LTCP 07-06-2010, INTRODUCING A NEW BET

[formula_2002]

PABET.DBF LTCP, BF.B2 ,DBF_BT AND DBF
CONTEST.DBF
N228.DBF
7-6-2010 E

DBF, IF THIS HORSE IS THE FAVORITE, DO NOT BET IT. THIS IS A WIN POOL LAY BET
DBF_BT, IF THIS HORSE IS <=4-1 AND THE HORSE DESIGNATED AS DBF IS THE FAVORITE, BET IT
BF, IF THIS HORSE IS THE FAVORITE, BET IT
B2, IF THIS HORSE IS THE 2ND BETTING CHOICE BET IT
LTCP, BET IT




N252 TRACK RACE PGNO N13 ML N250 POST
PHA 1 2 CHRIS BO 15.00 DBF_BT 12:25
PHA 1 3 SINGAPORE 2.00 DBF 12:25
PHA 1 4 ANTHONY T 1.60 DBF 12:25
PHA 1 5 DANCE SAF 3.00 BF,B2 12:25


SUF 1 1 MESABI SU 2.50 DBF 12:45


PHA 2 1 PARK RULE 3.00 DBF 12:46


PHA 3 2 DOUBLE SL 20.00 DBF_BT 1:12
PHA 3 4 MAGIC MON 3.00 DBF 1:12


PHA 4 3 DESIRABLE 4.00 DBF 1:38


SUF 3 2 DUBAI EMI 0.60 BF,B2 1:40


DEL 2 6 METRO MAN 1.50 BF,B2 1:42


SUF 4 1 SCARBOURO 3.00 BF,B2 2:08
SUF 4 6 GREAT SQU 3.00 DBF 2:08
SUF 4 8 GRACEFUL 3.00 DBF 2:08


DEL 3 3 S K RS SP 4.00 BF,B2 2:09


PHA 6 1 RADIO REL 3.00 DBF 2:31
PHA 6 4 GRUNWALD 2.00 DBF 2:31


DEL 4 2 CULLODEN 2.50 DBF 2:36
DEL 4 5 MANDOLETT 50.00 DBF_BT 2:36
DEL 4 6 EWA 8.00 DBF_BT 2:36
DEL 4 7 DIXIE KID 8.00 DBF_BT 2:36
DEL 4 8 WALTZING 15.00 DBF_BT 2:36
SUF 5 1 THIS IS B 1.40 BF,B2 2:36
SUF 5 3 ROLLA COA 3.50 DBF 2:36
SUF 5 7 FRANKLY F 5.00 DBF 2:36


DEL 5 1 DEVILISH 4.00 DBF 3:03
DEL 5 5 RED DIRT 2.00 BF,B2 3:03


SUF 6 1 DENNISPOR 15.00 DBF_BT 3:04
SUF 6 2 YES ITS T 2.50 DBF 3:04
SUF 6 3 SURE MONE 15.00 DBF_BT 3:04
SUF 6 4 LIGHTS OF 3.00 DBF 3:04
SUF 6 6 IRISH BLA 6.00 DBF_BT 3:04
SUF 6 8 BANKIN CA 4.00 DBF 3:04


PHA 8 3 LORD OF A 2.50 DBF 3:22
PHA 8 4 COUNT THE 12.00 DBF_BT 3:22
PHA 8 5 CALVELLO 5.00 BF,B2 3:22


DEL 6 1 DIXIE THI 20.00 DBF_BT 3:30
DEL 6 3 NIGHT Q 6.00 DBF_BT 3:30
DEL 6 4 R STAR 2.00 BF,B2 3:30
DEL 6 5 PISTOL RU 8.00 DBF_BT 3:30
DEL 6 6 CHAMP TON 4.00 DBF 3:30


SUF 7 1 EXONERATE 1.40 DBF 3:32
SUF 7 6 TUFF NUT 15.00 DBF_BT 3:32


PHA 9 1 DORO DEEL 2.50 DBF 3:50
PHA 9 3 BASHBEAUT 10.00 DBF_BT 3:50
PHA 9 6 PINK HERO 10.00 DBF_BT 3:50
PHA 9 10 ERINS GOL 4.00 DBF 3:50


