OTM Al
07-05-2010, 10:28 AM
Not a big named stakes for our last highlighted race of the weekend, but an interesting one with what looks to me a very vulnerable favorite. So get out your pps and turn to the tenth at Monmouth.
Fantastico Roberto is the morning line favorite. Maybe the crowd will put him there in the real betting as well, but I just don't see it in the win spot. His two wins in Italy are kinda like a horse that made his first two at Calder and then shipped to Belmont. Maybe the Pletcher-Velazquez combo will get him favoritism but I think he's only to be used underneath.
I like Two Notch Road here. He has a listed win to his credit along with a credible run last out. Three for three on the surface is icing on the cake. Will also use They Call Me Giant over and under. I'm usually not one big on jockeys, but Bravo is a underrated turf rider and this is his back yard. The horse, despite facing winners for the first time, looks in fine form and should have a fair price. Thunder Brew could upset the apple cart for me, but I'm going against him. This horse hasn't had a break in months and I just don't think he can hold his form.
So my bet today is exactas, 8/1+7 and a 7+8 box.
Fantastico Roberto is the morning line favorite. Maybe the crowd will put him there in the real betting as well, but I just don't see it in the win spot. His two wins in Italy are kinda like a horse that made his first two at Calder and then shipped to Belmont. Maybe the Pletcher-Velazquez combo will get him favoritism but I think he's only to be used underneath.
I like Two Notch Road here. He has a listed win to his credit along with a credible run last out. Three for three on the surface is icing on the cake. Will also use They Call Me Giant over and under. I'm usually not one big on jockeys, but Bravo is a underrated turf rider and this is his back yard. The horse, despite facing winners for the first time, looks in fine form and should have a fair price. Thunder Brew could upset the apple cart for me, but I'm going against him. This horse hasn't had a break in months and I just don't think he can hold his form.
So my bet today is exactas, 8/1+7 and a 7+8 box.