rmania
06-11-2010, 01:08 PM
The information you’re about to see may or may not seem sufficient for the claims being made. However, the figures do encompass the entire Hollywood Park meet as of yesterday (6/10/10).
The referenced black box is a handicapping software program but no handicapping was performed prior to data collection. Thus the black box reference.
The software is designed for use in sprint races only (5f - 7.5f) so therefore the numbers do not represent every race. The software provides (among other things) three viewing screens which visually depict each horse’s probable position at each of the three main track markers (i.e., ½ mile pole, ¼ pole, and the finish line).
This first set of stats was compiled by making an imaginary $2 win wager on each horse seen as leading in the software’s finish line viewing screen:
Total Races: 104
Total Winners: 40 (38%)
Total Bet: $208.00
Total Return: $254.80
Total Profit: $46.80
ROI: +18%
If these returns seem rather small, especially with a 38% win rate, it’s because 22 of the 40 winners were the race favorite. 10 of the 22 were the odds-on choice. Still, a profit is a profit.
This next set of stats was complied by making an imaginary $2 win wager on each horse seen as leading at both the ¼ pole and finish line viewing screens:
Total Races: 39
Total Winners: 17 (44%)
Total Bet: $78.00
Total Return: $96.40
Total Profit: $18.40
ROI: +19%
Again, small returns for an even higher win rate. In this case 13 of the 17 winners were the race favorite with more than half (7) being the odds-on choice. But the key here is less risk (39 bets vs. 104) and a higher ROI (19% vs. 18%).
Sticking with these 39 races (both view leaders), the selection used was the race favorite in 24 races leaving 15 races where the selection was not the favorite.
The breakdown on those 15 races are as follows:
Total Races: 15
Total Winners: 4 (27%)
Total Bet: $30.00
Total Return: $43.60
Total Profit: $13.60
ROI: +31%
Of course, playing only 15 races over the course of an entire meet to date seems hardly worth the effort. Yet, by doubling the wager to $4 on these 15, the ROI increases to 23% on the 39 races played.
I’ll continue to compile these stats through the remainder of the Hollywood Park meet and provide periodic updates.
The referenced black box is a handicapping software program but no handicapping was performed prior to data collection. Thus the black box reference.
The software is designed for use in sprint races only (5f - 7.5f) so therefore the numbers do not represent every race. The software provides (among other things) three viewing screens which visually depict each horse’s probable position at each of the three main track markers (i.e., ½ mile pole, ¼ pole, and the finish line).
This first set of stats was compiled by making an imaginary $2 win wager on each horse seen as leading in the software’s finish line viewing screen:
Total Races: 104
Total Winners: 40 (38%)
Total Bet: $208.00
Total Return: $254.80
Total Profit: $46.80
ROI: +18%
If these returns seem rather small, especially with a 38% win rate, it’s because 22 of the 40 winners were the race favorite. 10 of the 22 were the odds-on choice. Still, a profit is a profit.
This next set of stats was complied by making an imaginary $2 win wager on each horse seen as leading at both the ¼ pole and finish line viewing screens:
Total Races: 39
Total Winners: 17 (44%)
Total Bet: $78.00
Total Return: $96.40
Total Profit: $18.40
ROI: +19%
Again, small returns for an even higher win rate. In this case 13 of the 17 winners were the race favorite with more than half (7) being the odds-on choice. But the key here is less risk (39 bets vs. 104) and a higher ROI (19% vs. 18%).
Sticking with these 39 races (both view leaders), the selection used was the race favorite in 24 races leaving 15 races where the selection was not the favorite.
The breakdown on those 15 races are as follows:
Total Races: 15
Total Winners: 4 (27%)
Total Bet: $30.00
Total Return: $43.60
Total Profit: $13.60
ROI: +31%
Of course, playing only 15 races over the course of an entire meet to date seems hardly worth the effort. Yet, by doubling the wager to $4 on these 15, the ROI increases to 23% on the 39 races played.
I’ll continue to compile these stats through the remainder of the Hollywood Park meet and provide periodic updates.