DEL 7 1 VEUVE 1.80 DBF 3:57
DEL 7 3 SARATOGA 3.50 DBF 3:57
DEL 7 4 CALYPSO Q 8.00 DBF_BT 3:57


SUF 8 7 EPISODE O 4.00 DBF 4:00
SUF 8 9 GRAND IMP 20.00 DBF_BT 4:00
SUF 8 10 SUAVE CHA 20.00 DBF_BT 4:00


PHA 10 1 OUTCLASS 3.00 DBF 4:16
PHA 10 3 INDYS SPE 5.00 DBF 4:16


DEL 8 3 CIRCUMVEN 10.00 DBF_BT 4:24
DEL 8 5 REMITTANC 3.00 DBF 4:24
DEL 8 6 WOTAN 4.00 DBF 4:24

[formula_2002]

HAVING TROUBLE WITH MY INTERNET CONNECTION.

THE NEW BET SEEKS TO FIND THE RACE WHERE THE FAVORITE IS OVER BET, AND OTHER HORSES, SIMILAR TO THE FAVORITE ARE UNDER BET.
THE NEW BET ACCRONONUM IS “DBF_BT”, MEANING DON’T BET THE FAVORITE, BET THIS HORSE WHOS ODDS MUST BE <=4-1.

EXAMPLE, RACE 1 AT PHA..
IF EITHER THE 3 OR 4 HORSE IS THE FAVORITE, DON’T BET IT.
IF THE 3 OR THE 4 IS THE FAVORITE AND THE 2 HORSE IS <=4-1, BET IT.


N252 TRACK RACE PGNO N13 ML N250 POST
PHA 1 2 CHRIS BO 15.00 DBF_BT 12:25
PHA 1 3 SINGAPORE 2.00 DBF 12:25
PHA 1 4 ANTHONY T 1.60 DBF 12:25
PHA 1 5 DANCE SAF 3.00 BF,B2 12:25

[formula_2002]

update

PABET.DBF LTCP, BF.B2 ,DBF_BT AND DBF
CONTEST.DBF
N228.DBF
7-6-2010 E

DBF, IF THIS HORSE IS THE FAVORITE, DO NOT BET IT. THIS IS A WIN POOL LAY BET
DBF_BT, IF THIS HORSE IS <=4-1 AND THE HORSE DESIGNATED AS DBF IS THE FAVORITE
BF, IF THIS HORSE IS THE FAVORITE, BET IT
B2, IF THIS HORSE IS THE 2ND BETTING CHOICE BET IT
LTCP, BET IT




N252 TRACK RACE PGNO N13 ML N250 POST
SUF 1 1 MESABI SU 2.50 DBF 12:45


SUF 3 2 DUBAI EMI 0.60 BF,B2 1:40


DEL 2 6 METRO MAN 1.50 BF,B2 1:42


SUF 4 1 SCARBOURO 3.00 BF,B2 2:08
SUF 4 6 GREAT SQU 3.00 DBF 2:08
SUF 4 8 GRACEFUL 3.00 DBF 2:08


DEL 3 3 S K RS SP 4.00 BF,B2 2:09


DEL 4 2 CULLODEN 2.50 DBF 2:36
DEL 4 5 MANDOLETT 50.00 DBF_BT 2:36
DEL 4 6 EWA 8.00 DBF_BT 2:36
DEL 4 7 DIXIE KID 8.00 DBF_BT 2:36
DEL 4 8 WALTZING 15.00 DBF_BT 2:36
SUF 5 1 THIS IS B 1.40 BF,B2 2:36
SUF 5 3 ROLLA COA 3.50 DBF 2:36
SUF 5 7 FRANKLY F 5.00 DBF 2:36


DEL 5 1 DEVILISH 4.00 DBF 3:03
DEL 5 5 RED DIRT 2.00 BF,B2 3:03


SUF 6 1 DENNISPOR 15.00 DBF_BT 3:04
SUF 6 2 YES ITS T 2.50 DBF 3:04
SUF 6 3 SURE MONE 15.00 DBF_BT 3:04
SUF 6 4 LIGHTS OF 3.00 DBF 3:04
SUF 6 6 IRISH BLA 6.00 DBF_BT 3:04
SUF 6 8 BANKIN CA 4.00 DBF 3:04


