formula_2002
06-09-2010, 11:43 AM
TOP RANKED N155 MODEL
AT THIS TIME WIN PLAYS ONLY
PLAY THE TOP RANKED N155 HORSE TO WIN .
IF SCRATCHED, PLAY THE NEXT HORSE.
AS OF 06/02/2010, I'VE TESTED THIS MODEL ON 321 "OUT OF SAMPLE RACES", 1 BET IN EVERY RACE OF EVERY CARD.
PLAYING EVERY HORSE TO WIN YIELDED A 1.02 ROI, 2% PROFIT WITH AN A/E OF 1.06
PLAYING THE ONLY NON-FAVORITES YIELDED A 1.05 ROI IN 156 RACES WITH AN A/E OF 1.18
A/E= ACTUAL WINS / EXPECTED WINS. EXPECTED WINS = SUM (1/ODDS+1).
EXACTA'S MAY HAVE VALUE BUT I HAVE NOT LOOKED INTO THAT YET
N252 TRACK RACE PGNO N13 ODDS n155 WMUT PMUT N155 RANK POST FIELD S ODDS RANK WINS E WINS PLAYS FINISH BOOK %
BEL 1 2 FELINEF 0.00 0.00 1 1:00 0 0.00 1
BEL 1 1 ALWAYS 0.00 0.00 2 1:00 0 0.00 1
BEL 1 4 DONTSTE 0.00 0.00 3 1:00 0 0.00 1
BEL 2 3 FIGHT F 0.00 0.00 1 1:32 0 0.00 1
BEL 2 5 FUGEDAB 0.00 0.00 2 1:32 0 0.00 1
BEL 3 3 LEMON S 0.00 0.00 1 2:04 0 0.00 1
BEL 3 4 LIME RI 0.00 0.00 2 2:04 0 0.00 1
BEL 3 1A SUMMER 0.00 0.00 3 2:04 0 0.00 1
BEL 4 4 MACHO J 0.00 0.00 1 2:36 0 0.00 1
BEL 4 3 CANDY H 0.00 0.00 2 2:36 0 0.00 1
BEL 4 1 MONTANA 0.00 0.00 3 2:36 0 0.00 1
BEL 5 2 MARIAH 0.00 0.00 1 3:08 0 0.00 1
BEL 5 1 LAYLABE 0.00 0.00 2 3:08 0 0.00 1
BEL 5 6 VICARIO 0.00 0.00 3 3:08 0 0.00 1
BEL 6 4 TAKEDOU 0.00 0.00 1 3:40 0 0.00 1
BEL 6 9 SHOWME 0.00 0.00 2 3:40 0 0.00 1
BEL 6 3 TUDOR K 0.00 0.00 3 3:40 0 0.00 1
BEL 7 1 CRESCEN 0.00 0.00 1 4:12 0 0.00 1
BEL 7 2 CITY WH 0.00 0.00 2 4:12 0 0.00 1
BEL 8 1 STARFOR 0.00 0.00 1 4:45 0 0.00 1
BEL 8 2 WEST CO 0.00 0.00 2 4:45 0 0.00 1
BEL 8 3 I AINT 0.00 0.00 3 4:45 0 0.00 1
BEL 9 12 AQUIT 0.00 0.00 1 5:17 0 0.00 1
BEL 9 3 TREAT H 0.00 0.00 2 5:17 0 0.00 1
BEL 9 5 TOMORRO 0.00 0.00 3 5:17 0 0.00 1
0.00 0.00 0 0.00 25
AT THIS TIME WIN PLAYS ONLY
PLAY THE TOP RANKED N155 HORSE TO WIN .
IF SCRATCHED, PLAY THE NEXT HORSE.
AS OF 06/02/2010, I'VE TESTED THIS MODEL ON 321 "OUT OF SAMPLE RACES", 1 BET IN EVERY RACE OF EVERY CARD.
PLAYING EVERY HORSE TO WIN YIELDED A 1.02 ROI, 2% PROFIT WITH AN A/E OF 1.06
PLAYING THE ONLY NON-FAVORITES YIELDED A 1.05 ROI IN 156 RACES WITH AN A/E OF 1.18
A/E= ACTUAL WINS / EXPECTED WINS. EXPECTED WINS = SUM (1/ODDS+1).
EXACTA'S MAY HAVE VALUE BUT I HAVE NOT LOOKED INTO THAT YET
N252 TRACK RACE PGNO N13 ODDS n155 WMUT PMUT N155 RANK POST FIELD S ODDS RANK WINS E WINS PLAYS FINISH BOOK %
BEL 1 2 FELINEF 0.00 0.00 1 1:00 0 0.00 1
BEL 1 1 ALWAYS 0.00 0.00 2 1:00 0 0.00 1
BEL 1 4 DONTSTE 0.00 0.00 3 1:00 0 0.00 1
BEL 2 3 FIGHT F 0.00 0.00 1 1:32 0 0.00 1
BEL 2 5 FUGEDAB 0.00 0.00 2 1:32 0 0.00 1
BEL 3 3 LEMON S 0.00 0.00 1 2:04 0 0.00 1
BEL 3 4 LIME RI 0.00 0.00 2 2:04 0 0.00 1
BEL 3 1A SUMMER 0.00 0.00 3 2:04 0 0.00 1
BEL 4 4 MACHO J 0.00 0.00 1 2:36 0 0.00 1
BEL 4 3 CANDY H 0.00 0.00 2 2:36 0 0.00 1
BEL 4 1 MONTANA 0.00 0.00 3 2:36 0 0.00 1
BEL 5 2 MARIAH 0.00 0.00 1 3:08 0 0.00 1
BEL 5 1 LAYLABE 0.00 0.00 2 3:08 0 0.00 1
BEL 5 6 VICARIO 0.00 0.00 3 3:08 0 0.00 1
BEL 6 4 TAKEDOU 0.00 0.00 1 3:40 0 0.00 1
BEL 6 9 SHOWME 0.00 0.00 2 3:40 0 0.00 1
BEL 6 3 TUDOR K 0.00 0.00 3 3:40 0 0.00 1
BEL 7 1 CRESCEN 0.00 0.00 1 4:12 0 0.00 1
BEL 7 2 CITY WH 0.00 0.00 2 4:12 0 0.00 1
BEL 8 1 STARFOR 0.00 0.00 1 4:45 0 0.00 1
BEL 8 2 WEST CO 0.00 0.00 2 4:45 0 0.00 1
BEL 8 3 I AINT 0.00 0.00 3 4:45 0 0.00 1
BEL 9 12 AQUIT 0.00 0.00 1 5:17 0 0.00 1
BEL 9 3 TREAT H 0.00 0.00 2 5:17 0 0.00 1
BEL 9 5 TOMORRO 0.00 0.00 3 5:17 0 0.00 1
0.00 0.00 0 0.00 25