formula_2002
08-05-2003, 07:22 AM
These results are based upon my use of the EXPORTED ALL_WAYS data.
ALL-WAYS 9.1 PROFESSIONAL EDITION PROVIDES A TWO ODDS LINES. ONE IS DETERMINED BY USE OF LINERA REGRESSION, THE OTHER BY IMPACT VALUES.
Results presented here are based on my own programs, using the exported all-ways data.
Results can vary depending on the user and the amount of data contained within the database.
The basic system was devised using data prior to the year 2003. It APEARS there is a statistically significant loss when playing Maiden Special Weights. In over 600 MSW races, there were 100 actual winners compared to the expected 127 winners. The "race type" standard deviation was 15, producing a 'z' score of 1.8. Eliminating these MSW races produced the following backfitted results (prior to 2003);
4769 races, 6% profit, 23% winners, maxium odds of 20-1.
In the year 2003 the results to date for the basic system is;
1226 races, 3% loss, 21% winners, maxium odds of 20-1
Anyone wishing a break down by odds, track, surface, condition,and race type and distance should send me E-MAIL REQUEST
Joe M
ALL-WAYS 9.1 PROFESSIONAL EDITION PROVIDES A TWO ODDS LINES. ONE IS DETERMINED BY USE OF LINERA REGRESSION, THE OTHER BY IMPACT VALUES.
Results presented here are based on my own programs, using the exported all-ways data.
Results can vary depending on the user and the amount of data contained within the database.
The basic system was devised using data prior to the year 2003. It APEARS there is a statistically significant loss when playing Maiden Special Weights. In over 600 MSW races, there were 100 actual winners compared to the expected 127 winners. The "race type" standard deviation was 15, producing a 'z' score of 1.8. Eliminating these MSW races produced the following backfitted results (prior to 2003);
4769 races, 6% profit, 23% winners, maxium odds of 20-1.
In the year 2003 the results to date for the basic system is;
1226 races, 3% loss, 21% winners, maxium odds of 20-1
Anyone wishing a break down by odds, track, surface, condition,and race type and distance should send me E-MAIL REQUEST
Joe M