainer. (04:35 PM) (7)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 Cigar Man yet to win in 6 tries on this track, well btn in g2 contests each of last 2 starts, well below level required to win at g1 level, hard to see it figuring
2 Compari g1+??, won 6 on end before failing in the shoemaker g1 last start, lightly raced, good scope for more, extra trip a query but arcadia g2 win 2 backs suggests it is right in this, likely leader and should get it fairly soft on the front, bonus.
3 Awesome Gem g1??, mixed form refs, effort 2 back in the charles town classic ($1m purse) full of merit, 1st and 3rd franked the form in a big way, repeat will see it figure here, has to chase from off the pace (that may play against it) but suited to this distance.
4 Richard's Kid g2+/g1-, mixes form, san antonio g2 win looks below par 2 back, defeated rail trip 5 back in the pacific classic g1 but may have been fluked and flattered, form of those just behind (outside of rail trip) looks slightly suspect, pace scenario against it here.
5 Tres Borrachos hard to see it figuring, well btn by rail trip each of last 2, merely making up the numbers.
6 Rail Trip g1+++, seems to be going 3-4l better than it was at same stage last season, ran 2nd in both leads up last year before winning this by 3l, won both same leads up this season by 3l average, pace scenario favourable, surely will take some beating in what looks a below par g1 field, has this at its mercy.
7 Tap It Light won the g3 tokyo city cup 2 back, no where near the level required to win here, as a minimum 4-5l below what is required to be competitive at g1 level, making up the numbers
1st Rail Trip 1.65
2nd Compari 5.20
3rd Awesome Gem 11.00
The pace scenario should see Compari lead with Rail Trip sitting on its hammer outside it with potentially the run of the race, they are likely to settle down and go away into the stretch run from the rest with Rail Trip proving much the best.
6th Race - Hollywood Park - Saturday, July 10th, 2010
STAKES. 7 Furlongs Dirt. Purse $250,000. Triple Bend H. (Grade 1). FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. By subscription of $300 each on or before Wednesday, June 30 or by supplementary nomination of $4,000 each by 3:00 pm Saturday, July 3. $3,000 additional to start, with $225,000 guaranteed, and an additional $25,000 from the Breeders' Cup Fund for Breeders' cup nominees only. The host association's money to be divided 60% to the winner, 20% to second, 12% to third, 6% to fourth and 2% to fifth. Breeders' cup monies correspondingly divided providing a Breeders' Cup nominee has finished in an awarded position. Highweights will be preferred. Breeders Cup nominees will be preferred over non Breeders' Cup nominees assigned equal weight. Weights Sunday, July 4 Starters to be named through the entry box by closing time of entries. A Trophy will be presented to the winning owner and trainer. (03:35 PM) (8)
PP Horse A/S M/E Wgt Jockey Trainer
1 E Z's Gentleman g2+, pace profile suits here over 7f going on good closing efforts when 0.7l 2nd in G3 company last start and 0.7l 3rd in g2 company 3 back, minor scope for more, has claims
2 Fantasy Free looks no more than listed quality despite finishing close behind ez's gentleman 4 and 5 back (ez's gentleman has continued upward spiral), hard to see this one figuring
3 M One Rifle g1++??, obscure pedigree but looks a high class sprinter on the make, likely for a solo soft lead here with no pressure (big bonus), g1 malibu winner end of last prep (race full of merit, plenty of depth), excuses both starts this prep, slowly away 1st up, pressured trip 2nd up, fitter now with natural scope, worked the house down over 3 panels july 7, quickest of 24 in 33 3/5, ready to peak now, in this up to its ears.
4 Gayego g1+?, below par each of last 2 starts in dubai but won the ancient title g1 4 back in a high class affair (2nd home was 2nd breeders cup sprint nxt start and 4th home 3rd in breeders cup sprint nxt start), big closing pars getting home over the top that day, btn a neck 4th breeders cup sprint next start when slowly away (form franked), quickest of 19 works 5 panels july 3 at belmont in prep for return, , proven class runner but may struggle to run down M One Rifle who will get it soft on the front.
5 Bestdressed winner 4 from 14 on this track but held by fantasy free 2 back in the Tiznow $150K stakes, btn 5.2l in the g2 san carlos start prior, making up the numbers here.
6 Sangaree g2+?, drops back in trip for this after being easily held 2nd by rail trip around 2 turns each of last 2 starts, joe hernandez $55K stake win 4 back over 6.5f reads well, 2nd and 4th home finished 1st and 4th in the g1 shoemaker a few starts later, form franked, upward profile, outside claims.
7 My Summer Slew g2-, won the rk kerlan $65k stake last start, form ref through stoneside 2nd puts it 1l below sangaree and start prior was 1.7l below ez's gentleman, form refs true through those 2 horses, 7f may be a stretch for it but outside claims on exposed form all the same
8 New Bay held sway over best dressed last start 7f allowance optional claimer and already established that fantasy free / best dressed form is not good enough to win this, slaughtered by M One rifle in the G1 malibu 4 back, merely making up the numbers.
1st M One Rifle 3.00
2nd Gayego 3.75
3rd E Z's Gentleman 8.20
4th Sangaree 9.50
5th My Summer Slew 11.70
The pace scenario here suggests M One Rifle has a big advantage likely to get it fairly soft on the front end and that should be the telling factor when Gayego and co come to chase it down at the business end. M One Rifle should kick on in deep stretch and hold sway over the closers. Gayego is the class runner and should get home over the top of E Z's Gentleman who is likely to battle on strongly along the rail and gets the nod for 3rd over the likes of Sangaree and My Summer Slew who rate not far behind E Z's Gentleman