LTCP,BF,B2.DBF 07-05-2010

[formula_2002]

RECAP OF PAST POST
CONTEST.DBF
RECAP FROM 20100630 TO 20100704
ALL 63 WIN PLAYS, BF,B2,LTCP ARE PROFITABLE IN THE W POOL, MOST IN THE WPS POOLS

SELECETD FAVORITES., DBT, HAD A .64 ROI, WHILE ALL FAVORITES HAD A .81 ROI..IT DOES NOT GET MUCH BETTER THAN THAT :)

[CODE]CONTEST.DBF
RECAP FROM 20100630 TO 20100704

FOR PROGRAMING PURPOSES THESE RESULTS DO NO INCLUDE RACES WHERE FAVORITE ENTRIES RAN
DBF,DONT BET THIS HORSE IS THE FAVORITE,
BF, IF THIS HORSE IS THE FAVORITE, BET IT
B2, IF THIS HORSE IS THE 2ND BETTING CHOICE BET IT
LTCP, BET IT

VIG, AVERAGE TRAK TAKOUT+ BREAKAGE
WP_ROI, WIN POOL ROI
PP_ROI, PLACE POOL ROI
SP_ROI, SHOW POOL ROI


N250 ODDS WMUT PMUT SMUT WINS E WINS PLAYS VIG WP_ROI PP_ROI SP_ROI


B2 2.72 30.40 34.60 37.30 4 3.88 14 0.18 1.09 1.24 1.33

BF 1.22 86.20 86.60 78.10 20 19.79 41 0.18 1.05 1.06 0.95

DBF 1.91 57.70 77.00 79.40 11 16.46 45 0.18 0.64 0.86 0.88

LTPC 1.64 19.60 20.30 20.50 4 3.75 8 0.19 1.23 1.27 1.28

I'LL POST PLAYS AFTER 12:30, NY TIME AFTER SCRATCHES..

[formula_2002]

had trouble with my internet connection.
i just now uploaded play to my web site.

[formula_2002]

LTCP finals, 4 wins in 7 races returned a 6% profit.
BF and B2 plays do not seem to be doing too well

DBF races, as usuall :) , are great lay bets even when giving track odds +the take-out...How can these tracks be losing money!! :)

[formula_2002]

THE PERFECT PLAY
Belmont - Race 9
# Win Place Show
6 $9.40 $3.70 $2.80
1 . $3.00 $2.40
8 . . $3.20

Wager Type Winning Numbers Paid
$1.00 Exacta 6-1 $10.70

THE #1, THE EVEN MONEY FAVORITE WAS ON MY DBF LIST, THE 7/2 2ND CHOICE WAS ON MY B2 LIST

[formula_2002]

FINALS
ONLY THE 7 LTCP PLAYS RETURNED PROFITS. THEY WERE PROFITABLE IN THE WPS POOLS.

WHILE A WIN BET ON ALL THE FAVORITES RETURNED A .71 ROI, THE MODELS DBF PLAYS RETURNED A .42 ROI. ONCE AGAIN PROVING THE PLAY TO BE A GREAT LAY BET, EVEN WHEN GIVING TRACK ODDS +15%.
THERE WERE 2 WINS IN 12 PLAYS. THE EXPECTED WINS WAS 4.41
GIVING ODDS +15% WOULD HAVE PRODUCED THE FOLLOWING PROFIT:

(1-(2x1.15)/4.41)= 48% PROFIT.. NOT BAD IF YOU COULD GET IT


CONTEST.DBF
RECAP 20100706

FOR PROGRAMING PURPOSES THESE RESULTS DO NO INCLUDE RACES WHERE FAVORITE ENTRIES RAN
DBF,DONT BET THIS HORSE IS THE FAVORITE,
BF, IF THIS HORSE IS THE FAVORITE, BET IT
B2, IF THIS HORSE IS THE 2ND BETTING CHOICE BET IT
LTCP, BET IT

VIG, AVERAGE TRAK TAKOUT+ BREAKAGE
WP_ROI, WIN POOL ROI
PP_ROI, PLACE POOL ROI
SP_ROI, SHOW POOL ROI


N250 ODDS WMUT PMUT SMUT WINS E WINS PLAYS VIG WP_ROI PP_ROI SP_ROI


B2 2.38 9.40 6.30 7.50 1 1.85 6 0.18 0.78 0.53 0.63

BF 1.06 14.70 22.10 24.00 4 8.84 17 0.18 0.43 0.65 0.71

DBF 1.85 10.00 12.40 19.00 2 4.41 12 0.18 0.42 0.52 0.79

LTPC 2.46 14.90 18.70 14.80 4 2.89 7 0.19 1.06 1.34 1.06