DEL 6 1 DIXIE THI 20.00 DBF_BT 3:30
DEL 6 3 NIGHT Q 6.00 DBF_BT 3:30
DEL 6 4 R STAR 2.00 BF,B2 3:30
DEL 6 5 PISTOL RU 8.00 DBF_BT 3:30
DEL 6 6 CHAMP TON 4.00 DBF 3:30


SUF 7 1 EXONERATE 1.40 DBF 3:32
SUF 7 6 TUFF NUT 15.00 DBF_BT 3:32


DEL 7 1 VEUVE 1.80 DBF 3:57
DEL 7 3 SARATOGA 3.50 DBF 3:57
DEL 7 4 CALYPSO Q 8.00 DBF_BT 3:57


SUF 8 7 EPISODE O 4.00 DBF 4:00
SUF 8 9 GRAND IMP 20.00 DBF_BT 4:00
SUF 8 10 SUAVE CHA 20.00 DBF_BT 4:00


DEL 8 3 CIRCUMVEN 10.00 DBF_BT 4:24
DEL 8 5 REMITTANC 3.00 DBF 4:24
DEL 8 6 WOTAN 4.00 DBF 4:24

[SansuiSC]

DBF_BT <4/1 off 20-50/1 ML :eek:

How did you come to 4/1 as the odds?

This will be fun to watch. If it works then you found the value in the DBF.

[formula_2002]

DBF_BT <4/1 off 20-50/1 ML :eek:

How did you come to 4/1 as the odds?

This will be fun to watch. If it works then you found the value in the DBF.

Hi, I'm not making the horse 4-1. If by chance the horse goes off at <=4-1 then its a bet. I'm depending on the public to "Do the right thing" :)

[formula_2002]

HAVING TROUBLE WITH MY INTERNET CONNECTION.

THE NEW BET SEEKS TO FIND THE RACE WHERE THE FAVORITE IS OVER BET, AND OTHER HORSES, SIMILAR TO THE FAVORITE ARE UNDER BET.
THE NEW BET ACCRONONUM IS “DBF_BT”, MEANING DON’T BET THE FAVORITE, BET THIS HORSE WHOS ODDS MUST BE <=4-1.

EXAMPLE, RACE 1 AT PHA..
IF EITHER THE 3 OR 4 HORSE IS THE FAVORITE, DON’T BET IT.
IF THE 3 OR THE 4 IS THE FAVORITE AND THE 2 HORSE IS <=4-1, BET IT.


N252 TRACK RACE PGNO N13 ML N250 POST
PHA 1 2 CHRIS BO 15.00 DBF_BT 12:25
PHA 1 3 SINGAPORE 2.00 DBF 12:25
PHA 1 4 ANTHONY T 1.60 DBF 12:25
PHA 1 5 DANCE SAF 3.00 BF,B2 12:25



Acronym .

[SansuiSC]

Too bad theres cancellations all over the east. Smaller sample for today.

It is friggin hot here next to Belmont. Glad it's an off day or they would have to consider it too.

[formula_2002]

suf race 6. the fav was the 4, designated DBF and lost.

although the race was won by one of the three horses designated DBF_BT its odds as well as the other two "DBF_BT" were beyond <=4-1

[formula_2002]

SUF RACE 7 THE 1 WAS DESIGNATED DBF AND LOST, BUT THE OTHER HALF OF THE ENTRY WON.

RUNNING ENTRIES GIVE MY DATA BASE A BIT OF TROUBLE, THATS WHY, IN THE RECAP I EXCLUDE THEM BY ONLY LOOKING AT RACES WHOS SUM 1/(ODDS+1)<=1.3 OR 1.35

[SansuiSC]

I'm pretty sure NYRA is stopping coupled entries in the near future. That should help.

[SansuiSC]

Hi, I'm not making the horse 4-1. If by chance the horse goes off at <=4-1 then its a bet. I'm depending on the public to "Do the right thing" :)
I know the public makes them 4/1, I was asking how you came up with that as a point as opposed to say 6/1?

[formula_2002]

I know the public makes them 4/1, I was asking how you came up with that as a point as opposed to say 6/1?
OH.

the sample size was small, about 75 plays, and >4-1 did not seem to be profitable.

[formula_2002]

I'm pretty sure NYRA is stopping coupled entries in the near future. That should help.
that would be a fast way to increase field size!!!